Saturday, August 15, 2009

Odds and Ends

My daughter returned home on Wednesday night, but we did get some alone time together on a hike on the Wolverine Peak trail. We didn't have time to go all the way to the top, but it was a good time on a trail we've hike since she could walk. Here's the creek at the bridge.







And the view of Anchorage from what used to be pretty much the end of the tree line.









We had dinner at the Greek Corner before heading to the airport. You have until the end of the month to eat at the "old" Greek Corner before they move. There is something about this building and the insides that just doesn't feel like being in a strip mall in Anchorage. (In part because you aren't) And the wait service has personality and know what they are doing. They'll have more space at the new place on Northern Lights across from Blockbusters, and apparently they will have all the old decorations, but I'll miss this unique spot.





DZ and I encountered these guys racing around Valley of the Moon Park in these giant balls.




















And here's a license plate (and frame) of interest we passed in a UAA parking lot.

[UPDATE: August 28, 2009: I saw this license plate yesterday in the Title Wave parking lot. How many of these are out there?]

Friday, August 14, 2009

Who is Steve Smith?

The Anchorage Daily News had a story last week about the police chief stepping down.
Heun will remain in his current position until Aug. 15 while city officials develop a transition plan, according to a statement issued by Sullivan's office. Deputy chief Steve Smith will take over the responsibilities while a seven-person search committee, also announced Monday, looks for a Heun replacement.
While his first name is very cool, Smith is not a name that stands out particularly and there isn't much in that article about Steve Smith, who is scheduled to become Anchorage's Acting Police Chief.

So, let me fill in a little bit. Steve Smith was one of my students. NOTE: I don't reveal information I have gotten through teacher/student relationships without the student's voluntary permission. I told Steve I wanted to write a post about the new acting chief because most people know little about him. Let's say Steve was not enthusiastic, but he did imply that if I posted about him he wouldn't sue me. I didn't tell him what I was going to write and I'm not showing it to him before I post it. But he does know I have a pretty good opinion of him.

That said, Steve's stepping into the police chief position fulfills a prophecy I made after the first class he took with me. It just seemed that he was the perfect set of skills and abilities to be a first rate police chief and I've told him on a couple of occasions that I thought one day, if we (the people of Anchorage) were lucky, he'd be our police chief. Tomorrow that prophecy, at least in Acting capacity, comes true. (The article didn't say when Steve becomes chief, but if Heun steps down on the 15th, it would seem the new chief would have to take over the same day.)


Steve Smith appears at first as a little quiet, maybe shy even, with an 'aw shucks' manner. He's boy scout polite. But it quickly became clear in class that this was one helluva smart guy. His papers - written in clear, precise, flawless English, were to the point, and displayed an insight into the theoretical models that few other students had. And when he spoke, it was with the authority of someone who knew what he was talking about. He understood the most complex readings and how to apply them to real life. But despite his intellectual advantage over almost every other student, he was modest in his manner, and helped his classmates in a way that never betrayed even a hint that they were anything less than his equal.

There are people who have this calm, polite exterior who scare me. I get the feeling that there is some ticking time bomb about to explode. But Steve is the real thing. Not only is he incredibly smart and analytical, but he also had the skills to be head of the sharpshooter squad (I'm pretty sure he was the head) and he did quite a bit of training (as a trainer) both in Alaska and at the national level.

Steve really understands the ideal of the public servant - to be non-partisan, to be fair, and to make decisions based on the law and clear headed analysis of the facts. And an understanding that people are human. If he stopped me for speeding, I know he wouldn't treat me different from anyone else, even though I had been his professor. And I know that whomever he stops for anything, will be treated with a respect that all human beings deserve. He's comfortable with himself and so he doesn't have a need to treat others poorly.

I'm not sure, but I suspect that within the police department his combination of smarts, lack of political ambition or personal pretensions, plus his respectful treatment of others, give him pretty strong credibility with most of the force.

He did retire once from the force and took a job with Corrections for a couple of years before coming back into the Anchorage Police Department. I think that experience gives him a little extra perspective on how things work in APD and insight into the State Corrections system.

People who know me well - ask any former student - know that I don't give praise like this easily or often. And regular readers of this blog know that I rarely take a strong stand on anything, since I know that things are often not what they seem. (We saw Up last night and I was impressed with the main character's realization that his hero wasn't such a nice guy after all. A good thing for everyone to remember. At the very least, even the best have flaws.) But Steve was one of the best students I've seen in 30 years of teaching graduate students. He'll make as a good a police chief as we can get.

I realize that any new mayor wants the heads of his department to be people he can trust. He can trust Steve to be a totally straight shooter. His agenda is doing his job well, making Anchorage as safe as possible. He isn't a yes-man who will tell you what you want to hear. He'll tell you if he thinks it's a bad idea. He'll be diplomatic and he wouldn't publicly say anything negative, but he will tell you what he really thinks, and he thinks better than most people in Anchorage.

If I were mayor, I'd have no hesitation making Steve the permanent police chief. But I understand the new mayor needs get comfortable with his department heads. Mr. Mayor, I'd encourage you spend some quality time with Steve and talk to other police officers so you can see what I've seen. Talk to some of the people at national level organizations who have seen Steve's work.

On the other hand, this may not be the best time to be Chief. The budget is down and things will be tight. And Steve Smith has other options. I think he'd be a wonderful doctoral student somewhere and eventually a great professor. He already teaches as an adjunct faculty member at UAA and the students I've talked to have nothing but high praise. So, I'm writing this not so much for Steve's sake, but for Anchorage's sake.

National searches, in concept, are a good thing. Police chief is a high level position. There are advantages to bringing in someone from Outside. We'd have a larger pool of potentially good applicants. We might get new ideas and someone who isn't part of some local faction. We'll get someone with connections to the larger world of policing. But such searches can be pricey and the mayor needs to find millions of dollars as it is. Whoever comes in from Outside will need some time to adjust to and learn about Anchorage.

And I'm sure the mayor knows well what happened back in the early 80's when his father had a national search for the Police Chief position. There were maybe eight or ten finalists and both newspapers (we had two back then) wanted to see their resumes, but the Municipality deemed that part of the confidential personnel record as I recall. The Anchorage Daily News, I believe, filed a public records request to see the information. Well, a chief was hired from Outside, was up here for a look around, and Mayor George Sullivan was at the Seattle (I think) airport on his way to the Republican Presidential Convention - most likely this was 1980 - when he got the call to come back to Anchorage.

An Anchorage Times reporter (again, I think I've got the papers straight) had called around and found out that our new police chief had been let go from his prior position for sexual harassment. The public records request went all the way to the Alaska Supreme Court, which eventually ruled in favor of the newspaper. The police chief job, the Court ruled, was a high enough level public policy job that the public should have information about the finalists. (Yes, that police chief withdrew and we got someone else.)

Now, if the mayor wants a 'yes-man' (or woman) who will do whatever the mayor wants done, even if it's illegal, unethical, or not likely to work, then Steve Smith is not the right candidate. But for a very smart, very savvy, very technically competent police chief who is the epitome of the ethical public servant and has great interpersonal skills, then I doubt we'll get a better fit for the job of Anchorage Police Chief.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Dog Watch

Growing Tamarind Seeds

I planted three more tamarind seeds and so far two have come up. I don't think I've ever seen a seed that works quite this way. You can see the brown seeds in the upper right hand corner. They are about the size of a molar tooth.[Double click to significantly enlarge the image.]

Unlike most seeds which send up a stem, the tamarind seed itself gets sent up from the earth. In the August 6 picture (#1) you can see the now green seed has pushed up out of the ground and has a cap of dirt.

Then #2 (August 11, 3:30pm)the leaves are starting to come out of the seed. They have sprouted even further by 5:30 pm (#3).

In Thailand, these trees produce seedpods with a wonderful tootsie roll like fruit inside. You can see full grown trees (in Petchabul, Thailand, the province with the best tamarind) and fruit at this link.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Burma VJ, Aung San Su Kyi, and ASEAN

Monday night at the Bear Tooth we saw Burma JV - a movie about a handful of Burmese video journalists (VJ) who took it on themselves to document what was happening in Burma using video cameras. So, when the monks began a demonstration in 2007, the group had contacts outside of Burma and was ready to send their video images of the demonstration and the government crackdown to the world via internet and satellite phones. For this blogger who sometimes dabbles with video reporting, this was an inspiring film. This is what journalism in the extreme is all about - informing the world and your fellow citizens what is really happening. They all did this at great personal risk. It's a compelling movie mostly narrated by one of the journalists who had to flee to Thailand because the government had clearly seen him filming at one of the demonstrations. You see the actual footage and his phone communications with his colleagues still in Burma. The Anchorage showing was sponsored in part by the Alaska Immigration Justice Project
which gives legal support to immigrants, including some Burmese. The movie helps show the sort of political oppression that many refugees in Anchorage are fleeing and why the AIJP's work is important.



I have a friend who doesn't like to go see political movies or other movies that have depressing scenes. Movies, for him, should entertainment and uplifting. I like genuinely good uplifting movies too. But they are far more than that. Well made movies are the most compelling way to learn connect emotionally to what is happening around the world. They can, of course, be used to mislead as well, so video literacy is an important skill that needs to be taught along with reading.

Then we got the word that Aung Sang Su Kyi was sentenced to 18 more months of house arrest. Click here for her Nobel Prize bio.

Now we see that even Burma's ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Nations) neighbors are putting on pressure over Aung San Su Kyi's sentence. A post at ThaiVisa.com by John LeFevre reports:
Malaysian Minister of Foreign Affairs Anifah Aman said: "We were hoping that the junta will release her unconditionally and will hold an election to enable Suu Kyi and other political detainees to participate in that election.”

Philippine Foreign Secretary Alberto Romulo said: "They don't want her to be out before the election."

India refrained from denouncing the outcome, but foreign ministry spokesman Vishnu Prakash said New Delhi, "has emphasised to the government of Burma the need to expedite the political reform and national reconciliation process".

Locally, Thailand, as the revolving head of Asean, issued a statement saying it was with "deep disappointment" it had heard of Suu Kyi’s sentence.

The statement, issued by the Thai Foreign Ministry further said the Chair of Asean reiterates “the calls by the Asean Foreign Ministers attending the 42nd Asean Foreign Ministers’ Meeting and the 16th Asean Regional Forum held in July 2009 for the immediate release of all those under detention, including Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, with a view to enabling them to participate in the 2010 General Elections”.

The statement said Asean “stands ready to cooperate with the
Myanmar (Burma) Government in its efforts to realize the seven steps to democracy and remain constructively engaged with Myanmar in order to build the Asean Community together.

“We also continue to support the ongoing good offices of the United Nations Secretary-General and urge Myanmar’s (Burma’s) full cooperation with the United Nations.

In May a war of wards broke out between Thailand and Burma over the detention of Suu Kyi after Thailand, the current rotating chair of the 10-member regional block, issued a statement saying Asean had "grave concern" over her situation.

The statement also said, “the honor and the credibility of the (Burma government) are at stake.”

Burma quickly fired back, attacking Thailand Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva and accusing its neighbor of meddling in it’s internal affairs.

Thailand responded saying the original statement was made with the “best of intentions towards (Burma) Myanmar and reflects the desire for the process of national reconciliation in (Burma) Myanmar to move forward on the basis of inclusiveness, with the participation of all sectors of society.”
Below is a list of where it will be showing in the US next. Note: The Anchorage showing was not on the website's list of US showings, so it may be showing in other locations not on the list:

21-Aug – Hilo, HI – Palace Theater
28-Aug – Seattle, WA – NW Film Forum
28-Aug – New Haven, CT – Criterion
06-Sep – Albuquerque, NM – Guild Cinema
23-Sep – Tucson, AZ – The Loft
04-Oct – San Francisco, CA – Red Vic
08-Oct – Utica, NY – Utica College
09-Oct – Pleasantville, NY – Jacob Burns Film Center
24-Oct – Boulder, CO – UC-Boulder Int’l Film Series

And because I have way more to post than time, I'll add this picture of the bike rack at the Bear Tooth Monday night. The number of bikers keeps going up this summer.

Anchorage Port Tour - Video

We waited to go on the Anchorage Port tour until DZ (our guest from China) was here and it finally worked out Sunday. At the end of the tour DZ had two questions, "How come it was free? And why did they give us free hotdogs?" The hotdog question was one I had had when I first heard about these tours. It's reasonable, good even, for government agencies to open their doors and let people see what they are doing. But to feed them too? Actually, when you consider the costs of running a giant coach bus, I suspect the hot dogs are a minor expense. But tours every Sunday for most of the summer? When does public information turn into propaganda?

The tour was basically technical information about the expansion of the port and how things work. But there was also the part that answered DZ's questions: Eventually they're going to have to float some bonds, and presumably they'll want us to vote for them. Whether that's a good idea or not, I can't judge at this point. But more information is generally better than less.




Note: Although we passed this sign, the guide said we could take pictures.

The video contains a good part of the tour. Our guide had a very welcoming banter and also had good technical knowledge of what is going on. Below the video I've listed the topics and where they come up on the video if you don't want to watch the whole thing. It's about 16 minutes long. I also have tags on the video so you can jump to what you want to hear.





There's a spot on the video where he says we're getting off the bus now. That's when we went into a main port building and they were barbecuing hot dogs for us on the roof.





We watched trucks pull up to get containers and drive off while we ate our hotdogs. (Double click to enlarge the picture.)





What he tells us and where it is on the video:
0:03 - Horizon and Totem Lines discussion
1:06 - How many cars are in the port?
1:43 - Port expansion - discussion of the land on recovered tidelands
2:45 - Why we don't have military cargo on Anchorage streets anymore
3:24 - New docks - steel sheet construction explanation
4:48 - Dry barge berth
6:13 - Dredging schedule
6:35 - Freight coming versus leaving Anchorage
7:20 - How do they put the sheet pile in?
9:06 - Why so few lifeboats?
9:19 - Are the cars for sale?
9:38 - What ports do containers ship go to?
10:33- What is Horizon?
10:51- How does the port make its revenue? Who owns the port?
  • 11:20- Lease land
  • 11:59- Dockage
  • 12:34- Wharfage or tonnage
12:51- How much do they make and how do they use it?
13:30- What's the total cost of expansion? ($750 million) And how funded?
15:35- Cranes and crane rails

When he got to the money part, he did cover the points that the tour is about - convincing us that not only is the port a good idea, but it's a great bargain for people in Anchorage. First, the idea that role of the Port Authority is minor:
"Our job is to make sure the streets are clean and the lights are on and the plumbing works and the place can function. . . We just lease them the land."
Yeah right. And the Port Authority isn't also wheeling and dealing (that's not necessarily bad) to get the partnerships and money to make this 3/4 billion dollar project going? I think they do a little more than clean the toilets.

Then, we don't cost you anything, we give you money:
"We get zero property tax dollars download to run the port. None. In fact, we give the Municipality about half a million dollars of revenue every year to help run city hall. We pay our own payroll, we pay our own bills. . . After the bills are paid we have anything from $2.5 to $5 million dollars that we put toward the expansion project ourselves."
Except as he goes on, it's not quite that clear. OK, this is a private/public partnership. He said
"the construction project doesn't belong to the port of Anchorage, doesn't belong to the Municipality of Anchorage. It belongs to the Department of Transportation, Maritime Administration."
Of the $750 million that will be needed for the port expansion, 50% will come from the Feds, 25% from the state, and the rest will have to come from 'us'. Out of the profits or "any debt financing we choose to do." Probably they will float a revenue bond in 2015 and they'll have 20 years to pay it off.

No one - including me - asked about the needs assessment to determine how big it needs to be and who all the new clients will be when it is finished. This is a big project - slightly more than the bridge KABATA wants to build from right near the port two miles to Matsu. In projects this big there is often a lot of loose money.

And the head of the Port is Bill Sheffield, who proved to be a good enough business man to make a good profit selling his Sheffield Hotels to Holland Line, was governor - and almost impeached for construction dealings - and then was appointed head of the Alaska Railroad, which now owns the Airport Depot that was built with Federal and State money (tens of millions of dollars) and is only used four months a year by the cruise lines. And it's named for Sheffield. And now he's the director of the Port of Anchorage at the age of 81 years. While he started out as a Democrat and was elected Governor as a Democrat, most of his fund raising lately has been for Republicans.

This begs to have some external scrutiny that goes well beyond bus rides and hot dogs.

A Northern Economics feasibility study completed in 2006 raises some questions. To be successful, they have to get a mileage-based carrier, steal fuel barge business away from Nikiski (does Anchorage really have to screw over small Alaska towns to succeed?), and they have to keep out unions ("carriers say they will only use the new facility if it were non-union.") Here is the executive summary:

Executive Summary
This report presents the findings of a study to evaluate the feasibility of establishing a consolidation and distribution center at the Port of Anchorage with the intent to serve coastal and riverside communities in rural Alaska. It contains an analysis of the feasibility of the concept, as well as marketing arguments that can be used to present the concept to transportation companies.

The findings of this study include:

The concept could result in cost savings. While the cost of transportation may be slightly higher with this concept, the inventory holding cost savings may offset the increased cost of transportation.

Freight rate savings on cargo shipments could require a mileage-based carrier. At present, the price for sending cargo to western Alaska is the same or very similar whether it originates in Anchorage or Seattle. To generate savings for residents of western Alaska would require a carrier who would charge for cargo shipments based on the distance traveled, rather than the market rate.

Incentives could be required to encourage a mileage-based carrier. In order to attract a mileage- based carrier, incentives could be required to make up for the lost revenues that would result from charging lower prices than the industry norm.

Anchorage has an opportunity to increase its fuel barge business. The Port of Anchorage is the preferred location for fuel sales in Cook Inlet. Estimates vary about the percent of fuel that is sold in Anchorage versus Nikiski, but capturing additional sales from Nikiski could substantially increase the Port’s market share.

Need to work on the key issues: Attracting a mileage-based carrier. One of the key issues that must be addressed is the identification and recruitment of a carrier that is willing to charge mileage- based rates. This would represent a break from the industry norm for the concept to work and it is vital that a carrier be identified who is willing to do this.

Need to work on the key issues: Union vs. non-union. Another key issue is unions. Carriers have expressed a high level of concern about union work rules and have said that they would only use a new facility if it were non-union. While the Port of Anchorage is an open port, this is nonetheless a significant issue that needs to be addressed in order to attract customers for a new facility.


There are two more Sundays when you can take the tour, every half hour, between 11am and 3 pm. The bus leaves from the Alaska Railroad Headquarters (the building north of the downtown train station and across the street from the Ulu Factory). See for yourself what is going on. And ask your own questions.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Perseids Meteor Shower Tonight - Sky is clear, but can we see it in Anchorage?

[Nov. 17 Update: Go to new post   for information on tonight's Leonids and meteor watching in general.  This original post was for August's meteor shower.]

NASA's website has a long description of how and when to see the Perseids meteor shower tonight.

For sky watchers in North America, the watch begins after nightfall on August 11th and continues until sunrise on the 12th. Veteran observers suggest the following strategy: Unfold a blanket on a flat patch of ground. (Note: The middle of your street is not a good choice.) Lie down and look up. Perseids can appear in any part of the sky, their tails all pointing back to the shower's radiant in the constellation Perseus. Get away from city lights if you can.
But it isn't clear how well, if at all, we can see them here in Anchorage. But the sky is clear. So after midnight would probably be a good time to look.

Update: 12:30am - We've seen about five or six meteors - a few that were really bright, most pretty faint. Looking pretty much straight up.
12:45 - J and M are lying out on the deck and seeing more. I just saw another big one out there too. And they saw a bat.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Stop-Talking Points - Gauging Legitimate Protest

[This is a fairly long and complex post. Basically it looks at how to determine legitimacy when people use protest that disrupts speech, action, or just to make a point. I've used headers to help people keep track and for those who just want to skim the main ideas. I also have a section below called The Apparent General Rule which offers a simplistic way to start to determine legitimacy in the situations I discuss. Finally there's a discussion of the larger context.]

As I understand it, Republicans invented a technique they called talking points. The inner circle would decide what phrases they wanted their network to use that day to help spin the issues their way, and then all over the media those phrases would be used repeatedly, droning them into the heads of listeners and readers. It worked so well that Democrats following their lead.

This story seems to signal that we've come into a new era - Stop-Talking Points - where the Republicans are sending out messages on how to literally prevent political opponents from expressing their views.

From the New York Times:
“Become a part of the mob!” said a banner posted Friday on the Web site of the talk show host Sean Hannity. “Attend an Obama Care Townhall near you!” The exhortations do not advocate violence, but some urge opponents to be disruptive.
“Pack the hall,” said a strategy memo circulated by the Web site Tea Party Patriots that instructed, “Yell out and challenge the Rep’s statements early.”
“Get him off his prepared script and agenda,” the memo continued. “Stand up and shout and sit right back down.”
Of course harassment of unwanted speakers and attempts at censorship aren't new. We've seen this in Alaska recently as bloggers have been vilified and threatened with lawsuits and death threats. This has happened to Shannyn Moore, Celtic Diva, and AKMuckraker.

And more recently, when Gryphen at Immoral Minority posted about a rumor that the Palins were splitting, the kindergarten where he teaches part time was flooded with mail saying he should be fired.
I contacted my school the other day (the first day they were back in the office) to let them know, and became aware that they had been inundated with hate mail and threatening phone calls. Some making defamatory allegations and others threatening to kill me on school grounds.
Ex-Governor Palin and her supporters regularly attacked Andre McLeod and others who filed ethics complaints. And now we learn the Attorney General would like to amend the Ethics Law (such as it is) in a way that would deter people from filing ethics complaints. From the Juneau Empire:

[Attorney General Dan Sullivan] also said the state should consider giving the Personnel Board, which hears ethics complaints, authority to order reimbursement of fees and costs from people who file complaints they know to be false.
"I would not call that a penalty, I would call that shifting the balance," Sullivan said.
(In a strong governor state like Alaska, it seems odd that we need to boost the governor's power for balance against attacks from individual citizens filing complaints.)


So What Does This Mean?

A quick thought is that the health care forums story suggests the Republicans' ability to frame issues through talking points has lost some of its potency and so now they have shifted to simply preventing the other side from talking.

But are there times when it is legitimate to protest in ways that prevent an event from happening and/or prevent people from talking? How can liberals, for example, decry people disrupting the health care town meetings but cheer the Iraqi who threw a shoe at then-President Bush in Baghdad? Why is it not ok for people to try to get Gryphen fired, but it is ok to boycott products from South Africa? You can't say "it's ok if we do this because we're right, but it's not ok for them to do it because they are wrong." Unless you can show there are fundamental differences in what they are doing.

So what are some of the reasons people might try to stop speech? (These are not mutually exclusive.)

A. They feel threatened: Whatever they are opposing - a new law, a new product, new ideas - threatens something they feel is vital to them. In the health debate, deep down, the key players in the insurance and drug companies must see their profits at risk. This doesn't mean they don't have some legitimate arguments, but it does suggest the public's interest is a much lower priority than their own on this issue and that they will fight this as strongly as they can and they may stray from legitimate means.

Based on what I see on white supremacist websites, there are a number of people in the US who are threatened by having a Black president. Here's an example of what you'll find:
Within our lifetimes, the United States of America as we know it will cease to exist as one united country. Rather, it will Balkanize into several racially-based smaller states after an awkward period of racial civil war. It will be unpleasant. It will be bloody. It will be messy. Millions of people, both innocent and guilty, White and nonWhite, will die. But, it is inevitable. Multiracial democracy founded on the myth of racial equality cannot succeed. What cannot fly, should fall, and what is falling, we should still push, and say, fall faster!

What kind of world will our kids inherit from us? If you are concerned about the future your White children and grandchildren will have in an America where they will be a minority in the country their ancestors created, lend us a hand. Look inside to find out how...
Others are threatened by the economic crisis, others have their identity threatened, some feel their way of life is threatened. Such people are ripe for any group - liberal, conservative, religious, or whatever orientation - to recruit, to help, and/or to exploit. If they are given the respect they feel they aren't getting, but deserve, they can be used as foot soldiers for any fight that seems consistent with their goals. Fighting health care reform can be equated to fighting Obama, who for some, is a key symbol of what is wrong with the US.

B. They feel excluded from participating in the debate and decision making, so the only way they see to get a voice or to stop actions they were prevented from deciding on, is to protest and perhaps physically disrupt something .

If people aren't allowed to participate meaningfully in decision-making that affects them, their choice is to accept the status quo or take whatever action is available to them. In the 1700's colonists in North America threw tea into Boston Harbor and took other actions that led to a revolutionary war. Indeed, some of today's conservative call themselves the Teabaggers. Martin Luther King led peaceful, but disruptive demonstrations to end segregation in the Southern United States.


C. They do not have any persuasive arguments so they try to end the debate.

Repressive governments around the world stifle dissent through social pressure and use of police state tactics. The Chinese make every effort to prevent public displays of dissent, though this doesn't completely stop all demonstrations or online criticism. There is a current story about apparently Russian attempts to block a Georgian blogger which also affected Facebook and Twitter.

The Iranian government has so far been reasonably successful in breaking up the protests about the recent election. Some White Southerners used a variety of methods - including lynching - to suppress any form of dissent from Black citizens.

In all these cases there is some fear that 'the other side's arguments' may challenge the legitimacy of the suppressors power.


D. They think they will lose and the issue is so important, they go beyond normally accepted methods. (This is closely related to people feeling threatened.)

The California Science Center's fear exhibit tells us that prey animals have developed a variety of defensive behaviors.

Most prey animals will avoid fights with predators, if at all possible. Therefore, many species have evolved tricks to try to keep predators from attacking.

Some animals puff themselves up to look bigger and scarier. Some flash their fangs and extend their claws to show that they mean business.

Other animals use camouflage to blend in with their surroundings. Some animals, such as chameleons, can even change color to better hide themselves.

Still other animals create a diversion to mask their escape. Octopi, for example, secrete a black dye, which creates a disorienting smokescreen effect that can help the animal make a timely getaway.

The exhibit says in a different part that
If a prey animal has nowhere to go or seems to have no hope of making an escape, it will usually fight its predator. Using any built-in fighting implements it has – claws, antlers, hooves, horns or tusks – the animal will struggle to get away.
They also see the basic defensive behaviors in humans. So while many people will try to freeze and blend into the background, and others will flee, some will fight. When they see no other options, and they aren't willing to give up quietly, someone is likely to get hurt. We see this, for example, in people who 'go postal'.

Those with more planning and organizational skills may set up organizations and fight in more effective ways - such as the underground in WW II Europe.

The people who have been showing up at the health forums seem to be 'puff[ing] themselves up to look bigger and scarier. [Or] flash[ing] their fangs and extend[ing] their claws to show that they mean business."

But the White Supremacist websites suggest others are planning for future civil war to regain what they believe to be their freedom to live their values.

E. They feel that what is being said is extremely offensive or dangerous.

This includes a variety of people including those opposed to hate speech; those who block profanity on broadcast television and favor movie ratings; and those who ban books and CDs. It also includes people who classify government information.




I'm sure you can think of other reasons. The point is that there are both legitimate and illegitimate reasons for protesting and for stopping people from speaking or acting.


So How Do We Determine What's Legitimate and What Isn't?

Like a jury weighing a case, we have to look at the reasons for this sort of behavior, separate the legitimate from the illegitimate ones, and then look at the actual behavior and try to determine whether it's legit or not.

And like jurors, we will find some cases easy, some hard, and some in-between. In most cases there will be some legitimate aspects but also illegitimate aspects. We can't know people's intent for sure. The job of the jury is to read between the lines and figure out which witnesses are telling the truth and which aren't, and which side does the best job of making its case. And sometimes juries are right and sometimes they are wrong.

Before going into some of the complexities I would say that it seems there is one distinction that generally would be an important starting point to separate legitimate from illegitimate attempts to protest or disrupt the speech of others:


The Apparent General Rule:

If the protesters are trying to gain access to the discussion from which they are blocked and/or have been previously blocked so they can participate in decisions affecting them, it is more likely to be legitimate.

If the protesters are trying to block others' speech although their own speech has not been blocked and/or they have not been blocked themselves from participating, it is more likely to be illegitimate.

But as I've said, these things are generally not black and white. There are often conflicting strands of legitimacy and illegitimacy intertwined. Some other factors that seem to need weighing include (working from the categories identified above):

A. Feeling Threatened. Fear can be legit or illegitimate. Some of the possible situations include:
  • the fear is ill founded - the person's brain doesn't function properly as with psychotics.
  • the fear is ill-founded because they have the facts wrong.
  • the fear is well founded, but the proposed solution is not.
  • the fear is well founded and the proposed solution has a chance of success.
B. Exclusion from participating in the debate and decision making
Here are some possible situations in this situation:
  • They really have been excluded and others, with more power, have made decisions that will seriously and negative affect their lives.
  • They could have participated in the decision making, but didn't. Their proposed option - if they have one - could have positive or negative outcomes.
  • They participated, lost the legal battle, and now are taking to the streets in an attempt to force adoption of their preferred solution.
  • If they have been excluded, it could be because
    • they have no power and others do
    • the decision isn't relevant to them
    • they don't have legitimate jurisdiction in this area
    • the others fear them and have used trickery
C. They do not have any persuasive arguments. Some possible situations:
  • Their facts and arguments are bogus
  • They argued but their facts and logic were unconvincing to most
  • They didn't have access to needed information to prove their case
  • Their world view is different from those in power, who thus did not buy into their basic assumptions

D. They think they might lose so they must go all out.

C seems to be the situation in the third bullet of B above (they already lost in the legitimate forum.) D is similar, but they haven't yet lost the battle. This appears to be the case of the people fighting health care. Note, that doesn't make them right or wrong in their fight, that's a different issue.

E. They feel that what is being said is extremely offensive or dangerous.
Possible situations:
  • It may be offensive to them, but not to others. (Then we get into questions like, what percent of the population is offended and how serious and rational is their offense compared to other values like free speech.)
  • It may be dangerous to their legitimate rights
  • It may be dangerous to their situation, but the advantage they fear losing was not gained or maintained legitimately
  • It may be dangerous to their situation, but the loss they would experience may be minor compared to the gain others receive or their own potential future loss (say if global warming predictions are accurate, clinging to a carbon spewing present would hurt the status quo folks as well as others.)
  • It may be dangerous to their situation, but slight modifications could reduce the problem
  • It may not be dangerous to their situation
Again, there is no shortage of complexity. All five points could apply in a situation or just one or two. Any number of the situations (plus probably many more) could exist.

There do seem to be some easy calls. If we know that people's positions are based on false facts (such as the Obama health plan includes 'death squads') or they are using illegitimate means to overturn legitimately made law.




I'm having trouble bringing this post to a close. Partly this is my own inability, but partly there is just so much complexity in this. In many cases it isn't neat and clean.

Plus, I never am satisfied looking only at the immediate short term situation because I know that lasting improvements come only from major systemic changes. So for people who haven't fallen asleep already, here's looking at the bigger picture.

The Larger Context

But what do we do with genuinely fearful human beings - whether their fear is legitimate or not, whether solving their fear requires taking away the basic rights of other others or not? Some of these people may well be seriously mentally ill. (I think we all have touches of mild mental illness now and then.) Some may have grown up in an environment which taught them (through instruction or experience) to hate or fear or believe that all their problems are caused by others. Some may have brain wiring that predisposes them to behavior that is extreme compared to most people. Some of them may be all those things AND be right.

To prevent as much dysfunctional adult behavior, I think we need to start with how we raise kids. We have plenty of research on ways to raise children to improve the odds that they will become happy, healthy, and ready to learn, and eventually take their position in society as responsible adults.

For people whose brains function abnormally (in a destructive way) we need to find ways to either cure their mental illnesses, help them live with their illnesses productively and with a reasonably decent quality of life, or provide them a safe and stimulating living environment where they cannot hurt others. And even more, we need to prevent those mental disabilities that are preventable through the best possible programs of prenatal care and by giving all parents as much information as possible about research results on good parenting. (And we know a lot that could be implemented for much lower costs than paying for the consequences of producing incompetent adults.)

For those who are fully capable of rational thought and free of other psychological conditions that lead to anti-social behavior, we need to make it easier for their parents to raise them well - through education and through social and economic infrastructure that increases the likelihood that people can attain their fullest potential.

Even if we were all mentally stable and healthy, there would be people in the United States who have legitimate fears that their situation in life is going downhill. Whites may no longer be in the privileged position of knowing that the establishment is made up of people that look like them, and that the rules and practice of society tend to favor them. The proportion of women to men in colleges puts women ahead in many fields and overall, which means men are losing more and more legitimate power relative to women. This raises the possibility of their increasingly using illegitimate power in their relationships with women. Further, technology and trade policies have altered for the worse many people's ways of life. These people are legitimately threatened and need to be shown not only compassion, but also reasonable options to adapt to the new realities. If not, more will become like fearful animals and for some attack will be their preferred response.

So, the protesting of changing health care and the attacks on bloggers to me is a minor symptom of bigger issues that need to be addressed. We need politicians who are able to address the short term problems, but also have their eyes on the longer term adaptations our society needs to make to cope with the world's inevitable changes.

Alaska Overnighters





The writers were given actors in costume and a word with which to write a play. Then they actors had to rehearse it. All this in 24 hours.










There was something good in all of them, but this one managed to put a lot more together well.

This one took place on a train between Brussels and maybe Dusseldorf.


The graduate, about to get his diploma is knocked out by a stray baseball and sees his future.

Evil summer camp.

[Double click any picture to enlarge it.]

Saturday, August 08, 2009

Glen Alps Sunset/Moonrise


Anchorage lights starting to go on, Denali's peak
coming out of the clouds 150 miles away.


Looking in the opposite direction, the moon
was rising from behind the mountains.