NPR and Harvard put together a model for how much testing state's need to do before opening up businesses and relaxing stay at home orders. Alaska is among the nine states they deemed doing enough testing. The others are Hawaii, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.
I've added more on that at the bottom of this post.
CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
| ||||||
| Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | Saturday | Sunday |
| new/total | hos=hospital | 12th = 0/0 | 13th = 1/1 | 14th = 0/1 | 15th = 0/1 | |
| 16th = 0/1 | 17th = 2/3 | 18th = 3/6 | 19th = 3/9 | 20th = 3/12 | 21st= 2/14 | 22nd= 8/22 |
| 23rd=14/36 | 24th =6/42 1 hos 1 dead | 25th = 17/59 3 hos 1 dead | 26th = 10/69 3 hos 1 dead | 27th =16/89 5 hos 2 dead | 28th = 13/102 6 hos 2 dead | 29th= 12/114 7 hos 3 dead |
| 30th=5/119 7 hos 3 dead | 31st= 14/133 9 hos 3 dead | |||||
| April 2020 | 1st= 10/143 9 hos 3 dead | 2nd=8(6)/149 13 hos 3 dead | 3rd=8(11)157 15 hos 3 dead | 4th=15/171 16 hos 5 dead | 5th= 14/185 20 hos 6 dead | |
| 6th=6/191 23 hosp 6 dead | 7th= 22/213 23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered | 8th= 13/226 27 hosp 7 dead 32 recovered | 9th= 9/235 27 hosp 7 dead 49 recovered | 10th=11/246 28 hosp 7 dead 55 recovered | 11th=11/257 31 hosp 8 dead 63 recovered | 12th= 15/272 31 hosp 8 dead 66 recovered |
| 13th= 5/277 32 Hosp 8 dead 85 Recovered | 14th = 8/285 32 Hosp 9 dead 98 Recovered | 15th= 8/293 34 Hosp 9 dead 106 Recovered | 16th= 7/300 35 hosp 9 dead 110 recovered | 17th= 9/309 36 hosp 9 dead 128 recovered | 18th = 5/315 36 hos 9 dead 147 Recovered | 19th= 4/319 36 hos 9 dead 153Recovered |
| 20th 2/321 36 hos 9 dead 161 recovered | 21st 8/329 36 hos 9 dead 168 recovered | 22nd 6/335 36 hos 9 dead 196recovered | 23nd 2/337 36 hos 9 dead 209recovered | 24th 2/339 36 hos 9 dead 208recovered (-1 from 4/23) | 25th 0/339 36 hos 9 dead 217recovered | 26th 2/341 36 hos 9 dead 217recovered |
| 27th 4/345 37 hos 9 dead 218recovered | 28th 6/351 37 hos 9 dead 228 recovered | 29th 4/355 36 hos 9 dead 240recovered | 30th 0/355 36 hos 9 dead 252recovered | |||
| May 2020 | 1st 9/364 36 hos 9 dead 254recovered | 2nd 1/365 36 hos 9 dead 261recovered | 3rd 3/368 36 hos 9 dead 262recovered | |||
| 4th 2/370 37 hos 9 dead 263recovered | 5th 1/371 38 hos 9 dead 277 recovered | 6th 1/372 38 hos 10 dead 284recovered | 7th 2/372 38 hos 10 dead 291recovered | |||
State Charts
This screen shot is high resolution so you can click on it to enlarge and focus. But click here if you want to use the chart interactively, to play with the original and see other charts they have.
My Day-To-Day Chart
Alaska Covid-19 Data NewFor... by Steve on Scribd
In the last week, Alaska has tested just under 5000 more people. But remember, people who have been tested and found negative, could be exposed the next day.
The Harvard model looks at two main things - how many tests a state needs to do to be able to phase out social distancing.
Alaska is in great shape, compared to most states. Here are their numbers for Alaska. The death column is just to give a sense of the issue for each state. Our target for tests is well below our actual 89 tests/100K people. And we're way below the ratio they want for positive tests/overall tests. The target is 10% maximum, and we're at less than one-half percent (.4%)."How Much Testing Does Your State Need To Contain Its Outbreak?Harvard’s Global Health Institute estimated minimum targets for how much testing each state needs by May 15 to contain its outbreak through a strategy of testing, tracing and isolating positive cases and their contacts. Death rates are provided as a marker of outbreak size. A positive test ratio of 10% or less is the target advised by the World Health Organization. States with higher ratios may not be testing enough, or testing a diverse enough pool of people."
You can see the list of all the states here.
Here's the piece describing this on NPR:
