Alaska Daily COVID-19 Count 3 - May 2021 - ???

Some Background and Notes:

Alaska COVID-19 #1 and #2 got too big and were slow and bulky.  I'm hoping I'll be able to end this one before that happens here.  I'm cautiously optimistic.  Here's a link to the State's Dashboard main hub.  From there you can get to a number of other hubs.

These pages began on March 11, 2020 when I realized the state data was disappearing each day as new data came up.  There was no way to compare today's numbers to previous ones.  Were we getting better or worse?  How much?  You couldn't tell.

Eventually the State set up the Dashboards and there are data bases you can get to - though you have to work a bit.  But there were regular updates and old numbers changed.  So I kept doing this so that if someone wanted to see what the State originally posted, before adjustments, they could.  

I also learn a lot about how things are going.  

So, there's the chart (which goes back to March 11, 2021) and my daily short spotlight on the new numbers below.  On this third version, those start on May 3, 2021.  

For new resident cases, there are two numbers: 150/143 = mine/state's.  I get my number by subtracting yesterday's total cases from today's total.  The State often makes adjustments and so the numbers often differ slightly.  Sometimes, a lot.  Also, the State lists COVID and Suspected COVID for currently hospitalized patients.  I combine the two into one number.  

Also, the State stop posting updates on weekends and holidays.  So Mondays tend to have odd numbers as I post the difference between Monday and Friday new cases and the State has its on one day total of new cases for Mondays.

Finally, my below the chart daily comments are in reverse chronological order - latest post first.


Alaska Covid-19 Data NewFor... by Steve


Monday, June 21, 2021 - Good news - the hospital and testing dashboards are now working and accessible again.

No new deaths.  It's been ten days since we moved up to 366.  The total hospitalized figured went DOWN from 1650 Friday to 1602 today.  I'm guessing they were catching up on bad data.  There are 10 COVID patients in the hospital and one more suspected of COVID.  51 available ICU beds.  

There were 81/13 new COVID cases since Friday, and, give the state's number, 13 new ones since yesterday.  

There were 83,115 new tests since I was last able to see the total testing numbers on May 28.  On that day we'd gotten below 1.0 Test Positivity (.99).  Again, haven't see that data since May 28.  Today's report said 1.2.  Still pretty good, but we need to be below 1.  


Friday, June 18, 2021 - No new deaths.  Six new hospitalizations since Wednesday.  

95/39 new resident cases since Wednesday.  Twelve COVID patients are currently in Alaska hospitals.  

I'm ready to stop tracking these numbers already, but there's still the chance that with only about 49% ofAlaskans vaccinated, and with new and more spreadable variants, and with people no longer wearing masks or using caution, there's a good chance the numbers will start going back up.  Hoping that won't happen.  But will hang in here a little longer, even though I can't seem to track all the numbers I was tracking before because of changes the state made to the dashboards.

Wednesday, June 16, 2021 - I skipped Tuesday's update because the state now only updates Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays since the numbers are going down.  I hope they continue going down and I can stop this altogether soon.

But some of today's numbers look like catchup - mainly the new hospitalizations.  The difference between today's total hospitalizations and Monday's is 54, which seems high.  Especially since only 15 are listed as currently hospitalized.  (I was combining the confirmed and suspected hospitalized numbers so that skews things down a bit.)  

No new deaths.  51/26 new resident cases.  That makes sense because my number is for two days and the State's is for one day.  

Monday, June 14, 2021 - New cases dashboard working, but get error messages still at the hospital and testing dashboards.

No new deaths.  Two new hospitalizations.  63/19 new cases, my number over the weekend, State's number since yesterday.  

It's disturbing that while many people are rejoicing that this is over, people are still going to the hospital and dying with COVID.  

Friday, June 11, 2021 - The main dashboard has some new numbers.  The case dashboard also.  Hospitalizations and Testing dashboards still have error messages.  So these numbers are since Monday.  An accumulation of new cases and deaths and hospitalizations over four days.  So take that into consideration. 

Four new deaths.  Seven new hospitalizations.  125/18 new cases.  

Thursday, June 10, 2021 - When I googled Alaska DHSS COVID I got a page with this message:

"DHSS website outageThe Department of Health and Social Services (DHSS) website is currently unavailable. We apologize for any inconvenience this may cause. Critical COVID-19 information – including vaccine appointment scheduling and the data dashboards – is still available online. For information about the DHSS website and contact information for programs, please visit the DHSS website outage page."

The page isn't dated (sigh).   

Wednesday, June 9, 2021 - The old dashboard now tells us there are changes. 

Did I miss those words the other day?  If so, that's why such changes should have a more eye catching visual.  Do you see the announcement? 

 Normally, I would skip down to the list of dashboards on the page (not included in the image above.
 
In any case, the link takes you to pages of descriptions of changes with links.  The four or five I tried led me to data-less pages.  So I'm still trying to figure this out.  

BTW, the Total Resident Cases number on the chart is what was reported Friday June 4.  Maybe the data are there and I can't figure out how to get them.  Maybe they've changed the system, but it's not working yet.  Maybe they should tell us one way or the other.  This late in the game, I don't know why they decided to change something that was reasonably easy to get to and read for something else.  How many more months do they even expect to be reporting this information?  If anyone else is able to get through the new data blockade, please help me navigate it.  Thanks.

Tuesday,June 8, 2021 - No post because when I go to the state dashboard, I get Monday's numbers. The hospital and test dashboards still give error messages. 

Monday, June 7, 2021 - The cases dashboard is working agin, but the testing and hospital dashboards still just have error messages instead of data.    But the case dashboard has great news.  

50/8 new resident cases since Friday.  That's and average just over 16 per day - we haven't been under 20 per day since June 24, 2020.  No deaths, And three hospitalizations over three days.  All good.  

Friday, June 4, 2021 - This is getting frustrating.  When I checked Friday the new numbers weren't up.  And for the previous couple of days, only the cases dashboard gave me numbers.  The hospital and testing dashboards gave me error messages.  I've got an email in for that.  But I saw today (Sunday) that I never got back Friday.  Today ALL the dashboard now want me to sign in before accessing the dashboards.  There's no way listed how to do that.  But, from the home dashboards - with links to all the others - I got some numbers for the Friday update.  

No new deaths.  57/? new cases.  20 people hospitalized.

As the numbers get lower keeping up with this seems less urgent (though I hope that doesn't prove false) and I'm getting a bit less compulsive.  Perhaps that's also affecting DHSS employees who update the dashboards.  The weather's been beautiful and being outside beckons.  

Thursday, June3, 2021 - Still having trouble with the test and hospital dashboards.

No new deaths.  Three new hospitalizations.

50/44 new resident cases.  


Wednesday, June 2, 2021 - Again, the test and hospital dashboards give me error messages.

No new deaths, 7 new hospitalizations (for those who think COVID isn't serious, there are still more people being hospitalized.)  

34/84 new resident cases.  The discrepancy between my numbers and the State's seems to balance off (roughly) the difference yesterday in the opposite direction.  34 is a very decent number (in the context of previous numbers only).

Tuesday, June 1, 2021 - No data over three day weekend and today the hospital and test dashboards give me a data error.

No new deaths and only two new hospitalizations reported since Friday.  104/49 new resident cases reported.  The 104 number is over four days, so it averages out to 26 per day.  Better numbers than we've seen.  The 49 is presumably since Monday, which is much higher than the average.  I don't have an explanation.  

Friday, May 28, 2021 - For the first time since I've been recording Test Positivity (started July 21, 2020) Alaska's score is below 1.0.  .99 to be exact.  But then exactness is probably something these numbers are not.  There are lots of variables, missing data, etc.  So don't take it too literally.  But assuming they've been gathering the data roughly the same way every time, this is definitely good news.  

New resident cases is an example of how rough the data are.  Yesterday that state reported 67,357 new resident cases.  Today they report 67,403.  So Today - Yesterday = 46.  But the state says there are 88 new cases.  That's why I report my number and the state number every day.  Today, 46/88.

The state also reports two new nonresident cases, but the total number of nonresident new cases yesterday and today are the same - 2805.  

Also two new hospitalizations.  But there are three fewer COVID patients hospitalized (17) and seven more available ICU beds (37).  But that number includes all patients, not just COVID.  


Thursday, May 27, 2021 - Basically today's numbers look good.  No new deaths and two new hospitalizations bringing current COVID patients in the hospital to 20.  There are only 30 ICU beds available (and 93 being used, but not necessarily by COVID patients, obviously since there are only 20 COVID patients in hospitals now.

40/43 new resident cases.  Under 50 is going in the right direction.  

About 7100 tests.  Test Positivity is down to 1.06.  So close to getting under 1.0.  

Wednesday, May 26, 2021 - We're still in better territory than we've been in a long time, but the decline is still interrupted by steps backward.

No new deaths.  Two new hospitalizations.  Current hospitalized patients up two to 18, but still a low number.  Number of free ICU beds is down 14, but this has to be due to non-COVID patients.  

65/66 new residents cases.  Up from yesterday, but we're still under 100.  

About 7300 tests.  Test Positivity down a fraction to 1.12.  Getting so close to 1.0. 

Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - News is still good.  No new deaths. Only two new hospitalizations.  Total COVID patients currently in the hospital is down to 16.  Yesterday's 20 was the lowest number since I began tracking this back in November!  Available ICU beds up to 49.  

53/38 new resident cases.  Not sure why the State and I are so different.  Probably residual from the weekend.  New non-resident cases weren't updated.

About 3700 tests.  Test Positivity at 1.13. They changed how they report this.  It was by percent (1.13) and now it's decimal (.00113).  Or maybe I accidentally changed something on that dashboard.

I'm assuming the vaccine is playing a big role here.  We had guests out on the deck for lunch today.  All of us fully vaccinated.  Very nice.  


Monday, May 24, 2021 - Reminder, there are no Saturday or Sunday posts because the state doesn't update over the weekends. But this is one of the better days in a while.

No new deaths.  No new hospitalizations. (Not sure the latter is true, but that's what's posted.  The last time there were no new hospitalizations was February 24, 2021.  We also have only20 currently hospitalized COVID patients.  Again, the lowest number since I began tracking that number on November 18, 2021.  That day there were 147 new hospitalizations.  There are 39 available ICU beds - but it would seem most ICU beds are being used by non-COVID patients.  

92/21 new resident cases.  92 is for the weekend, the state number is for one day as I understand it.  But a three day average of under 30 is great!

About 13,600 tests over the weekend.  The Test Positivity level is 1.14 - again the lowest number since I started tracking Test Positivity on July 21, 2021. It was 2.3 then.  


Friday, May 21, 2021 - It seems I updated the chart yesterday, but not the entries here.  Ah, yes, now I remember.  There were no numbers up for non-resident cases so I was waiting for an update that never came.  

No new deaths.  One new hospitalization - up to 24 COVID patients currently in the hospital. (I say currently, but these numbers today represent what was yesterday.  Confusing?)  One more available ICU bed (41).  

64/63 new resident COVID cases.  About 5900 tests.  Test Positivity 1.68.  We've been stuck between 1.0 and 2.0 for over a week now.  That's better than we've been for a while, but we need to get below 1.0 before all the opening up and non-mask wearing starts pushing us back up again.  

Thursday, May 20, 2021 - I'm doing this on Friday.  The non-resident numbers weren't up Thursday and I didn't get back to this.  No new deaths, four new hospitalizations for a total of 23 COVID patients in the hospital.  There were 40 available ICU beds.

80/78 new resident cases.  About 6400 tests.  Test Positivity was 1.69.

Wednesday, May 19, 2021 - No new deaths.  3 new hospitalizations.  26 COVID patients currently in the hospital.  Same as yesterday, but probably not all the same people.  39 available ICU beds, up seven from yesterday.

96/95 new resident cases.  Still under 100, but not by much.  

About 5200 tests.  Test Positivity remains under 2.0 at 1.68.  Waiting for the day that we're under 1.0 and there are under 10 new resident cases.  

Tuesday, May 18, 2021 - People who think no one is dying of COVID any more should think twice.  There were 11 deaths reported yesterday (I'm sure they are over a longer period of time though) and three more reported today.  In Alaska.  

But, 53/52 new resident cases.  We're slowly moving downward.  Three new hospitalizations, two more people currently hospitalized - 26.  Available ICUs went down to 32.

About 4000 test, and Test Positivity went up to 1.69.  Fighting off mosquitoes in Denali, so that's all. 

Monday, May 17, 2021 -  Deaths apparently updated - 11 reported - but otherwise pretty good news.   131/50 new cases over the weekend.  That's an average a fraction above 40 a day.  Best we've been in a long time.  11 new hospitalizations over the weekend.  But only 24 COVID patients in the hospital now.  ICU bed availability is down to 38, but that may well be due to non-COVID  patients.

AND with about 10,000 tests over the weekend, Test Positivity is down to 1.47.  That's a week under 2.o.  


Friday, May 14, 2021 - Back up over 100 new resident cases: 109/108.  BUT Test Positivity continues to decline, slowly.  To 1.54 today on about 6900 tests.  

No new deaths.  Four new hospitalizations - those are people, real people, who are so sick they're afraid to stay home.  Imagine, you're sick.  Weak.  Having trouble breathing.  You really don't want to go to the hospital.  But you're gasping for air.  Your family members, roommates, are alarmed.  Kids are scared their parent might die.  Maybe they drive you to the emergency room.  Or maybe they call an ambulance.

Some version of that happened to four more people yesterday.  It's not some abstract theory.  347 Alaskans are dead from COVID.  1536 have been sick enough to go to the hospital.  There are 35 people in the hospital now with COVID.  That's four fewer than yesterday.  But there are also nine fewer ICU beds available - only 43.  But those aren't just four COVID patients.  

And remember, each patient takes resources - money, health care workers, equipment.  Even if you or your close friend/relative don't get COVID, you could be hit by a drunk driver, or have some other medical emergency and hospital staff will be stretched thin and exhausted and you might not get the care you expect.  

Thursday May 13, 2021 - Mostly the same-ish.  77/81 new resident cases.  No new deaths.  Seven new hospitalizations.  39 currently in the hospital with COVID. That's two less than yesterday.  And one more available ICU bed - 52.

About 7600 tests.  Test Positivity down slightly to 1.67.  

Wednesday May 12, 2021 - The good:  Test Positivity is down to 1.69.  There were about 5500 tests.

The not so good:  84/83 new resident cases.  It's good that we've stayed below 100 for a couple of days, but we aren't steadily declining.  Also there were six more hospitalizations, with 41 COVID patients in the hospital now in Alaska.  That's not a good experience for anyone.  There are 51 available ICU beds.

The ugly:  Four deaths have been reported in the last two days - two yesterday and two more today.  Yes, Alaskans are still dying of COVID, yet 32,000 Anchorage voters cast their ballots for a pandemic ignorer.  

Tuesday May 11, 2021 - Mostly good news today. Except, two new deaths reported. Perhaps that's just a late review of death certificates, not something that happened yesterday.

57/58 new resident cases.  We were 53/56  on February 23, 2021 and again back in September 23, 2020 we were at 54/56.  So, this is a big deal.  

We had about 4000 tests and Test Positivity is again at 1.76 (the seven day rolling average no puts yesterday at 1.79.  We've been under 2.0 three times now since Thursday.  

But there are still 41 COVID patients in Alaska hospitals.  Our available ICU beds is at 50.

We're moving in the right direction.  

Monday May 10, 2021 - Today's numbers reflect the accumulation since Friday.  Best news is that our Test Positivity is below 2.0 again - 1.76.  When it's under 1.0 carriers of COVID will be infecting only one person each.  There were some 27,000 tests since Friday.

230/43 new resident cases.  The average for the three days was 76.  So if the State says 43 since yesterday, Friday and Saturday's numbers would have averaged a bit above 90.  But still under 100.  

No new deaths. 12 new hospitalizations since Friday.  There are 42 COVID patients in the hospital now and 47 available ICU beds.  

Friday May 7, 2021 - I checked several times for the numbers yesterday, and then ultimately, I must have forgotten altogether.  Reconstructing the numbers is tricky.  And my numbers from Wednesday May 5 show only 112 new cases (for two days) but the State lists 114 since yesterday.  So my "new' numbers are between today and Wednesday.

One new death.  2 new hospitalizations.  46 folks currently in the hospital because of COVID, 48 available ICU beds.  

About 13,500 tests since Wednesday.  Test Positivity is 2.02.  (This is one number I can reconstruct for past days (sort of).  It was under 2 yesterday at 1.94!  YEAH!  But I say 'sort of' because those numbers are a seven day running average, so even though 1.94 is listed today, that isn't necessarily the number that was up yesterday.  

Thursday May 6, 2021 - Whoops. I checked yesterday and the numbers weren't up yet.  It appears I forgot to check again.  

Wednesday May 5, 2021 - No new deaths, three new hospitalizations.  There are four fewer COVID patients currently in the hospital, and three more available ICU  beds.

146/144 new resident cases.  Test Positivity is up slightly to 2.15.  I was hoping we'd get below 2.0.  But it didn't happen.

Tuesday, May 4, 2021 - Not bad today.  No new deaths, fewer than 100 new cases, and Test Positivity down a bit more.

Nine more hospitalizations, but three fewer COVID patients currently in the hospital.  Up twelve to 45 available ICU beds.

84/94 new resident cases.

About 4500 tests, and Test Positivity so close to 2.0 - 2.09.  Can we get below 2.0 tomorrow.  That would be a big step.  

Monday, May 3, 2021 - Glad you found the new page.  It's 2:40 pm and there aren't any new numbers up yet.

3:50pm - One new death (342 total).  Four new hospitalizations (1494 total).  But the number of current hospitalized COVID patients is the highest since January 17  (64) - three and a half months ago - at 65 (five of those are suspect COVID patients.)

269/69 new cases. My number includes three days' reports for an average of about 87 per day.  That's three days under 100.  We haven't been under 100 (by my count) since April 6.  

About 17,200 tests (over three days) with a test positivity of 2.19.  We haven't been that low since March 9.  A good sign if we continue down.  Under 1.0 is the goal. California is a 1.1 so we have no excuse. (Remember that these COVID links get updated daily, so that number will be different if you check on a day other than today.)


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