Friday, April 09, 2021

Bronson Takes The Lead In Mayor's Race by 416 Votes. But There Will Be A Runoff

 The top two mayoral candidates were the only ones to change rank in today's numbers for the Election Office.  There are still mail-in ballots to arrive.  All the other races/issues are here.


Mayor RaceTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFriday------------------------
EVANS, Bill 

999    (4)         

3,871  (4)  4,782 (4)5,505 (4)
SWANK, Albert L., Jr

36  (9)

139 (10)157 (10)173  (10)
MARTINEZ, George

321 (6)

1,272  (6)1,658 (6)1,928  (6)
MOMIN, Reza

12  (11)

35  (13)39 (13)40  (13)
FALSEY, Bill

1,281 (3)

5,312  (3)6,703  (3)7,614  (3)
HERNDON, Heather

91   (7)

303    (7)337  (7)366  (7)
ANTHONY, Anna

63  (8)

190   (8)233  (8)237  (8)
BRONSON, David

3,116  (2)

12,986  (2)15,953 (2)18,716  (1)
BROWN, Jeffrey

33  (10)

147   (9)196  (9)229  (9)
VERSTEEG, Jacob

11  (12)

31  (14)35  (14)36  (14)
ROBBINS, Mike

745   (5)

3,097   (5)3,766 (5)4,324  (5)
DUNBAR, Forrest

3,701 (1)

13,711 (1)16,458 (1)18,300 (2) 
COLBRY, Darin

8  (14)

18  (15)21 (15)25 (15)
WESTFALL, Joe

12 (11)

48  (11)61  (11)67  (11)
KERN, Jacob Seth

 (13)

38   (12)41 (12)43  (12)








Total10,43841,19850,43057,603


Clearly, there was a large chunk of more conservative voters in this last batch of about 7,000 new ballots.  Not only did Bronson take a slight lead in the Mayor's race, but the School District races tightened up too.  The progressive candidates are still in the lead, but by smaller margins.  

The mayor has to get 45% to win.  So it's pretty clear there will be a runoff.  But Falsey and Martinez voters are likely to go strongly for Dunbar in a runoff and I would imagine a reasonable share of Bill Evans' votes will too.  Robbins' votes will lean to Bronson I would imagine.

This election is one that would be decided clearly in one election if the State's new ranked-choice voting applied to Anchorage.  


Recall Vote

Total

Times Cast

9,508 / 42,059

22.61%

Candidate

Party

Total

YES

3,844

42.30%

NO

5,243

57.70%

Total Votes

9,087


I think this issue was less affected by the clump of conservative votes we got tonight because only residents of Assembly District 4 could vote on this.  

SCHOOL BOARD SEAT B (1-YEAR TERM) (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

ELEDGE, Judy Norton

19,513

38.20%

STEWART, Marilyn

5,852

11.45%

COX, Mark Anthony

5,684

11.13%

LESSENS, Kelly

20,038

39.22%

Total Votes

51,087

Total

Unresolved Write-In

417




SCHOOL BOARD SEAT E (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

HIGGINS, Pat

17,043

33.53%

HILDE, Alisha

6,557

12.90%

BLATCHFORD, Edgar

4,037

7.94%

BLAKESLEE, Rachel

4,966

9.77%

GRAHAM, Sami

16,254

31.98%

WILLIAMS, Nial Sherwood

1,967

3.87%

Total Votes

50,824

Total

Unresolved Write-In

432



SCHOOL BOARD SEAT F (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

SANDERS, Marcus

7,975

15.95%

PAULSON, Kim

16,715

33.42%

LORING, Dan

2,595

5.19%

WILSON, Dora

22,726

45.44%

Total Votes

50,011

Total

Unresolved Write-In

476


SCHOOL BOARD SEAT G (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

58,446 / 236,619

24.70%

Candidate

Party

Total

VAKALIS, Elisa

23,724

48.63%

JACOBS, Carl

25,056

51.37%

Total Votes

48,780

Total

Unresolved Write-In

849

Thursday, April 08, 2021

Almost No Changes In Rank In Anchorage Mayor Race From Tuesday to Thursday

Here are the results from Tuesday night, Wednesday night, and Thursday night in the Anchorage Mayor's race.  There is almost no change in the rankings from night to night.  From Tuesday to Wednesday a couple of people traded ranks.  The biggest shift is due to a tie for 11th place on the first night.  There were NO changes in rank for the top eight candidates from night to night.

From Wednesday to Thursday there are no changes in rank.  

I'm guessing that, at least in part, this is due to mail in voting.  Instead of votes coming in from different precincts which often are more politically homogenous, they came in from all over.  


Mayor Race Tuesday Wednesday Thursday ----------- ------------------ ------
EVANS, Bill 

999    (4)         

3,871  (4)   4,782 (4)

SWANK, Albert L., Jr

36  (9)

139 (10) 157 (10)

MARTINEZ, George

321 (6)

1,272  (6) 1,658 (6)

MOMIN, Reza

12  (11)

35  (13) 39 (13)

FALSEY, Bill

1,281 (3)

5,312  (3) 6,703  (3)

HERNDON, Heather

91   (7)

303    (7) 337  (7)

ANTHONY, Anna

63  (8)

190   (8) 233  (8)

BRONSON, David

3,116  (2)

12,986  (2) 15,953 (2)

BROWN, Jeffrey

33  (10)

147   (9) 196  (9)

VERSTEEG, Jacob

11  (12)

31  (14) 35  (14)

ROBBINS, Mike

745   (5)

3,097   (5) 3,766 (5)

DUNBAR, Forrest

3,701 (1)

13,711 (1) 16,458 (1)

COLBRY, Darin

8  (14)

18  (15) 21 (15)

WESTFALL, Joe

12 (11)

48  (11) 61  (11)

KERN, Jacob Seth

9  (13)

38   (12) 41 (12)









Total 10,438 41,198 50,430


Looking at the numbers  makes me wonder about the standards for getting on the ballot.  I think we wasted a time at candidate forums by having candidates who couldn't even get 100 votes out of 50,000.  While I do think candidates without a chance of winning can add different points of view to the debate, having too many candidates at a forum means the public gets to question the main candidates less.  


I wanted to do the same thing for the other races, but I needed to think this through better technically before I started.  But I'll leave Wednesday night totals for the recall and school board races below.  I don't think there are any changes in rank, but some races tightened, others widened. 

You can get to the totals for each night on the Municipal Election Page.

Candidate

Party

Total

YES

3,417

42.34%

NO

4,653

57.66%

Total Votes

8,070



Candidate

Party

Total

ELEDGE, Judy Norton

16,697

37.28%

STEWART, Marilyn

5,240

11.70%

COX, Mark Anthony

5,051

11.28%

LESSENS, Kelly

17,801

39.74%

Total Votes

44,789

Total

Unresolved Write-In

371




Candidate

Party

Total

HIGGINS, Pat

15,188

34.06%

HILDE, Alisha

5,780

12.96%

BLATCHFORD, Edgar

3,624

8.13%

BLAKESLEE, Rachel

4,426

9.92%

GRAHAM, Sami

13,905

31.18%

WILLIAMS, Nial Sherwood

1,673

3.75%

Total Votes

44,596

Total

Unresolved Write-In

383



Candidate

Party

Total

SANDERS, Marcus

6,988

15.92%

PAULSON, Kim

14,321

32.64%

LORING, Dan

2,374

5.41%

WILSON, Dora

20,199

46.03%

Total Votes

43,882

Total

Unresolved Write-In

423



Candidate

Party

Total

VAKALIS, Elisa

20,641

48.20%

JACOBS, Carl

22,186

51.80%

Total Votes

42,827

Total

Unresolved Write-In

737




Wednesday, April 07, 2021

Yesterday's Early Election Results Appear Unchanged In New Report Today

 Going through the latest report which just got posted, it appears those leading last night are still leading now.

Mayoral Race:  Bronson (12,986) is still trailing Dunbar (13,711).

Recall:  The NO vote (3,821) has increased its lead over the YES vote (3,821).


School Board Seat B:  Kelly Lessens (14,494) is still ahead of Judy Norton Eledge (13,588)

School Board Seat E:  Pat Higgins (12,549) is still ahead of Sami Graham (11,326)

School Board Seat F:  Dora Wilson (16,491) has increased her lead over Kim Paulson (11,790)

School Board Seat G:  Carl Jacobs (18,161) is still leading Elisa Vakalis (16,914)

You can see all the details at the Municipal Election Page as well as results on neighborhood elections bond issues.

You can see yesterday's results in my post last night and compare how much change there has been in the standings. 

Tuesday, April 06, 2021

Early Results Of Anchorage Election - We'll See later How Many In The Lead Now End Up There [UPDATED]

[UPDATE: Wednesday April 7, 2021 8:30am: I have only been able to get the original early results marked as 8:42pm. I tired various times last night and again this morning.  No changes.  I just talked to Brandy (Brandi?) at the Municipal Clerk's office.  She told me those are the only results so far.  They are working on them and probably will have an update tonight. (In the past there were regular updates as the ballots came in.  That didn't happen this time.)  Brandy also told me that if you want to be alerted when the numbers are updated, you can text "Start" to 907 312 1012.]



 Early Anchorage election results from the Municipal Election page:


Mayor:

EVANS, Bill

999

SWANK, Albert L., Jr.

36

MARTINEZ, George

321

MOMIN, Reza

12

FALSEY, Bill

1,281

HERNDON, Heather

91

ANTHONY, Anna

63

BRONSON, David

3,116

BROWN, Jeffrey

33

VERSTEEG, Jacob

11

ROBBINS, Mike

745

DUNBAR, Forrest

3,701

COLBRY, Darin

8

WESTFALL, Joe

12

KERN, Jacob Seth

9

Total Votes

10,438


Rivera Recall

Candidate

Party

Total

YES

638

NO

939

Total Votes

1,577


School Board B

SCHOOL BOARD SEAT B (1-YEAR TERM) (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

10,606 / 236,619

4.48%

Candidate

Party

Total

ELEDGE, Judy Norton

3,376

STEWART, Marilyn

1,173

COX, Mark Anthony

1,081

LESSENS, Kelly

3,699

Total Votes

9,329

Total

Unresolved Write-In

80



School Board E

Times Cast

10,606 / 236,619

4.48%

Candidate

Party

Total

HIGGINS, Pat

3,264

HILDE, Alisha

1,264

BLATCHFORD, Edgar

830

BLAKESLEE, Rachel

906

GRAHAM, Sami

2,692

WILLIAMS, Nial Sherwood

360

Total Votes

9,316

Total

Unresolved Write-In

79

School Board F

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

10,606 / 236,619

4.48%

Candidate

Party

Total

SANDERS, Marcus

1,463

PAULSON, Kim

2,888

LORING, Dan

539

WILSON, Dora

4,260

Total Votes

9,150

Total

Unresolved Write-In

85

School Board G

Total

Times Cast

10,606 / 236,619

4.48%

Candidate

Party

Total

VAKALIS, Elisa

4,166

JACOBS, Carl

4,726

Total Votes

8,892

Total

Unresolved Write-In

174


You can check here till all the ballots are in.

Alaska Airlines Safety Dance Goes OneWorld

 When I was relatively new to Alaska, I went to a public administration meeting downtown during the annual Fur Rendezvous.  Walking from my car I passed the ice sculptures which included a large structure with a slide.  I couldn't resist.  I went up the ice steps and slid down the slide.  And went on to the meeting.

Sometime later, one of my graduate students, a women older than I, told me that she had seen me go down the ice slide and that was the moment that she knew I was okay.  

Later I read an article about how Japanese CEOs participate in all day company retreats and join in some activities in which they aren't particularly skilled - maybe karaoke or basketball - and that showing their clumsier selves in front of all their employees is a way to humanize them and connect them with the people they work with.  

Those were my thoughts as I watched Alaska Airlines' video welcoming them to OneWorld - an alliance of, now 14, airlines around the world.  I understand the importance of OneWorld membership because when we went to Argentina a couple of years ago, LATAM airlines told me "if you are a OneWorld member" you can get much better prices and services.  

The video starts with Alaska Airlines' president and then he gets welcomed by the heads of the various airlines in the group.  Then at the end they do the Alaska Airlines safety dance, an adaptation of the Virgin Airlines safety video Alaska acquired when they bought Virgin Airlines.  (The Virgin one is worth looking at - an example of how imagination can take a boring safety announcement and make it riveting.)

So below is the second part of Alaska's new OneWorld welcome video - the part that involves a variation on the safety dance, including the CEOs of the various member airlines.  [I'll have to wait until it's actually posted to be sure it starts at the dance.  If not, the dance starts at about 3:16]



Sure, it's a PR video, but with a spirit that takes off the corporate suits and gets seriously playful