Thursday, May 28, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count Thursday May 28, 2020 - 13 New Cases!!

THIRTEEN NEW CASES!  That's the highest number, by far, since April 12 when we had 15 new cases.  The highest we had before that was 9 new cases.  But mostly under 5. Since May 1 they've all been under 5.  So this is significant.

This could be a one day anomaly, or it could be the result of opening back up, or it could be the influx of people coming to Alaska for the commercial fishing season.  It's not good.  The State chart shows four were from Anchorage, seven from Kenai, one each from Juneau and the North Slope Borough.


ProPublica has a page with what might be called a report card for each state.  They say only 11 states get a green light on all five categories.  I thought Alaska would be one, but it's not.  The first two categories show a weakness in these metrics.  Alaska numbers haven't had a steady decline in the last week, but that's because the numbers are so low.  We've had been 0 and 4 new cases a day - mostly ones and twos.  If you have one's for five days, even zeros, and then go up to two, you'd have an increase and not get a green check mark (if I understand this right.)  Also, the percentage of positive tests is way below their 30% benchmark, but it's not going down.  Again because the numbers are so low.  The last category is one that I haven't seen before.  I'll have to look at the State's charts again to see if it's there.  Despite not getting all green checks, Alaska is doing well, though I'd like to know more about the last category.  You can see all the states at the Propublica link.  (I'd note that this chart was before today's numbers.)


Thanks KS for the tip.


CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th= 12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=15/171
16 hos 5 dead
5th= 14/185
20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191
23 hosp
6 dead
7th= 22/213
23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered
8th= 13/226
27 hosp 7 dead
32 recovered
9th= 9/235
27 hosp 7 dead
49 recovered
10th=11/246
28 hosp 7 dead
55 recovered
11th=11/257
31 hosp 8 dead
63 recovered
12th= 15/272
31 hosp 8 dead
66 recovered
13th= 5/277
32 Hosp 8 dead
85 Recovered
14th = 8/285
32 Hosp 9 dead
98 Recovered
15th= 8/293
34 Hosp 9 dead
106 Recovered
16th= 7/300
35 hosp 9 dead
110 recovered
17th=  9/309
36 hosp 9 dead
128 recovered
18th =  5/315
36 hos 9 dead
147 Recovered
19th= 4/319
36 hos 9 dead
153Recovered
20th 2/321
36 hos 9 dead
161 recovered
21st 8/329
36 hos 9 dead
168 recovered
22nd  6/335
36 hos  dead
196recovered
23nd  2/337
36 hos  dead
209recovered
24th  2/339
36 hos  dead
208recovered (-1 from 4/23)
25th  0/339
36 hos  dead
217recovered
26th  2/341
36 hos  dead
217recovered
27th  4/345
37 hos  dead
218recovered
28th  6/351
37 hos  dead
228 recovered
29th  4/355
36 hos  dead
240recovered
30th  0/355
36 hos  dead
252recovered



May 2020



1st  9/364
36 hos  dead
254recovered
2nd  1/365
36 hos  dead
261recovered
3rd  3/368
36 hos  dead
262recovered
4th  2/370
37 hos  dead
263recovered
5th  1/371
38 hos  dead
277 recovered
6th  1/372
38 hos 10 dead
284recovered
7th  2/374
38 hos 10 dead
291recovered
8th  3/377
38 hos 10 dead
305recovered
9th  1/378
38 hos 10 dead
318recovered
10th  1/379
38 hos 10 dead
324recovered
11th  1/381
38 hos 10 dead
328recovered
12th  2/383
38 hos 10 dead
334 recovered
13th  0/383
38 hos 10 dead
335recovered
14th  4/387
39 hos 10 dead
339recovered
15th  1/388
41 hos 10 dead
343recovered
16th  4/392
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
17th  4/396
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
18th  3/399
43 hos 10 dead
345recovered
19th  0/399
43 hos 10 dead
348 recovered
20th  3/402
44 hos 10 dead
352recovered
21st  0/402
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
22st  2/404
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
23rd4/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
24th 0/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
25th1/409
45 hos 10 dead
361recovered
26th 2/411
45 hos 10 dead
362 recovered
27th 2/411
46 hos 10 dead
362recovered
28th13/425
46 hos 10 dead
366recovered








The State Charts





The screen shot is high resolution so you can click on it to enlarge and focus. Click here if you want to use the chart interactively,


My Day-By-Day Chart






Wednesday, May 27, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count Wednesday May 27, 2020 - 2 New Cases, 1 New Hospitalization, 2 New Recoveries

Measurement is tricky.  We have to remember that these numbers represent people who have been tested and officially found to be positive.  There are likely other positives with low or no symptoms who haven't been tested.  Also, timing is tricky.  Some results come out the day a person is tested, others later.  So these numbers aren't necessarily an accurate tracking, even of those officially testing positive.  At least not in a day-by-day tracking.  But it's what we've got.  Another twist is that people are tracked by their state, not where they physically are.  So Alaskans who get sick, even die, Outside are counted in our numbers.  People from other states who are tested positive in Alaska are counted in their home state stats.  Though some might show up for a time in Alaska stats until that is straightened out.

One new case is a nice low number, though we'd like to see zeros.  Another hospitalization means a more severe case and isn't good.  But at least our hospital capacity isn't being taxed hard yet.  Two more recovered.  Total official active cases today number 38.  We've been hovering between 33 and 39 since May 8.  Our high point was 187 March 31-April 2.  (You can see all this on the interactive chart on the State's website.  The orange, navy, and red chart is called Cumulative Cases by Death, Recovered, and Active Status.



CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th= 12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=15/171
16 hos 5 dead
5th= 14/185
20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191
23 hosp
6 dead
7th= 22/213
23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered
8th= 13/226
27 hosp 7 dead
32 recovered
9th= 9/235
27 hosp 7 dead
49 recovered
10th=11/246
28 hosp 7 dead
55 recovered
11th=11/257
31 hosp 8 dead
63 recovered
12th= 15/272
31 hosp 8 dead
66 recovered
13th= 5/277
32 Hosp 8 dead
85 Recovered
14th = 8/285
32 Hosp 9 dead
98 Recovered
15th= 8/293
34 Hosp 9 dead
106 Recovered
16th= 7/300
35 hosp 9 dead
110 recovered
17th=  9/309
36 hosp 9 dead
128 recovered
18th =  5/315
36 hos 9 dead
147 Recovered
19th= 4/319
36 hos 9 dead
153Recovered
20th 2/321
36 hos 9 dead
161 recovered
21st 8/329
36 hos 9 dead
168 recovered
22nd  6/335
36 hos  dead
196recovered
23nd  2/337
36 hos  dead
209recovered
24th  2/339
36 hos  dead
208recovered (-1 from 4/23)
25th  0/339
36 hos  dead
217recovered
26th  2/341
36 hos  dead
217recovered
27th  4/345
37 hos  dead
218recovered
28th  6/351
37 hos  dead
228 recovered
29th  4/355
36 hos  dead
240recovered
30th  0/355
36 hos  dead
252recovered



May 2020



1st  9/364
36 hos  dead
254recovered
2nd  1/365
36 hos  dead
261recovered
3rd  3/368
36 hos  dead
262recovered
4th  2/370
37 hos  dead
263recovered
5th  1/371
38 hos  dead
277 recovered
6th  1/372
38 hos 10 dead
284recovered
7th  2/374
38 hos 10 dead
291recovered
8th  3/377
38 hos 10 dead
305recovered
9th  1/378
38 hos 10 dead
318recovered
10th  1/379
38 hos 10 dead
324recovered
11th  1/381
38 hos 10 dead
328recovered
12th  2/383
38 hos 10 dead
334 recovered
13th  0/383
38 hos 10 dead
335recovered
14th  4/387
39 hos 10 dead
339recovered
15th  1/388
41 hos 10 dead
343recovered
16th  4/392
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
17th  4/396
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
18th  3/399
43 hos 10 dead
345recovered
19th  0/399
43 hos 10 dead
348 recovered
20th  3/402
44 hos 10 dead
352recovered
21st  0/402
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
22st  2/404
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
23rd4/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
24th 0/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
25th1/409
45 hos 10 dead
361recovered
26th 2/411
45 hos 10 dead
362 recovered
27th 1/412
46 hos 10 dead
364recovered






The State Charts





The screen shot is high resolution so you can click on it to enlarge and focus. Click here if you want to use the chart interactively,




My Day-By-Day Chart


















Tuesday, May 26, 2020

White Americans Who Fear Non-Whites, Prefer Authoritarian Govt - Living In White Space While Black



This certainly isn't surprising.  From NBC News:
 "Political scientists Steven V. Miller of Clemson and Nicholas T. Davis of Texas A&M have released a working paper titled "White Outgroup Intolerance and Declining Support for American Democracy." Their study finds a correlation between white American's intolerance, and support for authoritarian rule. In other words, when intolerant white people fear democracy may benefit marginalized people, they abandon their commitment to democracy."

White Space - someone linked to this sociology paper in response to the Amy Cooper video calling the police saying she was being attacked by an African American male, who simply asked her to get her dog on its leash as required in Central Park as he videos her reaction.
"Abstract
Sociology of Race and Ethnicity
2015, Vol. 1(1) 10–21
© American Sociological Association 2014 DOI: 10.1177/2332649214561306 sre.sagepub.com
                  Since the end of the Civil Rights Movement, large numbers of black people have made their way into settings previously occupied only by whites, though their reception has been mixed. Overwhelmingly white neighborhoods, schools, workplaces, restaurants, and other public spaces remain. Blacks perceive such settings as “the white space,” which they often consider to be informally “off limits” for people like them. Meanwhile, despite the growth of an enormous black middle class, many whites assume that the natural black space is that destitute and fearsome locality so commonly featured in the public media, including popular books, music and videos, and the TV news—the iconic ghetto. White people typically avoid black space, but black people are required to navigate the white space as a condition of their existence."
And yet one more on the same subject.  

"#LivingWhileBlack: Blackness As Nuisance
American University Law Review, Vol. 69, 2020
Rutgers Law School Research Paper
52 Pages Posted: 4 Mar 2020
Taja-Nia Y. Henderson
Rutgers Law School
Jamila Jefferson-Jones
University of Missouri at Kansas City - School of Law
Date Written: February 10, 2020
Abstract
In 2018, the powerful combination of high-quality cellphone video and social media brought to light a barrage of incidents involving 911 calls reporting that Black people were occupying spaces that the callers believed they ought not occupy. In nearly all of these cases, the targeted men, women, and children were in places in which they had a legal right to be and engaging in activities in which they had a legal right to engage. Widely circulated and debated on social media, these incidents all went “viral,” spawning a series of social media hashtags, most strikingly “#LivingWhileBlack.”
One might see in these incidents a new phenomenon in need of new legal tools. In this Article, we argue that these incidents are not emblematic of anything new, but rather a technology-enhanced incarnation of a much older tradition: the invocation of the property law concepts of nuisance and trespass to exclude Blacks from spaces racialized as “white.” This Article examines both the historical and modern incarnations of this “Blackness as Nuisance” tradition and argues that these efforts to distort property law norms arise from discomfort with racial integration and perceived Black physical mobility. The Article concludes with the suggestion that policymakers carefully consider the intersections of property law and criminal law, and the historical origins of these types of incidents, in order to craft effective responses to these highly charged and potentially dangerous encounters."

I don't think white folks can read too many of these accounts.  We can intellectually understand them, but I'm constantly reminded by friends of color how pervasive this is.  It's part of daily life for them.