Friday, April 09, 2021

Bronson Takes The Lead In Mayor's Race by 416 Votes. But There Will Be A Runoff

 The top two mayoral candidates were the only ones to change rank in today's numbers for the Election Office.  There are still mail-in ballots to arrive.  All the other races/issues are here.


Mayor RaceTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFriday------------------------
EVANS, Bill 

999    (4)         

3,871  (4)  4,782 (4)5,505 (4)
SWANK, Albert L., Jr

36  (9)

139 (10)157 (10)173  (10)
MARTINEZ, George

321 (6)

1,272  (6)1,658 (6)1,928  (6)
MOMIN, Reza

12  (11)

35  (13)39 (13)40  (13)
FALSEY, Bill

1,281 (3)

5,312  (3)6,703  (3)7,614  (3)
HERNDON, Heather

91   (7)

303    (7)337  (7)366  (7)
ANTHONY, Anna

63  (8)

190   (8)233  (8)237  (8)
BRONSON, David

3,116  (2)

12,986  (2)15,953 (2)18,716  (1)
BROWN, Jeffrey

33  (10)

147   (9)196  (9)229  (9)
VERSTEEG, Jacob

11  (12)

31  (14)35  (14)36  (14)
ROBBINS, Mike

745   (5)

3,097   (5)3,766 (5)4,324  (5)
DUNBAR, Forrest

3,701 (1)

13,711 (1)16,458 (1)18,300 (2) 
COLBRY, Darin

8  (14)

18  (15)21 (15)25 (15)
WESTFALL, Joe

12 (11)

48  (11)61  (11)67  (11)
KERN, Jacob Seth

 (13)

38   (12)41 (12)43  (12)








Total10,43841,19850,43057,603


Clearly, there was a large chunk of more conservative voters in this last batch of about 7,000 new ballots.  Not only did Bronson take a slight lead in the Mayor's race, but the School District races tightened up too.  The progressive candidates are still in the lead, but by smaller margins.  

The mayor has to get 45% to win.  So it's pretty clear there will be a runoff.  But Falsey and Martinez voters are likely to go strongly for Dunbar in a runoff and I would imagine a reasonable share of Bill Evans' votes will too.  Robbins' votes will lean to Bronson I would imagine.

This election is one that would be decided clearly in one election if the State's new ranked-choice voting applied to Anchorage.  


Recall Vote

Total

Times Cast

9,508 / 42,059

22.61%

Candidate

Party

Total

YES

3,844

42.30%

NO

5,243

57.70%

Total Votes

9,087


I think this issue was less affected by the clump of conservative votes we got tonight because only residents of Assembly District 4 could vote on this.  

SCHOOL BOARD SEAT B (1-YEAR TERM) (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

ELEDGE, Judy Norton

19,513

38.20%

STEWART, Marilyn

5,852

11.45%

COX, Mark Anthony

5,684

11.13%

LESSENS, Kelly

20,038

39.22%

Total Votes

51,087

Total

Unresolved Write-In

417




SCHOOL BOARD SEAT E (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

HIGGINS, Pat

17,043

33.53%

HILDE, Alisha

6,557

12.90%

BLATCHFORD, Edgar

4,037

7.94%

BLAKESLEE, Rachel

4,966

9.77%

GRAHAM, Sami

16,254

31.98%

WILLIAMS, Nial Sherwood

1,967

3.87%

Total Votes

50,824

Total

Unresolved Write-In

432



SCHOOL BOARD SEAT F (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

SANDERS, Marcus

7,975

15.95%

PAULSON, Kim

16,715

33.42%

LORING, Dan

2,595

5.19%

WILSON, Dora

22,726

45.44%

Total Votes

50,011

Total

Unresolved Write-In

476


SCHOOL BOARD SEAT G (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

VAKALIS, Elisa

23,724

48.63%

JACOBS, Carl

25,056

51.37%

Total Votes

48,780

Total

Unresolved Write-In

849

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