Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Anchorage Election Results 6

Trends have continued for last several sets of results.
South Anchorage Assembly still close as is School Board seat C.


I'm starting this one with the numbers from the last post, so you can see the changes from one report to the next.  Slash separates the reported numbers 1111/2222/3333

Putting in percentage points for the leader, or two leaders if it's still close.
Assembly and ASD are 22:13 numbers/  Propositions are 22:45 numbers

DistrictVotes    Percentage
Assembly District 1    9/14precincts
SWANK, Albert63/66/83
COX, Chris240/247/318
CONSTANT, Christopher811/???/106350.72%/50.48%/49.84%
MARTINSON, Mark Alan37/40/53
DUNSMORE, David377/395/517
WEST, Warren54/55/73/
Assembly District 2
     precincts

BRASSELL, John L253/334/516
DONNELLY, Patrick127179/261
DYSON, Fred956/1377/211749.18%/48.64%/48.93%
WEHMHOFF, Gretchen593/921/1407
Assembly District 3
18/26  precincts  24/26

STEELE, Tim2838/3075/433260.99/61.11%/60,87
NEES, David1755/1892/2702
Assembly District 4
16/25 precincts
20/25

ALLEVA, Ron367/414/482
SANDERS, Marcus D458/543/631
SMITH, Don1027/1234/1427
RIVERA, Felix1844/2159/241149.5%/49.19%/48.28
Assembly District 5
18/25 precincts
21/25
JONES, Don2096/2350/2419
PETERSEN, Pete2696/3058/315355.95%/56.25/56.25%






Assembly District 6
8/26 precincts
new #s 10/26 precincts 16/26
FOGLE, Albert1405/1988/286647.89%/46.99/47.72%
LAFRANCE, Suzanne1517/2224/310251.70%/52.56%/51.65%











Seat VotesPercent
School Board C 
72/124 precincts 102/124
SMALLWOOD, James   4072/4838/6041
HILDE, Alisha3037/3612/4628
HOTCH, Tasha2225/2666/3294
DONLEY, Dave7400/8873/1154941.43%/41.49%/42.32%
JAMISON, Christopher937/1120/1415



School Board C
    72/124 precincts 102/124

SCHUSTER, Kay7822/9395/1228343.39%/43.57%/44.50%
HOLLEMAN, Andy8169/9788/1239045.31%/45.40%
BERKE, Albert1818/2116/2608







Adding 22.14 changes to this chart, adding 22:45

PropYesNo
Prop 1 ASD14419 /18223/23275    * 10635/13881/17849
Prop 2 Pub Safety
Transit
12027/14998/19021  12996/17070 /22037 *
Prop 3 Parks13709/17317 /22034*11361/14831/19100
Prop 4 Roads
Sewers
14557/18388/23445    *10240/13432/17293
Prop 5 Fire13953/17598/22441    *11014/14416/18550
Prop 6 APD12932/16253/20645   *12015/15743/20314
Prop 7 Parks
Service Area
13189/16727/21406   *11625/15107/19363
Prop 8  Taxis10150/12925/1639414397/18557/23862   *



* leading

Anchorage Election Results 5 [Updated]


These are 9:47 results for Assembly and School Board and 9:57 for Propositions.
Still a few close races.  Donley seems to have his school board seat though.

[UPDATE - I'm adding the 9:57 numbers to the 9:47 numbers for Assembly and ASD.




DistrictVotes    Percentage
Assembly District 1    9/14precincts
SWANK, Albert63/66
COX, Chris240/247
CONSTANT, Christopher811/383(error)50.72%/50.48%
MARTINSON, Mark Alan37/40
DUNSMORE, David377/395
WEST, Warren54/55






Assembly District 2 
     precincts

BRASSELL, John L253/334
DONNELLY, Patrick127179
DYSON, Fred956/137749.18%/48.64%
WEHMHOFF, Gretchen593/921






Assembly District 3
18/26  precincts

STEELE, Tim2838/307560.99/61.11%
NEES, David1755/1892






Assembly District 4 
16/25 precincts

ALLEVA, Ron367/414
SANDERS, Marcus D458/543
SMITH, Don1027/1234
RIVERA, Felix1844/215949.5%/49.19%






Assembly District 5 
18/25 precincts

JONES, Don2096/2350
PETERSEN, Pete2696/305855.95%/56.25






Assembly District 6 
8/26 precincts
new #s 10/26 precincts
FOGLE, Albert1405/198847.89%/46.99
LAFRANCE, Suzanne1517/222451.70%/52.56%











Seat VotesPercent
School Board C 
72/124 precincts
SMALLWOOD, James   4072/4838
HILDE, Alisha3037/3612
HOTCH, Tasha2225/2666
DONLEY, Dave7400/887341.43%/41.49%
JAMISON, Christopher937/1120



School Board C
    72/124 precincts

SCHUSTER, Kay7822/939543.39%/43.57%
HOLLEMAN, Andy8169/978845.31%/45.40%
BERKE, Albert1818/2116







Adding 22.14 changes to this chart

PropYesNo
Prop 1 ASD14419 /18223    * 10635/13881
Prop 2 Pub Safety
Transit
12027/14998   12996/17070*
Prop 3 Parks13709/17317    *11361/14831
Prop 4 Roads
Sewers
14557/18388    *10240/13432
Prop 5 Fire13953/17598    *11014/14416
Prop 6 APD12932/16253   *12015/15743
Prop 7 Parks
Service Area
13189/16727   *11625/15107
Prop 8  Taxis10150/1292514397/18557   *

* leading






Anchorage Election Results 4 9:34 postings







DistrictVotes    Percentage
Assembly District 1   7/14 precincts
SWANK, Albert63
COX, Chris222
CONSTANT, Christopher75952.27%
MARTINSON, Mark Alan28
DUNSMORE, David325
WEST, Warren42
Assembly District 2   
    9/19 precincts

BRASSELL, John L253
DONNELLY, Patrick127
DYSON, Fred95649.18%
WEHMHOFF, Gretchen593
Assembly District 3 
13/26 precincts

STEELE, Tim214762.23%
NEES, David1259






Assembly District 4 
12/25 precincts

ALLEVA, Ron281
SANDERS, Marcus D333
SMITH, Don770
RIVERA, Felix139949.86%






Assembly District 5 
15/25 precincts

JONES, Don1910
PETERSEN, Pete234654.84%






Assembly District 6 
7/26 precincts

FOGLE, Albert1203
LAFRANCE, Suzanne128251.36%











Seat VotesPercent
School Board C 58/124 precincts

SMALLWOOD, James   3398
HILDE, Alisha2558
HOTCH, Tasha1829
DONLEY, Dave613241.16%
JAMISON, Christopher799



School Board C
  58/124  precincts

SCHUSTER, Kay6528
HOLLEMAN, Andy683545.55%
BERKE, Albert1473









PropYesNo
Prop 1 ASD10,021    * 7376
Prop 2 Pub Safety
Transit
8494   8887   *
Prop 3 Parks9595   *7823
Prop 4 Roads
Sewers
10,220    *7003
Prop 5 Fire9804    *7544
Prop 6 APD9074   *8249
Prop 7 Parks
Service Area
9240   *7994
Prop 8  Taxis701710,019   *

* leading


Municipal Election Results 3


9:14 pm numbers



DistrictVotes    Percentage
Assembly District 1 5/14 precincts
SWANK, Albert484
COX, Chris17516%
CONSTANT, Christopher54850%
MARTINSON, Mark Alan202%
DUNSMORE, David26623%
WEST, Warren282.5%






Assembly District 2  6/19 precincts
BRASSELL, John L189      13%
DONNELLY, Patrick79          5%
DYSON, Fred732       52%
WEHMHOFF, Gretchen402       28.5%






Assembly District 3 9/26 precincts
STEELE, Tim1488
NEES, David809






Assembly District 4  8/25 precincts
ALLEVA, Ron162
SANDERS, Marcus D191
SMITH, Don457
RIVERA, Felix857






Assembly District 5 10/25
JONES, Don1334
PETERSEN, Pete1687






Assembly District 6 5/26
FOGLE, Albert943
LAFRANCE, Suzanne968











Seat VotesPercent
School Board C 38/124 precincts
SMALLWOOD, James   237123%
HILDE, Alisha182417%
HOTCH, Tasha126512
DONLEY, Dave431941%
JAMISON, Christopher5305%



School Board C38/124 precincts
SCHUSTER, Kay459243%
HOLLEMAN, Andy474345%
BERKE, Albert1041









PropYesNo
Prop 1 ASD6919 5208
Prop 2 Pub Safety
Transit
60016117
Prop 3 Parks66645467
Prop 4 Roads
Sewers
71174877
Prop 5 Fire69005180
Prop 6 APD63621129
Prop 7 Parks
Service Area
64555543
Prop 8  Taxis48536980



Municipal Election Results 2 - 9pm update


These are 9:00 results



DistrictVotes    Percentage
Assembly District 1  3/14 precincts
SWANK, Albert28
COX, Chris98
CONSTANT, Christopher304
MARTINSON, Mark Alan9
DUNSMORE, David162
WEST, Warren6






Assembly District 2  4/19 precincts reporting
BRASSELL, John L123
DONNELLY, Patrick44
DYSON, Fred416
WEHMHOFF, Gretchen243






Assembly District 36/26 precincts
STEELE, Tim1062
NEES, David533






Assembly District 48 precincts/28
ALLEVA, Ron162
SANDERS, Marcus D191
SMITH, Don457
RIVERA, Felix857






Assembly District 55 precincts/25
JONES, Don767
PETERSEN, Pete929






Assembly District 63 precincts/26
FOGLE, Albert547
LAFRANCE, Suzanne536












Seat VotesPercent
School Board C 24 precints/124
SMALLWOOD, James   1644
HILDE, Alisha1223
HOTCH, Tasha839
DONLEY, Dave2784
JAMISON, Christopher339



School Board D24 /124 precincts
SCHUSTER, Kay3012
HOLLEMAN, Andy3189
BERKE, Albert684








PropYesNo
Prop 1 ASD1559      3343
Prop 2 Pub Safety
Transit
41103833
Prop 3 Parks44963449
Prop 4 Roads
Sewers
47743085
Prop 5 Fire47033209
Prop 6 APD43273582
Prop 7 Parks
Service Area
43393522
Prop 8  Taxis31754580




Anchorage Election Results 1 - 8:30 Assembly School Board [UPDATED With Propositions]


These are 8:30pm results.  Probably early voting results.  Mostly less than 1% of the precincts.
For the propositions there are two sets of numbers.  I took the one from the group that listed the most precincts.

You can check directly for Assembly and School Board here.

And for the Propositions here.





District Votes     Percentage
Assembly District 1

SWANK, Albert 16 6%
COX, Chris 29 11%
CONSTANT, Christopher 146 54%
MARTINSON, Mark Alan 3 1%
DUNSMORE, David 62 23%
WEST, Warren 10 1%






Assembly District 2

BRASSELL, John L 59
DONNELLY, Patrick 16
DYSON, Fred 120
WEHMHOFF, Gretchen 56






Assembly District 3

STEELE, Tim 373
NEES, David 196






Assembly District 4

ALLEVA, Ron 54
SANDERS, Marcus D 58
SMITH, Don 120
RIVERA, Felix 225






Assembly District 5

JONES, Don 191
PETERSEN, Pete 255






Assembly District 6

FOGLE, Albert 364
LAFRANCE, Suzanne 304







SMALLWOOD, James HILDE, Alisha HOTCH, Tasha DONLEY, Dave
JAMISON, Christopher Write-in





Seat  Votes Percent
School Board C 

SMALLWOOD, James    530
HILDE, Alisha 501
HOTCH, Tasha 282
DONLEY, Dave 1065
JAMISON, Christopher 105



School Board C

SCHUSTER, Kay 1134 Cell
HOLLEMAN, Andy 1134 Cell
BERKE, Albert 241 Cell






PropYesNo
Prop 1 ASD1559      1254
Prop 2 Pub Safety
Transit
16181197
Prop 3 Parks16181193
Prop 4 Roads
Sewers
17061072
Prop 5 Fire1412823
Prop 6 APD16661129
Prop 7 Parks
Service Area
15761201
Prop 8  Taxis11301597

Municipal Election Results Soon

I voted today at my local precinct.  I was voter number 76 at about 2pm.  That doesn't sound like a lot and it isn't.  There are about 1200 voters registered in my precinct.

HOWEVER,

  • more and more people are voting early
  • the state is notoriously slow about purging people who have died or moved away

Midnight Sun blog posted the other day that the Municipality is hosting election central at the Denai'na Center starting at 6:30pm (polls don't close until 8pm) with parking available in the Muni parking lot.

The Alaska Women For Political Action are having their election party starting at 7pm at the Lakefront Anchorage on Spenard.

I'm not sure if I'm going to go out and mingle or stay home and post election results.

But you can find out the election results as they are posted on the Muni election page.  I'm guessing they will be available on this page title 'election results'.  If you go there before 8pm, it probably will only show 2016 and earlier results.  Last year they preloaded a bunch of early votes and posted them at about 8pm.

You can check back here around 8pm to see if I'm posting results or pictures of people gathering.

Monday, April 03, 2017

GCI More Important Than The Rest Of Us


ADN explains why Alaska members of congress voted to end internet privacy protection:
"The rule would have required internet service providers (ISPs) to get consent from users before collecting information from their web browsing history for any purpose, including advertising.
Other internet companies like Google and Facebook don't have to do the same; though they have more limited access to browsing history, they do use the information they gather to make money advertising to users.
Murkowski, Sullivan and Young for the most part said that their concerns about piecemeal regulations outweighed their desire to protect individuals' data.
'So we looked at this one very carefully. Where I came down on it at the end was: What this rule did was it set up basically two standards depending on what the platform was. And that made no sense," Murkowski said after voting in favor of repealing the FCC rule. "It would have created confusion.'"
Their explanation means two things to me:

  1. They value fairness for corporations over fairness for US citizens
  2. GCI has more clout in Alaska than the people of Alaska.  Remember - Ted Stevens died in a plane crash going to a GCI retreat on a GCI plane with GCI execs, as he had done over the years

Of course, this was also the Republican party line anyway.



Sunday, April 02, 2017

Cut Teachers Pay To Preserve Their Peers' Jobs?

There were a number of noteworthy (which literally means worthy of noting) clusters of words in today's Alaska Dispatch News.

Here's the letter that triggered this post's title:
"Teachers should work for less
To go along with the article "Senate education plan could cut hundreds more jobs statewide" by Dermot Cole, teachers statewide should consider taking a reduction in pay during this state of Alaska budget crisis to help save some of their peers' jobs!
— Richard N. Ramirez
Anchorage"
What sort of pay cuts is Mr. Ramirez suggesting?  Why should teachers alone take a cut in pay for the benefit of everyone else's children?   Why, "during this state of Alaska budget crisis" shouldn't all Alaskans take a cut in pay to help save some jobs?  And to help keep the student/teacher ratio a little lower so each kid gets more attention?

But why stop at teaching jobs?
If everyone who works in Alaska (including non-residents) took a cut in pay, no one would have to take too big a cut.  There is a way to, in effect, have all working Alaskans take a cut in pay to share the burden.  Now that oil isn't paying all our bills, shouldn't all of us pay equitably for the roads and  the bridges,  for our state parks, for keeping our water clean, for use of the airports, for disease prevention, and all the other, sometimes, invisible, benefits of having a state government?  All these things we use and like a lot that we don't notice until they stop working.  Shouldn't Alaskans take a little pay cut for what we get, like the people in other states and in the rest of the world?

There's a system already set up to do that.  It's called an income tax.

It does exactly what you are saying teachers should do - take a cut in pay.  We'll still get our PFD's. Come on all my mighty fellow Alaskans who get all these state benefits for free.  Let's stop whining and grow up and pay our fair share.  But, let the legislators know, you want them to design a tax that is as easy as filling out a PFD application.


Another opinion that caught my attention was Suzie Smith's 'aw shucks' defense of keeping our taxi regulations the way they are by voting yes on proposition 8.
"If having 300 cabs available on the streets to take us from A to B whenever we wanted them actually didn't cost us any more money than having 188, then why stop there? Can we have 1,000? 10,000?  Hey, can we have, like, a cab each? Parked outside our houses, with a private driver wearing a chauffeur's hat? He can take us wherever we need to go for the same rates … in fact, it should cost us less, because competition, right?"
Cute, but no one is asking for a cab for everyone.

Let's stick with 300 cabs for a minute.  Give us the numbers to show us how many hours cabs have fares and how many hours a day the average cab is riding empty.  Or which hours no cabs are available.  Show us how much income you get by owning a cab permit, the hours you work on cab stuff, and what that comes to as an hourly wage.  Maybe you have numbers that prove your point, but you didn't offer them here.  And you didn't mention things like access for handicapped passengers which was improved by the ordinance you want to repeal, or how Uber and Lyft are going to impact the taxi business.  Or is this really about how much you stand to lose if your permit loses its value?

There's also a great story in We Alaskans about an Indonesian 17 year old who is an exchange student in Kasilof told from the perspective of the student and her American temporary father.  I've spent ten minutes trying to find a way to link to the story for people who aren't ADN subscribers, but I can't.  Here's a link to We Alaskans with the other stories in today's edition, maybe it will show up eventually.

Finally, I'd note that Nathaniel Herz' brief interviews with new legislators gives us a chance to see these people as, well, people.  Nat got glimpses that add a little bit to our understanding of individual legislators and the legislature as a whole.  Rep. Jason Gren has a son named Atticus who's not pleased that his daddy isn't always home to tuck him into bed. Rep. Dean Westlake is part of the R.J. Reynolds Caucus which meets for smoke breaks and gives him a chance to spend time with Republicans.  Gary Knopp gets to ride excavators and road graders when he's not in the legislature. Rep. George Rauscher drove about 7000 miles in his Jeep campaigning in his huge Southcentral district.  Wasilla's Rep. David Wilson doesn't seem to like talking to the media.  Nothing huge here, but reminders that our legislators are not cartoon stereotypes, but real human beings trying to make a difference.

Yes, there should be more in depth articles about legislation that help spell it out for average folks, but I'm guessing far more readers will read this piece than more penetrating news on what they are and aren't doing in Juneau.

Saturday, April 01, 2017

Chinese Construction Giant Reported To Have Strong Bid For Trump Border Wall

The China's official Xinhua News Agency reports that Qin Shi Huang Construction Company of China, whose CEO's  family can be traced back to the emperor who built the original parts of the Great Wall of China, has submitted a serious bid for a one hundred kilometer stretch of Trump's proposed Mexican wall.  The plans are said to meet all the threshold requirements (see below*) as well as the objective requirements of the General Services Administration's request for proposal RFP.


Meeting Threshold Requirements
For example, requirements 3 and 4 of the threshold requirements (again, see below*) call for a wall that is impossible to climb and has "anti-climb topping features." QSHCC's proposal includes provisions for detection of contact starting at eight feet above the ground level.  "Such contact triggers the release of hot oil from the top of the wall in the section where contact was detected."

Financial Issues
In addition the QSHCC proposal has a number of additional features addressing other issues not required by the RFP, but which have been raised as challenges to construction.  There are arrangements, for example,  to develop financing from Mexican sources through the Sinaloa Banking Cartel who have worked closely with Mexican and US officials in the past.  This could help meet Trump's pledge that Mexico would pay for the wall.

Other Border and Wildlife Issues
Two of the problems that have been raised concerning the wall are:
1.  How to build the wall on US soil without encroaching Mexican territory, yet not giving up US land south of the wall to Mexico, particularly in the large portion of the border that runs through the middle of the Rio Grande.
2.  Concern for the wildlife that lives along the border, including endangered species.  

The QSHCC proposal calls for portions of the wall to be sited up to a mile north of the Rio Grande.  There will be razor wire fences along the river and the land in between will become an international wildlife refuge that will be populated with pumas, jaguars, wolves, tarantulas and other poisonous spiders, wild pigs, various kinds of poisonous snakes as well as a variety of particularly thorny cacti.  There is research included to determine whether alligators can be introduced to portions of the Rio Grande.  Not only will this give these animals habitat in which to grow their populations, but it is felt their presence will deter illegal immigrants.

Financing Maintenance Costs
Financing for maintenance of the wall includes a proposal  for  making parts of the wall into exotic tourist hotels and casinos. While these will be low rise hotels to maximize the wall's intent of blocking the border, there will be some observation towers and possibly restaurants on top.  In addition, all rooms will have south facing  bullet-proof one-way glass allowing visitors to look towards Mexico and the wilderness area.  The Chinese have not named an American partner for the hotels, however, drawings and descriptions of the US wall side showing a hotel would follow the design criteria described in the Xiaodong Ji, Dan Liu, Jiaru Qian article, "Improved design of special boundary elements for T-shaped reinforced concrete walls"  in Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration Volume 16, Issue 1, pp 83–95.

In those parts located in or near populated areas, Amazon has partnered with QSHCC, with a proposal to make some of the wall suitable for warehouse space, with Amazon lockers on the south side where  Mexicans could pick up American goods they had purchased on line.  This too would help finance maintenance of the wall and offer employment to US border residents.

US Jobs
The plan also includes as partners, Winnebago Industries in Forest City, Iowa as well as the Departments of Labor in Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and West Virginia.  Unemployed coal miners as well as workers from other industries will be hired, have three weeks of initial training, then be transported to Forest City to pick up, eventually, a total of 10,000 newly designed and built Winnebagos (bringing employment for 300)  that will be used as housing for the workers.  Additional training will be conducted at the construction sites.

You can read  the details of the proposal here.

Meanwhile, the construction industry in the United States is concerned about a concrete shortage due to the wall, which will sharply raise the cost of aggregates and construction.

The Mexican sports magazine, Tritón, ran an article which noted that the specifications for the wall say "designs with heights of at least 18 feet may be acceptable," In contrast, the article pointed out that world record for pole vaulting is 6.16 meters or just over 20 feet.  With springier than officially allowed poles, athletes should be able to 25, possibly even 30 feet.  Mexican sporting good stores report a shortage of vaulting poles.

Additional Information from General Services Administration Request for Proposal
*Threshold Requirements [see page 62 of the link]
1) The wall design shall be reinforced concrete.
2) The wall design shall be physically imposing in height. The Government’s nominal concept is for
a 30-foot high wall. Offerors should consider this height, but designs with heights of at least 18feet may be acceptable. Designs with heights of less than 18 feet are not acceptable.
3) It shall not be possible for a human to climb to the top of the wall or access the top of the wall from either side unassisted (e.g. via the use of a ladder, etc.)
4) The wall design shall include anti-climb topping features that prevent scaling using common and more sophisticated climbing aids (e.g. grappling hooks, handholds, etc.)
5) The wall shall prevent digging or tunneling below it for a minimum of 6 feet below the lowest adjacent grade.
6) The wall shall prevent/deter for a minimum of 1 hour the creation a physical breach of the wall(e.g., punching through the wall) larger than 12-inches in diameter or square using sledgehammer, car jack, pick axe, chisel, battery operated impact tools, battery operated cutting tools, Oxy/acetylene torch or other similar hand-held tools.
7) The north side of wall (i.e. U.S. facing side) shall be aesthetically pleasing in color, anti-climb texture, etc., to be consistent with general surrounding environment. The
manufacturing/construction process should facilitate changes in color and texture pursuant to site specific requirements.
8) The wall design shall be able to accommodate surface drainage.
9) The wall design shall be able to accommodate Border Patrol approved design standards for pedestrian and automated mechanized vehicle sliding gates (25 feet and 50 feet).
10) The wall design shall be constructible to slopes up to 45 percent.
11) The wall fittings and fixtures shall be secured on the north side of the wall to shield from external attack.
12) The wall design should be cost effective to construct, maintain and repair.
Objective Requirements
1) It is operationally advantageous that the design of first 12 feet of wall height (as measured from the highest adjacent grade) be adaptable to prevent/deter for a period of time greater than 1 hour 30 minutes up to 4+ hours the creation of a physical breach of the wall (e.g., punching through the wall) larger than 12-inches in diameter or square using sledgehammer, car jack, pick axe, chisel, battery operated impact tools, battery operated cutting tools, Oxy/acetylene torch or other similar hand-held tools.


For more information on the Chinese proposal click here.