Berkowitz at 37%, Demboski 24%, Halcro 21% at 10:32pm Report

Registered Voters 206033 - Cards Cast 45490 22.08%

Num. Report Precinct 124 - Num. Reporting 119 95.97%

MAYOR Total Number of Precincts 124 Precincts Reporting 119 96.0% Times Counted 45490/206033 22.1% Total Votes 45206 KERN, Jacob Seth 49 0.11% SPEZIALE, Samuel Jos 27 0.06% AHERN, Lance 307 0.68% BAUER, Paul 160 0.35% BERKOWITZ, Ethan 16890 37.36% COFFEY, Dan 6467 14.31% DARDEN, Dustin 460 1.02% DEMBOSKI, Amy 10902 24.12% HALCRO, Andrew 9714 21.49% HUIT, Timothy 94 0.21% JAMISON, Christopher 29 0.06% Write-in Votes 107 0.24%

Halcro 1000 Votes Behind Demboski, 7,000 Behind Berkowitz - 10:22pm Report

43795 votes in as of the 10:11pm report.  That's 21.26% of the registered voters (many of whom are phantom).  This may be close to half the people who actually voted, though this is a mayoral race and one with lots of candidates.

If things stay the same, Berkowitz will face Demboski in a runoff. 

Registered Voters 206033 - Cards Cast 43795 21.26%

Num. Report Precinct 124 - Num. Reporting 116 93.55%

MAYOR
		Total
Number of Precincts		124
Precincts Reporting		116	93.5%
Times Counted		43795/206033	21.3%
Total Votes		43519
KERN, Jacob Seth		48	0.11%
SPEZIALE, Samuel Jos		27	0.06%
AHERN, Lance		292	0.67%
BAUER, Paul		153	0.35%
BERKOWITZ, Ethan		16345	37.56%
COFFEY, Dan		6236	14.33%
DARDEN, Dustin		452	1.04%
DEMBOSKI, Amy		10375	23.84%
HALCRO, Andrew		9372	21.54%
HUIT, Timothy		90	0.21%
JAMISON, Christopher		29	0.07%
Write-in Votes		100	0.23%

 Meanwhile, Prop 3 is even further behind 43% Yes, 56% No.

School board races show incumbents winning.  Snelling is 1300 votes ahead of Marsett in Seat G.

You can see the results yourselves at two muni sites:

1.  For mayoral and school board races

2. For ballot measures

Rankings Holding - Berkowitz back to 38%, Demboski 23%, Halcro 21%, Coffey 14%

21:55pm Updated numbers: 

MAYOR
		Total
Number of Precincts		124
Precincts Reporting		108	87.1%
Times Counted		39779/206033	19.3%
Total Votes		39525
KERN, Jacob Seth		46	0.12%
SPEZIALE, Samuel Jos		25	0.06%
AHERN, Lance		269	0.68%
BAUER, Paul		143	0.36%
BERKOWITZ, Ethan		15135	38.29%
COFFEY, Dan		5600	14.17%
DARDEN, Dustin		416	1.05%
DEMBOSKI, Amy		9270	23.45%
HALCRO, Andrew		8417	21.30%
HUIT, Timothy		85	0.22%
JAMISON, Christopher		28	0.07%
Write-in Votes		91	0.23%

Berkowitz Still Ahead With 38% At 9:26pm Election Update, Then Demboski At 23%

With 20,985 votes counted, here's the 9:26pm report

MAYOR
		Total
Number of Precincts		124
Precincts Reporting		62	50.0%
Times Counted		21119/206033	10.3%
Total Votes		20985
KERN, Jacob Seth		25	0.12%
SPEZIALE, Samuel Jos		16	0.08%
AHERN, Lance		141	0.67%
BAUER, Paul		77	0.37%
BERKOWITZ, Ethan		8128	38.73%
COFFEY, Dan		2868	13.67%
DARDEN, Dustin		235	1.12%
DEMBOSKI, Amy		4878	23.25%
HALCRO, Andrew		4508	21.48%
HUIT, Timothy		46	0.22%
JAMISON, Christopher		19	0.09%
Write-in Votes		44	0.21%

[UPDATE 9:54 -And another report came out a few minutes later giving Berkowitz 39% and Demboski 22%, Halcro 21%]

MAYOR
		Total
Number of Precincts		124
Precincts Reporting		74	59.7%
Times Counted		25955/206033	12.6%
Total Votes		25781
KERN, Jacob Seth		31	0.12%
SPEZIALE, Samuel Jos		19	0.07%
AHERN, Lance		175	0.68%
BAUER, Paul		96	0.37%
BERKOWITZ, Ethan		10056	39.01%
COFFEY, Dan		3553	13.78%
DARDEN, Dustin		287	1.11%
DEMBOSKI, Amy		5919	22.96%
HALCRO, Andrew		5502	21.34%
HUIT, Timothy		58	0.22%
JAMISON, Christopher		22	0.09%
Write-in Votes		63	0.24%

And the 9:32pm report on the ballot measures shows them all passing comfortably except Number 3 which is losing by 11% still. I've listed the items voted on for #3 in the previous post.

Early Election Results - Anchorage [Updated]

[Check for more recent posts in the blog archive to the right - like this one.] 

While I'm waiting for the early results, let me note that the election results page at the Municipality says there are 206,033 voters. A Muni report gives the 2010 population at 291,836 with 74% of the population 18 years of age or over.  The state Department of Labor estimates Anchorage has 300,549 in 2015.  If we use that number, then 228,417 Anchorage residents would be old enough to be registered voters.  That would mean 90% of eligible Anchorage voters are actually eligible to vote.  That's much higher than national averages.  Nationally, registration is about 70%.

This is not new news.  In fact, it's a great improvement over 2014 when 103% of Anchorage's eligible voters were registered.   Some people are no longer Alaska residents - they've died or moved out of state, but haven't been purged from the voter rolls.  Some of those out of state have maintained Alaska residency and still vote - some military and others who can stay eligible for the permanent fund checks.  And there are Alaskans overseas who maintain their residency.


OK, here are the first returns 9:01pm:

MAYOR
		Total
Number of Precincts		124
Precincts Reporting		24	19.4%
Times Counted		6657/206033	3.2%
Total Votes		6606
KERN, Jacob Seth		9	0.14%
SPEZIALE, Samuel Jos		7	0.11%
AHERN, Lance		41	0.62%
BAUER, Paul		26	0.39%
BERKOWITZ, Ethan		2594	39.27%
COFFEY, Dan		910	13.78%
DARDEN, Dustin		72	1.09%
DEMBOSKI, Amy		1555	23.54%
HALCRO, Andrew		1358	20.56%
HUIT, Timothy		17	0.26%
JAMISON, Christopher		3	0.05%
Write-in Votes		14	0.21%

[UPDATE 9:27pm

Most of the bond measures are passing at this point - 11,000 votes - except for Prop 3 which is behind by 11%.  All the other are ahead by at least 11%.  Here, from the League of Women's Voters link, are the projects that are in Prop. 3. 

Project	Estimated Cost	Estimated Annual O&M
Anchorage Golf Course – maintenance of chalet	$500,000	$0
Library – automated handling system	$850,000	$0
Chester Creek Sports Complex – expand parking lot and relocate Mulcahy Stadium	$1,500,000	$0
Facility safety and code upgrades	2,500,000	$0

Is it the golf course they don't like?  Chester Creek?  The library?  Or maybe people are suspicious about the zero operation and maintenance estimates.  

Why Most Alaskans Haven't Seen Off-Road Alaska

Except for people who have to fly to off-road Alaska for work, most Alaskans haven't seen those parts of the state, because it's generally significantly cheaper to fly Outside the state.  At least from Anchorage.  Here's an example from today's Club 49 specials. 

Dutch Harbor - 793 miles from Anchorage - is, and this is a special deal, $349 one way.  That comes to $.47 per mile.

Anchorage to Denver comes to $.08 per mile. 

Anchorage to Los Angeles comes to $.0678 per mile. 



The Nome price, for Alaska travel, seems almost reasonable, until you calculate that it comes to $.20 per mile, a lot cheaper than Dutch Harbor, but three times as much as to LA.






Note:  The Dutch Harbor, Denver, and Nome images come from the Club 49 page today.  Club 49 is a special deal for Alaska residents only.  The only way I've figured out how to get to it from the Alaska Airlines website, is to use Ask Jenn, the website's Virtual Assistant.  I either get to it from an email link or by googling.

The LA flight information was from looking up ANC-LAX flights for April.

The distance information comes from the Alaska Airlines Timetable. 

There's More Than Mayor Candidates On Tuesday's Ballot

Besides the long list of mayoral candidates, there are ballot measures too.

Prop. 1: $59,250,000 Capital Improvements for the Anchorage School District Bonds

Prop. 2: $6,760,000 Areawide Safety and Public Transportation Capital Improvement Bonds

Prop. 3: $5,350,000 Areawide Facilities Capital Improvement Project Bonds

Prop. 4: $2,750,000 Anchorage Parks and Recreation Service Area Capital Improvement Bonds

Prop. 5: $17,030,000 Anchorage Roads and Drainage Service Area Road and Storm Drainage Bonds

Prop. 6: $1,800,000 Anchorage Fire Service Area Fire Protection Bonds

Then there's one more that only Girdwood residents vote on to create and maintain a municipal cemetery in Girdwood.

The League of Women Voters has the details of each measure here.

Altogether, these six measures add about $26 to the tax bill of someone in a $100,000 house according to the document.  That's about $100 for a $400,000 house.  Or about the cost of taking a family of four to dinner and a movie.  Even for a cheap guy like me, that's a real bargain.  We all pitch in a little bit and get a lot in return. 

[For those of you who are subscribers and are getting this for the third time, I apologize.  I'm reposting it because Feedburner is not sending this out to blogrolls and reposting has been an imperfect, but sometimes successful, way to get it to work in the past.]

Tjere [Updated]

[Update: Monday 9:37am:  This must be the shortest post ever.  There's a good reason.  I'd typed the title and it had saved (not published) and then I went back and edited it and wrote a whole new post.  That was the one on why our brains are wired to ignore climate change.   Somehow, that became a separate post and then this one went up too.  I'd prepared another post on the bond issues in tomorrow's election in Anchorage, but hadn't posted it.  When I checked that page, it was still open waiting to be published.  Except, except, it said, "revert to draft" instead of publish.  That means it's been published already, so I just closed it instead.  But now it seems to be totally gone.  Happy Monday.]

Why Our Brains Are Wired To Ignore Climate Change.

That's the subtitle of a book by George Marshall, the Citizens' Climate Lobby speaker at Saturday's international phone in meeting.  He called in from Wales, I believe, and spoke to the 250 or so local chapters around the US and Canada.  (I don't recall hearing that the European, Asian, Australian, or South American chapters are in on the calls.)

I'm in LA, so I biked over to the LA chapter meeting in Westwood.  It was fun to meet CCL folks here and I got a lot of ideas from them to take back to Anchorage - events they're participating in, they've made CCL T-shirts, and they were really well focused on evaluating which of their activities had the most impact so they can best use their time.

And it was also interesting to ponder on how in Anchorage, with a population of 310,000 we get 10-12 people at most meetings and the LA group had only eight people (plus they poached one Alaskan). (Several of their regular members were out of town or otherwise busy Saturday.)  We talked about how it is harder in a big metropolitan area to get people than in a smaller place where people know each other better.  And even though California is a very blue state in the midst of an historic drought, they related that people really don't want to talk about it - which is what the speaker, George Marshall said too.  But in Anchorage, I don't see that.  People talk about climate change all the time - it's effects are much more visible.  And maybe the effects we have - glaciers retreating at record rates, sea ice disappearance meaning more open water and massive erosion of coast lines and villages on them, permafrost melting, snow-free dogsledding - are all easier to connect to global warming.  And we also have a Fairbanks chapter and a couple more chapters hatching - in the MatSu valley and in Sitka.  Whereas the LA chapter covers a bunch of congressional districts, we in Alaska can all focus on one member of congress.

Our group was pretty old, pretty white, and economically comfortable.  There needs to be a younger and more diverse group. And we do in Anchorage.   On the other hand, this older, well educated group, have the perspective, time, and resources to fight this battle.  We have our grand children's futures at stake. 

Anyway, the book, as Marshall described it, goes into how the brain is wired - the rational thinking side is slower to act than the emotional side.  And since this is

1. a complex problem that requires a lot of patience to truly understand
2. a problem people don't want to accept 
3. a story they don't like 
4. and a story teller they don't like

the doubters will continue to doubt.   He also discussed confirmation bias - that we seek out and believe those 'facts' that support our preset beliefs.  This is a problem for both sides - the believers in climate change and the doubters. 

This is a problem that has costs today, for a problem that most people see as out in the future (and for the doubters, if at all).

So, his advice is to change the structure of the story.

• It's something happening here and now - it's what's behind the severe weather patterns we are seeing around the globe
• There's a powerful story here, but there is no 'enemy' and enemies are important for getting people to act   - so we tend to make the doubters the enemy which isn't a story they buy

He talked about this as the biggest story we DON'T tell.  There is a great silence.  This isn't part of my experience, but I recognize that because I'm tuned into this story, I see it everywhere. Other people at the meeting did mention later that they experienced people not wanting to talk about climate change.  In fact he said we should take a page from the religious communities that  takes their messages out to strangers. He talked about a 'socially constructed science' that makes people purposely avoid the topic and likened it to the silence about apartheid in South Africa - which was also a big silence. 

He said he respects the energy and drive of the Tea Party who are opposed to how things are and we should treat them respectfully (ah, yes, my detractors don't like that message I keep giving) and engage them in climate change discussions and get them away from the other issues that are distracting them.  He praised CCL for its conviction that we must speak with those who don't agree with us and that we treat them with respect. 

Great change can happen quickly, he said, and recommended Adam Hochschild's Bury The Chains, an account of high a small group in England took on all the vested interests to get slavery banned at the end of the 18th Century.

In some ways, this speaker had less to tell me that I didn't know than most other speakers, but there were still some nuggets and reinforcement of things I know, but haven't articulated lately. 

You can listen in to the meeting here (while you jog or clean the bathroom or whatever task you have where you can listen too).

One thought I had was about how to make this story very much here and now - it's to ask the person I talk to, to think about the world they will be leaving for their children and grandchildren.  To take their ages and add 25 years.  How old will they be?  Anyone over 50 knows that 25 years will come quickly.  I think of my 2 year old granddaughter and nearly one year old grandson.  I don't want them to be in their mid-twenties in a world of chaos caused by climate change.  Where weather patterns have disrupted human food production and people are literally fighting for food and water.  It's already happening around the world.  The revolt in Syria happened after years of drought and increasing economic instability for farmers.  While we currently have the resources to recover from storms like Sandy, other parts of the world don't, and as time goes by, and disasters become even more common,  neither will we.

That's why I think this fight is worth fighting now.  As someone said Saturday, maybe Marshall, the gains we make now are like compound interest - the benefits grow quickly.  But, in this case, the benefits really are just a lessening of the climate caused disruptions of humanity. 

And I'm at CCL meetings the first Saturday of each month, because they are highly and efficiently focused on one goal now - getting a carbon fee with dividend passed by congress.  Shi-Ling Hsu The Case for a  Carbon Tax convinced me that this was the most politically feasible option that could seriously lower carbon emissions.  This organization is incredible at energizing and supporting its members, networking with like-minded organizations, and moving toward the goal.  Being there is a lesson for any non-profit on how to operate.  (I say this as a very critical student of organization behavior.)

Margie and crew, thanks for being such gracious hosts to this Alaskan. 

Catching The Power Of Art In Action In Venice And Selfie Wall

I passed to people painting the power box for the traffic signal at Lincoln and Rose, so I rode back to ask about what they were doing.

 

Blair Abney is in the green hat and Ian Soto is working on the other side.  They told me it's part of a program to let artists paint various traffic signals. And he went through his paper work and showed me this letter.  It didn't have the name of the group, but it did show permission to paint the boxes at various intersections, including Lincoln and Rose.  Blair can be found as Peachie Paws on Deviant Art and Ian as Mongoose Jack. ([Blair sent me the link.]  I'm leaving the link off until I'm sure because there are different Mongoose names at Deviant Art, and nothing exactly Mongoose Jack.)

The wording does seem a bit odd - the head of the Department of Transportation "approves [a] request" from a city council member, as though the city council didn't have the ultimate power over the city's department of transportation.  Rather than 'approving' it seems he should be "happy to carrying out the council member's request", or, if necessary, pointing out the regulation that is in the way.  I know nothing about Selwyn Hollins*, but it seems a pompous way to respond. 

I did google traffic signal box painting and got to The Power Of Art's website.  I also found their business plan which included their mission statement:

"The Power of Art’s mission is to enable artists, organizations, and everyday people to paint murals on traffic signal boxes and in crosswalks on more than 4,000 street corners in Los Angeles. The vision of Power of Art is to unite and inspire Los Angeles’s artists, organizations, and everyday people by giving them the opportunity to leave their creative mark on history through artistically transforming their communities. "

The art on the box above isn't quite my style - a little to Disneyish.  I like this sort of stuff to be a little edgier, but a lot of people like this as well.  And it's better than a plain box. 

A mile later, when I got to the beach, I passed this selfie wall which gives people a place to take selfies with a bit of a smirk.

According to @The MostFamousArtist at #selfiewall, this was completed March 12.  



*When I write something like "I know nothing about . . ." I, of course, then have to see what I can find.  Here's a very brief bio.