Sunday, January 09, 2022

The Wisconsin Senate Race: Ron Johnson Will Run Again Despite Limiting Himself To Two Terms

Johnson announced he was running again yesterday, from what I can tell, in a Wall Street Journal editorial.  But WSJ is pay-walled.   

I realized that the only thing I really knew about the Wisconsin Senate race this year is that Republican Senator Ron Johnson has:

". . . been a major disappointment since his re-election in 2016," said James Wigderson, former editor the RightWisconsin website who supported Johnson in 2010 and 2016. "Conservatives of good conscience should recognize that Johnson's conspiracy theories, his support for quack medicine, and his active support for undermining our democratic elections should disqualify Johnson from ever serving in public office again." [from Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]

He's been one of Trump's strongest supporters in the Senate.  He was one of seven GOP Senators and one Representative who made the infamous July 2018 trip to Moscow    


I wanted to know who was running against him.  Ballotopedia lists all those that have officially registered (Johnson isn't on their list yet.)  The show twelve Democrats running.  I'm going to highlight four and hope I'm not overlooking one I should be covering.  

The four top Democrats, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel article are an interesting group.  Actually Barnes appears to be the front runner and the other three aren't much ahead of the rest of the pack. 

1.  Lt. Governor Mandela Barnes  born 1986 (35)

Photo Ballotopedia


Barnes is a Milwaukee native and leading the field in early polling. He's been a member of the Wisconsin state assembly, lost a state senate race, and then came back to win the Lt. Governor position.

You can learn a lot more about him in this Jewish Insider piece.  I've found their profiles on this race to be in depth and wide ranging.  And there all very recent.





2.  Alex Lasky  - born 1984 (37)

Alex's father immigrated to the US and Morocco and became a hedge fund billionaire and is part owner of the Milwaukee Bucks and a big Democratic fundraiser, which might be one reason Alex landed a job in the Obama White House.  Alex moved from New York to Milwaukee to be senior vice president of the Bucks.  Another assist from his dad.   You might have guessed that his fundraising is doing well.  And one of the campaign videos I saw made him look really good.   But he also feels a lot like a Democratic Dan Sullivan - not necessarily on the issues, but in how he's moved to a new state, in this case to run his father's basketball team, and now is running for US Senate.  Here's the JI profile.


3.  Sarah Godlewski - Wisconsin State Treasurer - born 1981 (40)




Sarah Godlewski is the state treasurer, so she's won statewide office in Wisconsin, but that was her first race.  Another Jewish Insider profile.      Here Wikipedia profile offers more details of her interesting international experience.




4.  Tom Nelson -  Born 1976 (45)  


"Tom Nelson was born in St. Paul, Minnesota. He earned a bachelor's degree from Carleton College in 1998 and a graduate degree from Princeton University in 2004. Nelson's career experience includes working as the county executive of Outagamie County. He has been associated with the Christ the King Lutheran Church, Loaves and Fishes Food Pantry, Nichols Historical Society, Outagamie County Democratic Party, and the Seymour Historical Society.[1][2]"

From another JI Insider profile, this assessment of Nelson from a progressive in Wisconsin:

“Most people think of us as two states: a red state and a blue state, and never the twain shall mix,” he told JI via email. “Tom Nelson is a Democratic county executive with great values, who has been elected and reelected in a large, generally Republican-voting county. That is the kind of candidate that can win statewide.”

But he's got to win the primary first.




The best overview of the race I found was the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's piece linked above.

Friday, January 07, 2022

AK Redistricting Court Hearing: 1) Each Case Separate or Group? 2) Faster Transcripts

 The pretrial hearings are moving fast and things get changed quickly.  The last hearing was supposed to be Wednesday, but got postponed to today.  In part, I think this was because the Supreme Court gave the Superior Court two extra weeks to get the case done.  




There were three basic issues today:

1.  Schedules for getting Direct Testimony and Opening Statements to the judge

They'd already decided the direct testimony would be done before the trial via depositions - if I understand this right - and in court they will focus on cross examination and redirect.  The judge wants to get materials as quick as possible so he has time to read things and the plaintiffs want as much time as possible to get depositions done and review transcript.  

Both sides seemed reasonable.  The plaintiffs and the Board wanted the weekend to get things done and the judge said, he like the best products possible so they'd be easier to read, and agreed to first thing Monday morning.  (I've got Tuesday, January 18 written down, so I'm guessing it means next weekend.)


2.  Structure of Trial:  Option A: Case by Case  or Option B:  All the cases together

The judge said that what he got shows the plaintiffs what Option A - each case heard separately- and the Board wants Option B all the cases together.  

The judge said he leaned toward option A

Matt Singer (the Board's attorney) argued that all together would be much less of a burden for the Board members three of whom live outside of Anchorage.  If the cases were all together they'd only have to be in Anchorage for one week instead of two and they wouldn't have to repeat their testimony in different trials.

They were, he said, appointed public servants, volunteers.  Five separate trials would be 'unfairly burdensome' to the Board members.  He mentioned that member Marcum had a vacation that was schedule a year ago and would not be back until Jan 31.  She also has trouble reading documents on a screen and needs hard copies to read.  

[I'd note that a year ago, Marcum already was on the Board and already knew that the Census data would be late and that every redistricting board has had court challenges and thus there was a good chance for a court challenge.  There was also a pandemic going on.  So if she made vacation plans she knew there was a risk.  Plus Alaska Airlines allows people to change tickets and even cancel without penalties.]    

He also mentioned the extra COVID exposure of coming into the office so often.  

Tanner Amdur-Clark - representing the Doyon Coalition as an intervenor on behalf of the Board in the Mat-Su case said he supported the Board on this.  He pointed out that the House cases (disputes about how House lines were drawn) are all interconnected.  Valdez and Mat-Su both don't want to be paired with the other, and if you change either, that will have a cascading effect on many other districts.  

Eva Gardner (an attorney with the Calista challenge) - Took exception to Matt Singer's characterization of the excessive burden of the Board.  "That's what they signed up for and argued for five separate cases.  Singer's characterization of the Board members as volunteers was misleading since they are getting paid and she came up with a rough estimate of how much they might be getting paid - I think it came to $45,000.  She acknowledged this is less than what they might get at their regular jobs, but it was still substantial.  [I recall that Bahnke and Borromeo said something about their pay going to the Native Corporations they work at, but don't remember the exact details.]  She said they could all be vaccinated and where good masks and she could recommend good air filters if Mr. Singer needed that.  

Robin Brenna (attorney for Valdez and Skagway cases)  - said he'd just gotten off a case with law firms and witnesses spread over five locations around the country and they had no trouble.  If they want to avoid COVID issues, why need to bring Board members to Anchorage?  The trial itself will be done via Zoom.  Favored Option A.  He also argued five separate cases would make a cleaner record for the judge and the Supreme Court.  

Judge Matthews then decided to go for Option A (though he said Option B two our of three mentions and when this was pointed out he made it clear he meant Option A.)

3.  Transcripts

Brenna complained that transcripts from early November Board meetings still aren't available and they need transcripts of the meetings before they do the depositions.  Given the delays he was concerned about transcripts for depositions.

Matt Singer said there were video and audio tapes of all the Board meetings available and he's been trying to get the transcription company moving faster.  There were also problems because of errors in the transcriptions so they had to be corrected and sent back. 

The judge decided Singer should contact the company and in the meantime, send the draft transcripts over to the plaintiffs.  

[I'd note that I've done some transcripts of some of the hearings.  They are time consuming because often the Board members are difficult to hear - they aren't near enough to a mic, they talk softly, or they talk very fast.  Additionally, I heard from a transcriber last time (2011 Board) that they had audio tapes and couldn't tell which Board member was talking.  

But I'd also say that I have done some transcribing from the videos for some of my blog posts.  I don't have transcribing equipment that lets me stop the tape then rewind it easily while I type.  I don't don't type at transcriber speeds.  If I can do it, professional transcribers should be able to do it much more quickly.  

Other issues:  Brenna had other issues but only mentioned one, saying there wasn't enough time for the others.  He wanted to know what a typical court day would look like under Option A - each case separately.  In the end, it seems like what he really wanted to know was how much time would be allocated to each side.  The judge said six hours for each side.  [I'd note that judges do allocate time to each side of a case and the time is tracked and it's possible for one side to run out of time.  That happened in a case I was involved in.  There were disputes about how much time was used by objections of the other side's attorney.  In the end the judge added more time.]


The next status hearing is scheduled for January 14, 2022 at 10am.  You can watch it here.  Though be warned, they've been canceling and changing hearings.  The trial looks like it's starting on January 21, 2022.

Thursday, January 06, 2022

Biden's Speech Did A Number Of Things Right

He outlined the lies about the election and the evidence they were lies.

He made it clear this was not tourists in the capital, but an insurrection.  

He talked about saving democracy.  


But I wanted more.  

As long as Democrats think of half of the population as deplorables, they will act that way. I wanted him to reach  out to those who didn't vote for him, and acknowledge their anger.  He talked about the Big Lie that convinced them.  

I wanted him to tie that Big Lie to the Republican/Conservative propaganda machine and remind people that we have the First Amendment so there can have free and open debate about how government is doing. But that in a democracy debate is with words, not swords or guns.  

And that free debate won't work if people only listen to news that tells them just one side of the story.  Or worse, only tells them lies.  That they have to listen to various points of view so they can better judge what is truly happening.  

And how those lies and the resulting conflict make it hard for people to even know what is true about other important issues.  

I understand that this was a speech focused on January 6, but again, I wanted him to show how it was connected, through the many big lies,  to climate change, to race relations, to COVID prevention, to immigration.  The same propaganda machine that brought these people to the Capitol spreads lies to divide the nation, to divide people with common needs and goals, so they won't look at the injustice of our economic system and how the profits of capitalism go disproportionally to the wealthy

He talked about the danger still there for the US democracy, but he didn't give people concrete steps they could take to help keep that democracy.  He didn't ask people to start with listening to the feelings and the beliefs of family members with whom they disagree politically.  He didn't tell his supporters they have to get politically involved and get as many people out to vote as possible.

So, yes, what he said was important.  But what he didn't say was also important.


And one little pet peeve I have as our nation has evolved from one single election day to a much longer period in which people can vote early in person or by mail.  

Biden said in his speech: 

"Over 150 million Americans went to the polls and voted that day."

150 million people didn't vote on that day.  The Pew Research Center writes:

"A slim majority of voters (54%) say they voted in person this November, compared with 46% who voted by absentee or mail-in ballot. About one-quarter (27%) report having voted in person on Election Day, and an identical share say they voted in person before Election Day."

News people and politicians have to wean themselves from the term "election day."  "Election period" is the first term to come to mind as a substitute."

Wednesday, January 05, 2022

Today Is The Last Time January 6 Was Less Than A Year Away [UPDATED]

Today is the last time we can say, it hasn't been a year yet since January 6.  Many people are criticizing Attorney General Merrick Garland because there haven't been any big names arrested or tried yet.  Garland spoke today on this, but I see people calling for action in addition to words.

My biggest concern is "as long as it takes" maybe longer than he'll be attorney general.


I wasn't alive when Pearl Harbor was attacked, but from my parents' account, it was one of those life changing days.  Before that Sunday, there was a strong anti-war movement, in part fueled by people who supported Hitler.


The country shut down for several days after John Kennedy was shot and people were glued to their televisions.  The commissions that studied the assassination seemed to last forever and it seems like the term 'conspiracy theory' came out of that experience. [It appears that that was, indeed the case.  My problem with the term is that there are, in fact, conspiracies.  But now the term itself applies "crackpot" or "delusional" even.]

9/11 was an even more shocking event.  As people began to realize the first plane into the World Trade Tower wasn't an accident.  And that there were more planes out there.  Air travel was shut down for several days.  It was quiet.  The only flights were high ranking Saudis that George W. Bush allowed to leave - even though 15 of the 19 plotters were Saudis.  And there were, as of Sept 11, 2021, still 39 prisoners still at Guantanamo.  

Here's from a 2010 Report on 9/11 from the New York University School of Law:

Main Conclusion:

Since 9/11, the Department of Justice’s understanding of terrorism cases has grown exponentially in terms of its patience in building a case, its understanding of the threats posed by terrorists, and its willingness to focus on terrorism and other serious charges. The early practice of making high-profile arrests, while prosecuting few terrorism charges – which brought into question the capacity of the DoJ to try terrorism-related crimes – has largely been addressed.

Other conclusions follow as well:

• The number of announced arrests has declined and the proportion of indictments and convictions has steadily grown.

• Most prosecutions of international terrorists involved no allegations of specific targets, and where specific targets were alleged, the targets were usually outside the U.S.

• The DoJ effected a successful strategy for convincing defendants to cooperate. Three notable examples of cooperators are Iyman Faris, whose cooperation may have ultimately led to six other high-level prosecutions; Mohammed Mansour Jabarah, who provided details on al Qaeda training camps and methods; and Bryant Neal Vinas, who reportedly began cooperating immediately upon arrest, providing information leading to overseas prosecutions and domestic alerts.

• Neither Miranda requirements nor the challenges of preserving classified information have proven to be insurmountable obstacles in terrorism cases. The rate of conviction, nearly nine in 10, compares favorably to those involving other serious charges.

This is all to put some perspective on how long these things have taken in the past.  

Right now there is a sense of urgency.  A belief that serious justice has to take place before next December when members of Congress are sworn in. Because 
  • people fear Republican voter suppression and gerrymandering will make it hard for Democrats to keep Congress
  • people fear Trump led challenges to the elections if Democrats win
  • and with a new Congressional majority, the Congressional investigation will end
  • and even though Biden has two more years after the 2022 election, a Republican Congress would attack whatever the attorney general does relentlessly
More than any time in my lifetime - and I've been around a while - our democracy is in serious danger. (Yes, people will tell you we already don't have a democracy.  But democracy isn't binary - it isn't either we do or don't have one.  It's a continuum from very democratic to not at all.)

This is the year that people who have sat back and let other folks get involved in politics will need to get out of their comfort zone and work to elect people who believe in democracy.  Germany did come back as a democracy after WWII, but a lot of people died before that happened.  

I hope I'm wrong.  I hope the family members of people who died of COVID will feel that Republicans betrayed them and wake up. I hope those who I hope that Trump's influence over Congressional Republicans weakens.  I hope those who stormed the Capitol a year ago tomorrow are sobered up by their trials.  I hope Congress passes a meaningful Voting Rights bill that overrides that many attempts to subvert our elections in November. 

But I'm not going to count on all that happening.  We've got a lot to lose.  More than most people imagine.  Things people take for granted.  But I've lived in non-democratic countries and I know how good we've had things and how bad it can get.  

So I beseech my readers to find ways they can become actively involved in making sure what we take for granted isn't snatched away.  

Some key areas where you can give money, time, and ideas include organizations that:

  • Fight for fair elections
  • Fight disinformation 
  • Fight dismantling foundational institutions (Anchorage folks are seeing this happening first hand - libraries, health departments, universities, elections, etc.)
  • Fight mob intimidation of elected officials and citizens
This list comes from an organization called Protect Democracy.  I don't know them personally, but the list (and I only picked some things) is right on the mark.

Readers:  let me know organizations in Anchorage, in Alaska, and nationwide that are fighting the good fight.  
You've got about ten months left to the November 2022 election.  Use every day as if someone were trying to take away your democracy.  Because someone is.  

[UPDATE:  I got some suggestions of organizations by email:

"Postcards to Voters are friendly, handwritten reminders from volunteers to targeted voters giving Democrats a winning edge in close, key races coast to coast."
"STRATEGY
We meet people where they are – via phone, text, postcard, social media, and soon at in-person, Covid-safe voter drives! 
 
Armed with Voterizer.org, the only custom-built app just for registering Democrats, we track down every good-hearted eligible voter we can, and get them on the voter rolls where they belong. And sign them up to vote from home!"
Chop Wood, Carry Water  - This one has daily reminders of things to do to support democracy.

"Pay for cable or satellite TV? You’re subsidizing Fox News whether you watch it or not.

Your cable or satellite TV provider pays a subscriber fee to carry Fox News. That cost is passed directly on to YOU.

Every network charges cable and satellite providers a small fee per subscriber; the one for Fox News is extraordinarily high. A typical household pays Fox News almost $2 per month—about $20 per year— via their cable or satellite provider, regardless of whether they actually watch the channel.

In 2021, a wave of big contracts between Fox News and TV providers for subscriber fees are set to expire. These contracts make up about 65% if Fox News’ subscriber fee revenue. If we want to stop paying the Fox News “tax,” now is the time to act."

It says new contracts in 2021, but if you do get cable and pay for FOX even if you don't watch it, you should read this.  

 


"Find ways to make a real impact on the elections that determine the balance of power in our country."]

Monday, January 03, 2022

Alaska Redistricting: The Valdez Challenge Part 2 - Looking At Valdez' Allegations and Claims

This is a follow up to The Valdez Challenge Part 1.  The items with the red checks below were covered in  Part 1.  In this post I'll try to address items 2 and 3.  NOTE: I've been working on this a while and it probably needs some more proofing, but it also probably needs to get up sooner than later.  So I reserve the right to look through this later and fix typos, add links, or whatever else needs to be done.  Substantive changes will be noted.]


#3 - The Board's Discussion Of Valdez

The Board didn't spend much time talking about the pairing of Valdez with Mat-Su - not quite 14 minutes.. The attorney said the Supreme Court hadn't objected to Valdez being paired with Mat-Su in one case and with Anchorage in another.  

The discussion I found took place on the afternoon of November 4, 2021.  It's the first thing discussed on this video.  The video starts with a discussion of Valdez at 1pm.  (They had been in Executive Session all morning so nothing of that is on the tape.)  They spent about 15 minutes discussing pairing Valdez with either Anchorage or Mat-Su..  It's possible that they talked about Valdez at a different point, but I don't have any notes.  Their minutes are combined from November 2- 4.  When I did a search for Valdez there was only one mention - it merely mentioned there was a public hearing in Valdez. I'd note that originally their agenda for  Monday [Tuesday] November 1  [2] as overly ambitious and they thought it might have to be stretched out over the rest of the week.  

Below is the video of that meeting.  As I said, it starts the video and goes for 15 minutes.  I've also done a rough transcript.  (A rough transcript is much better than my rough notes at a meeting because I can play it over and over.  But still, Board member Marcum seems a bit further away from a mic and talks really fast.  Member Simpson speaks slower but in a low voice and is the hardest to hear.  But I think I've captured the key points reasonably accurately.  And you have the video here to double check. 

Joint Redistricting Board, 11/4/21, 9am Part 1 from AlaskaLegislature.tv on Vimeo.

Rough Transcript of Video

0:35  Binkley:…  [Discussion of what to do next]  Did we wrap up Kenai? So then the only area left.  So, should we go into Anchorage?


Marcum:  I would like to raise something if I could

Binkley:  OK

Marcum: [?????? Something about Anchorage, then Valdez.]  How far does it go? My understanding is that Valdez had been paired with Anchorage in the past and … was not keen on going with the Mat-Su.  The current iteration that we’re looking at would not allow Valdez to ?? With D36, D35?? Is also full.  So maybe Anchorage is still a consideration and I would [like us?] to discuss that possibility.

Binkley:  Have you tried mapping Valdez and Anchorage?

Marcum:  ???? [This just occurred to me?] last night, but looking at the history, I know it’s been done in the past. . .  Peter, do you have a  number . . [although?] we are in Anchorage . . . fitting Valdez and 

Peter Torkelson, Board Executive Director:  Anchorage is 15.88 districts, so it needs about .12, so it needs about 2000 people roughly.  Valdez is 4000.  [Voices  - about 2000 over???]

Binkley and Marcum:  The same going in the other direction..

Marcum:  ???Obviously significant    how these [??affect Anchorage districts??]  But we have to have this conversation.  [???] all of the Valdez possibilities.

Binkley:  I don’t think it hurts to explore the possibilities.


3:05  Binkley:  See what options are out there.  Matt (attorney Matt Singer), could you remind us what happened when Valdez was in with Anchorage . . .

Singer:  Well, it was litigated, I believe it was litigated to the Supreme Court in the 2001 plan and the Court ruled that it was constitutional socio-economically because Valdez and Anchorage ...  including the air service, oil industry connections, connections with the University, so, there’s a legal pre…there’s a case at the superior court affirming that pairing.  What I don’t recall in 2001 is whether Valdez stayed in the ultimate Proclamation Plan or if it came out as a consequence of other? changes.  The court was ok with the Valdez-Anchorage pairing, but not ok with the entire plan so then . . . I just have to pull up the 2001 Proclamation Plan . . .

And then in the litigation about the current pairing of Valdez with Mat-Su mostly focused on issues of compactness and the superior court affirmed the district in which Mat-Su and Valdez are paired.  

There’s been a lit . . I believe Valdez has been …… The reason Valdez comes up is it has a large population in an isolated part of the state with significant industry, it doesn’t have any sisters nearby with similar attributes

Marcum:  So you’re saying pairing Valdez with either Anchorage or Matsu would overpopulate both of those districts and therefore they would be underrepresented. Is that ??? understanding of the numbers? [NOTE:  That isn’t at all what he said, he merely spoke to the fact that they were accepted by the courts in previous proclamations.]

Binkley:  I guess to what extent . . .

Marcum:  ?? We’ve done the Anchorage and Mat-Su ???? And the numbers were 2-2.5 % over, right?, and as I said it would be about the same for Anchorage

Bahnke:  The difference between the two to me though is a matter of compactness and contiguity.  It makes more sense to me to pair Valdez with the lesser of the two options.  Difficult options I guess.  And we have to look at compactness and contiguity

Marcum:  I think that ???

Bahnke:  deviations are …

Marcum:  ??? Compactness and contiguity in the past, right?,

Singer:  The Superior Court in 2001 allowed. . . My recollection of …. There was Valdez, across Prince William Sound and a path sort of following the caribou route out past Whittier and on into South Anchorage.  The Court allowed that district.

[I think he's mixing this up with a ruling about Valdez and Palmer.  To my knowledge there is no caribou route from Valdez to Whittier to Anchorage. But there are caribou along the Glenn Highway between Tok and into Mat-Su.]

Bahnke:  And the courts allowed for both ?

Singer:  [Nodding his head[ and Valdez is currently paired with Mat-Su.

Bahnke:  So when you compare the two, since they’ve both already been identified as being compact and contiguous and socially-economically integrated, the deviations are similar, 

7:30 

but pairing them with Mat-Su is more compact and contiguous than with Anchorage, am I correct?

Singer:  I’m not comfortable giving on the fly a legal opinion about which of the two options better meets the constitution.  I’d have to look.   I think what I would say is they’re both  likely constitutionally permissible options.  I’m not sure I could grade one, without really looking but they are both available options to the Board, so the Board should be considering  relative population and the relative socio-economic, pattern of socio-economic integration that results, so what is the [ripple?] effect of one choice over another.  Makes sense to the rest of the Board’s plan?  

Marcum:  I had a question but then I lost it.

Borromeo:  Mr. Chairman

Binkley:  Yes, Nicole.

Borromeo: Thank you.  I've actually drawn a map early on that would do exactly what Bethany asked, about pairing Valdez with Anchorage.  It is possible.  It is also very difficult to absorb that population into the districts of Anchorage, keep neighborhoods,  school districts,  etc. tight as they are, might not be …  It sacrifices compactness and also at the end it really came to a policy call in terms of Valdez having no road to Anchorage , connectedness isn’t there in the same way it is to the Valley.  Yes you can drive down into Anchorage.  But when you look at that district, District 9, Bethany, and how it would be over to Valdez, there is no road between D9  … and Valdez.  You would have to drive through 18 other districts at least to get to there, so I believe that contiguity piece and that compactness piece weighs  more heavily in favor of pairing Valdez with the Mat-Su.

10:12

Marcum:  ??????   I know we have testimony from the City of Valdez in terms of a resolution from their elected officials and then we have testimony from their attorney saying they oppose having  Mat-Su with them.   Do we have anything from Anchorage addressing the possibility of Valdez being combined with Anchorage?

Borromeo:  Not to my knowledge, but again in none of these six plans did we ever presented as an option so I don’t see that they would have known to be commenting on it.

Marcum:  It wouldn’t hurt to ..  something combining?? Anchorage and Valdez

???:  There is testimony from Mat-Su about ???  

Bahnke:  Did Valdez at all about being paired with Anchorage?

Marcum:  They were 100% unanimous about not being paired with Mat-Su

11:43

Borromeo:  

Marcum:  I’ll just say that I’m not ???  Making decisions on Anchorage until ??? These other things that might influence Valdez.

Simpson:  I feel that ???? Get Anchorage squared away… Valdez …..

Borromeo?:  I like that plan.

Binkley:  I know this relates? To Fairbanks.  Nicole and I didn’t have enough time.  Looking at Fairbanks … comfortable… solidify Fairbanks and move on to Anchorage.

So they then went to Anchorage.

14:55




So, basically, the discussion was about what courts have said about the constitutionality of pairing Valdez with either Anchorage or Mat-Su (attorney Matt Singer said both had been ok with previous courts) and Marcum raises the issue of the unanimous testimony against the pairing from the Valdez government and people.  The fact that no one really responded to Marcum about Valdez' opposition to being paired with Mat-Su somewhat belies their claim to having listened to the public.  It might also reflect their conclusion that Singer said out loud, that Valdez is a difficult community for redistricting Boards.  


#2 LIST OF VALDEZ ISSUES AND EVIDENCE

The lawsuit's paragraphs are numbered consecutively.  There is a list of 28 allegations in the Allegation section (14-42).  Then later there's a list of specific claims Valdez is making against the Board.  It would be easier for the average reader to have the evidence presented in the Allegations section more directly linked to the Claims section.  I've gone through the Allegations and grouped them for you.  (Well for me, so I could make sense of them.)

# 14 is procedural - includes the previous paragraphs into the allegations

#15-20 discuss the Board's constitutional requirements and steps it took to implement them - and up to Map v3, Valdez had no problems

#21-22 Map v4 - Valdez surprised to be paired with Valdez and cut out of Richardson Highway and submitted Valdez Option 1 map to the Board

Then we get different allegations - 

#23  claims the Board did not fulfill its obligations to inform the public and solicit feedback and listen to feedback

[My comment:  Most of the allegations seem accurate to me.  But this one is hard for me to swallow.  This Board posted far more information on its website than the previous Board and Board's before that didn't even have websites.  The Board made all meetings available on line or by phone.  All the maps were posted on line as soon as they were available to the staff.  The previous Board brought physical maps to their public hearings around the state which the local folks didn't see until they were pinned to the wall.

The one point that I would agree with, as it relates to Valdez, is not listening to feedback.  This is true about Anchorage and West Fairbanks too, among other places.  But looking at the comments made by Valdez residents that are posted online, it's clear they had no effect on the Board's final decision.]

#24 No opportunity to comment on Senate pairings and truncation  [True for everyone.  Even some of the Board members' comments were ignored rather than discussed.]

#25 Notes that Board did Final Proclamation plan and links to district Valdez ended up in connected to Mat-Su and disconnected from Richardson Highway communities.  [It's true]

#26-41 list all the connections Valdez has with the Richardson Highway corridor up to (in some cases) Fairbanks - the Oil Pipeline, DOTPF headquarters, deep water and small boat harbors that serve business and recreational needs, electricity and phone utilities, PWS community college, KCHU public radio  [This is a powerful argument about socio-economic integration between Valdez and the Richardson Highway communities and even up to Fairbanks.  It would seem the Board would have to prove these aren't true or that there are roughly equal ties to Mat-Su.  But the Board has to balance three main criteria - SE Integration is just one.  But they talk about the others below.[

#42 points out that Valdez has none of these socio-economic connections with Palmer

[It seems that the Board has to show at least some important connections to Mat-Su to counter this.]

So that gets us to the specific claims Valdez makes:

As I said, this is a little tricky because the suit itself has a section on Allegations with 28 allegations (14- 42).  Valdez does include all these with the specific claims but you have to make the connections between the allegations and the claims yourself.  One has to go through these 28 allegations and match them to the specific claims.  I’ll try.  

First Claim - Violation of the Open Meetings Act

43-48     http://www.touchngo.com/lglcntr/akstats/statutes/title44/chapter62/section310.htm

43. Paragraphs 1 through 42 are incorporated as if fully set forth herein.   [See Above]

44. The Board, as a governmental body of a public entity of the state, is subject to the requirements of AS 44.62.310-320 (“Opening Meetings Act”). The deliberations and decisions of the Board are activities covered by the Open Meetings Act. [Undisputed]

45. Upon information and belief, the Board has violated the Open Meetings Act in the following ways:

(a) It conducted deliberations in secret.  [There are two ways this seem to have happened:

1.  The Board had very lengthy Executive Sessions at different times.  Executive session may (by law) only be held for a few issues.  Those are the only things that can be discussed in ES. They aren't legally allowed to stray into topics that should be on the public record.  It seems hard for me to believe that the lengthy executive sessions they had at the end didn't stray into areas that should have been discussed in public.  Even attorney-client privilege is not so far reaching that everything an attorney tells their client should be confidential.  And, in this case, an argument can be made that all Alaska residents are clients of the Board's attorney.

2.  It is seems very likely that at least two of the three GOP appointed Board members had meetings with members of the public to get help in making their maps.  When I requested Board members publicly declare who helped them with the maps, only Borromeo and Bahnke stood up in public and said they only got help from staff and other Board members.  Binkley, Simpson, and Marcum should be asked under oath who they got help from making their maps.]

(b) It failed to properly conduct votes. [Things got a little loosey-goosey toward the end.  Any semblance of Robert's Rules of Order fell apart as I've specifically described on this blog in terms of the allocation of terms after truncation.  The motion wasn't ever a proper sentence.  As I pointed out, after the vote, if all the Board members had been asked, separately, to write down what the motion was and how it would be implemented, they'd have all written down something different.]

(c) It conducted a serial meeting. [I'm guessing here that 'serial meeting' refers to the five day meeting November 1-5.  The Board posted an agenda for Monday.  When I talked to the Board's Executive Director (a staff person) about how ambitious that seemed, he agreed and said what they didn't get done that first day, they'd do the rest of the week.  That was the agenda for the rest of the week, which included work sessions -which you could watch and sometimes hear - where the Board worked on making maps.  It also included lengthy Executive Sessions, and the 15 minutes they spent talking about Valdez at 1pm on the 4th.  That discussion is not reflected in the minutes (also just one set of minutes for five days), but you can see it on the video.  But finding it is not easy.  I was able to find it quickly because I had taken notes of most of the meetings and searched them for Valdez.]

(d) It withheld documents from the public that were used in formulating the final redistricting plan. [I'm not sure about what they are talking about here exactly.  However, Marcum's pairing of Eagle River House districts with downtown Anchorage and south Muldoon instead of with each other came out of the blue.  And clearly there had to be some planning in order to get the allocation of Senate terms to work out as they did. Perhaps they're referring to where v4 came from - the map that paired Valdez with Mat-Su.]

(e) It failed to clearly and with specificity state the subject(s) of each executive session or its reasons for addressing the subject(s) in executive session. [This is something I've mentioned on the blog various times.  Early on - like December 2020 or January 2021, the Board just went into Executive Session without saying why.  I emailed the Board Chair and at the next meeting when they went into Executive Session they carefully cited the law to explain why they went into Executive Session and what the topic was.  But as time went by they got sloppier.  They'd cited the whole law, not the specific part that was related to that particular Executive Session, and they didn't identity the topic or why it was covered by the law.  And the last couple of days they spent hours in Executive Session without us clearly knowing why - vaguely Attorney-Client privilege.]

46. Plaintiffs and others have been harmed by these violations.  [That goes beyond my reporting on the Board.  I've thought about - when the AFFR map cut my neighborhood in half - exactly how I might be harmed if that were adopted.  If Valdez were separated from the Richardson Highway districts, one could argue they would have access to their representative and also to the representative for the Richardson Highway district.  We just assume all these interests should be together.  But, of course, at some point, geographical distance and many competing communities make it hard for representatives to represent their district well. More important though than my opinion is the Alaska constitution which requires districts to be socio-economically integrated.]

47. As a result of these violations, the actions of the Board resulting in adoption of the final redistricting plan including senate pairings, should be voided.

48. The Board’s proclamation of redistricting should similarly be voided, as it was based solely upon the redistricting plan.

My Comments:  


Second Claim - Violation of Article VI, Section 6

49 - 55  [I've copied that section of the Constitution below;]

§ 6. District Boundaries

The Redistricting Board shall establish the size and area of house districts, subject to the limitations of this article. Each house district shall be formed of contiguous and compact territory containing as nearly as practicable a relatively integrated socio-economic area. Each shall contain a population as near as practicable to the quotient obtained by dividing the population of the state by forty. Each senate district shall be composed as near as practicable of two contiguous house districts. Consideration may be given to local government boundaries. Drainage and other geographic features shall be used in describing boundaries wherever possible.


[Rereading this now, I recall how AFFER used a lot of geographic featureas - like Campbell Creek - in its maps.  But the Constitution doesn't actually say they should be used in determining the districts, but rather in describing the districts, which is done when the Board staff wrote up the metes and bounds.   I suspect the Valdez attorneys will argue that their district is neither compact nor contiguous - given that they have to go through another district to get to the rest of their district in Mat-Su.  That will also be an argument against the Anchorage Senate pairings with Eagle River.  But I suspect that the Board will argue that Valdez districts that stretch up around Fairbanks are hardly compact either.  The map that Valdez offered the Board is more compact, but will require remapping a lot of other districts.  But given all the other challenges, that could happen anyway.  The Board will also argue that they had pressure from the Doyon Coalition to get Native villages aligned with the other villages from their Regional Corporations.]



Third Claim - Violation of Article VI, Section 10

56 - 59  

(a) Within thirty days after the official reporting of the decennial census of the United States or thirty days after being duly appointed, whichever occurs last, the board shall adopt one or more proposed redistricting plans. The board shall hold public hearings on the proposed plan, or, if no single proposed plan is agreed on, on all plans proposed by the board. No later than ninety days after the board has been appointed and the official reporting of the decennial census of the United States, the board shall adopt a final redistricting plan and issue a proclamation of redistricting. The final plan shall set out boundaries of house and senate districts and shall be effective for the election of members of the legislature until after the official reporting of the next decennial census of the United States.

(b) Adoption of a final redistricting plan shall require the affirmative votes of three members of the Redistricting Board. [Amended 1998]


[The Board did this - I'm not sure what is different here from the other claims they made.  While Valdez complains in allegations 20-22 that they didn't respond after v3 came out because it was fine, they were surprised by v4.  But v3 and v4 came out at the same time and there were 60 more days to complain.]



Fourth Claim - Violation of Article I, Section 1 (Equal Protection)

60-62

§ 1. Inherent Rights

This constitution is dedicated to the principles that all persons have a natural right to life, liberty, the pursuit of happiness, and the enjoyment of the rewards of their own industry; that all persons are equal and entitled to equal rights, opportunities, and protection under the law; and that all persons have corresponding obligations to the people and to the State.


[I'm not sure how Valdez intends to use this in the case - except maybe to say their equal rights are being violated somehow by the way their district was drawn.  But it is useful to be reminded of the final clause that says all persons have corresponding obligations to the people and to the State.]


Fifth Claim - Violation of Article I, Section 7 (Due Process)

64 - 68

§ 7. Due Process

No person shall be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law. The right of all persons to fair and just treatment in the course of legislative and executive investigations shall not be infringed.


[I suspect they are going to argue here that the lack of an open process has deprived residents of Valdez their due process to influence the shaping of their district.  Clearly the Board did not heed the unanimous opinion of the Valdez commenters that they wanted to be with Richardson Highway and not with Mat-Su.]



RELIEF

WHEREFORE, Plaintiffs pray that this Court:
1. Enter a judgment declaring the Board’s redistricting plan promulgated pursuant to the proclamation dated November 10, 2021, to be in violation of the Open Meetings Act, Article VI, Sections 6 and 10 of the Alaska Constitution, and the equal protection clause and the due process clause of the Alaska Constitution; 

2. Enter a judgment declaring the Board’s redistricting plan promulgated pursuant to the proclamation dated November 10, 2021, to be null and void; 

3. Enter an order enjoining the State Division of Elections and the State of Alaska from conducting any primary or general election for state legislative office under the Board’s redistricting plan, or otherwise taking any step to implement the plan; 

4. Enter an order requiring the Board to promulgate a new redistricting plan consistent with the requirements of the Alaska Constitution or, in the alternative, enter an order correcting errors in the Board’s redistricting plan;
5. Enter an order declaring Plaintiffs to be public interest litigants as constitutional claimants and awarding costs and attorney’s fees;
6. Enter an order for such other and further relief as may be just and reasonable. DATED this 10th day of December, 2021. 

[Valdez isn't simply asking the Board to fix Valdez' district.  They are asking that the whole redistricting process be thrown out and started over.  Given the 90 day process we just went through, if this were to happen, the new maps wouldn't be ready in time for the 2022 election and the law requires that the election use the current map which, theoretically, the courts would have declared invalid. At least that's what has happened in the past.  But here's what the Constitution says: 

 "The final plan shall set out boundaries of house and senate districts and shall be effective for the election of members of the legislature until after the official reporting of the next decennial census of the United States."

But one could argue that it says "the final plan" and if the court requires the Board to redraw the maps, the first proclamation map drawn wouldn't be the final plan.  Further, one could argue if it were the final plan, it would have to be used until the next decennial census and thus, a new final plan couldn't be drawn up until then.  But you could also argue that the whole point is to reapportion the districts so they are all equal size and thus the Board's proclamation plan does make the districts more equal in size than the 2011 plan.

If this were the only challenge to the Board, I would say that the courts would, if they find Valdez' arguments compelling,  at best, require the Board to get Valdez into the Richardson Highway district and whatever other changes would be needed as a consequence of changing that district.  But there are other challenges so a larger change may be called for.  Though I think the Anchorage Senate pairings could be remedied without consequences outside of Anchorage.  We'll see.  Wednesday is the next court hearing.  My granddaughter and her parents will be gone by then and I shouldn't forget it this time around.]

BRENA, BELL & WALKER, P.C. Attorneys for Plaintiffs 

By
Robin O. Brena, ABA No. 8511130 Jake W. Staser, ABA No 1111089 Laura S. Gould, ABA No. 0310042 



Sunday, January 02, 2022

"Laws are the spider's webs which, if anything small falls into them they ensnare it, but large things break through and escape. -Solon (a Greek lawgiver, c.600 BC)"

I saw this quote in a Tweet.


I thought the quote descriptive of what generally happens in the US justice system.  Poor people get sent to prison for years for minor crimes while rich and famous people are much more likely to get much shorter terms, or no terms, for more egregious crimes.  The Sacklers, for instance, are still enjoying their billions out of prison.

The Tweet was a reply to a video showing the most well known unindicted Jan 6 conspirators.


But I try to always check on quotes - they are often  

  • bogus 
  • misquoted
  • attributed to the wrong person.

This one is genuine, and while it's reworded, it conveys the meaning of the original, and while it cites the right source, it gives credit to Solon rather than to Anacharsis.

But it's calls attention to a truth that's been articulated 2600 years ago.


From Tufts: 

"5.

In particular we are told of private intercourse between Solon and Anacharsis, and between Solon and Thales, of which the following accounts are given.1 Anacharsis came to Athens, knocked at Solon's door, and said that he was a stranger who had come to make ties of friendship and hospitality with him. On Solon's replying that it was better to make one's friendships at home, ‘Well then,’ said Anacharsis, ‘do thou, who art at home, make me thy friend and guest.’ [2] So Solon, admiring the man's ready wit, received him graciously and kept him with him some time. This was when he was already engaged in public affairs and compiling his laws. Anacharsis, accordingly, on learning what Solon was about, laughed at him for thinking that he could check the injustice and rapacity of the citizens by written laws, which were just like spiders' webs; they would hold the weak and delicate who might be caught in their meshes, but would be torn in pieces by the rich and powerful. [3] To this Solon is said to have answered that men keep their agreements with each other when neither party profits by the breaking of them, and he was adapting his laws to the citizens in such a manner as to make it clear to all that the practice of justice was more advantageous than the transgression of the laws. But the results justified the conjecture of Anacharsis rather than the hopes of Solon. It was Anacharsis, too, who said, after attending a session of the assembly, that he was amazed to find that among the Greeks, the wise men pleaded causes, but the fools decided them.


I'd note that The Real Harry Ripcord profile says, "CEO of Urban Dictionary"

Saturday, January 01, 2022

What's The Big Deal About 2022? It's An Arbitrary Number. Think Bigger

A goal of this blog is to get people to break out of patterns of thinking so they can see the world or some portion of the world differently.  To step back and recognize '"truths" they believe as actually just one way of knowing the world.  

So New Years Day seems a good time to meddle with our concept of being in 2022.  Because for Jews New Years happened several months ago and it is 5782.  For Chinese, New Year is a month off and it will be 4730.  For Thais the New Year will begin in Aril and they will usher in the year  2565.

It's good to have rituals around time.  They help us step back and think about what we've done over a period of time. Teaching is a great profession because you get to start fresh with each semester - it's not just one continuous long slog.  Birthdays help us reflect as do anniversaries.  Or the changing seasons.  

But it's also important to remember how arbitrary the numbers can be.  There is some connection to the natural world.  365 days is close to how long it takes the earth to revolve around the sun.  But other cultures pin their years to the moon.  But much about time is a human decision about how things should be.  

Calendars Through The Ages tells us:

Before today’s Gregorian calendar was adopted, the older Julian calendar was used. It was admirably close to the actual length of the year, as it turns out, but the Julian calendar was not so perfect that it didn’t slowly shift off track over the following centuries. But, hundreds of years later, monks were the only ones with any free time for scholarly pursuits – and they were discouraged from thinking about the matter of "secular time" for any reason beyond figuring out when to observe Easter. In the Middle Ages, the study of the measure of time was first viewed as prying too deeply into God’s own affairs – and later thought of as a lowly, mechanical study, unworthy of serious contemplation.

As a result, it wasn’t until 1582, by which time Caesar’s calendar had drifted a full 10 days off course, that Pope Gregory XIII (1502 - 1585) finally reformed the Julian calendar. Ironically, by the time the Catholic church buckled under the weight of the scientific reasoning that pointed out the error, it had lost much of its power to implement the fix. Protestant tract writers responded to Gregory’s calendar by calling him the "Roman Antichrist" and claiming that its real purpose was to keep true Christians from worshiping on the correct days. The "new" calendar, as we know it today, was not adopted uniformly across Europe until well into the 18th century.

The same site tells us about the beginning of counting the years.  

"Was Jesus born in the year 0?

No.

There are two reasons for this:

There is no year 0.

Jesus was born before 4 B.C.E.

The concept of a year "zero" is a modern myth (but a very popular one). In our calendar, C.E. 1 follows immediately after 1 B.C.E. with no intervening year zero. So a person who was born in 10 B.C.E. and died in C.E. 10, would have died at the age of 19, not 20.

Furthermore, as described in section 2.14, our year reckoning was established by Dionysius Exiguus in the 6th century. Dionysius let the year C.E. 1 start one week after what he believed to be Jesus’ birthday. But Dionysius’ calculations were wrong. The Gospel of Matthew tells us that Jesus was born under the reign of king Herod the Great, who died in 4 B.C.E.. It is likely that Jesus was actually born around 7 B.C.E.. The date of his birth is unknown; it may or may not be 25 December."

 I'd note for those Christians who feel they are discriminated against, most of the world uses the Western calendar that is roughly based on the birth of Christ.  Even if they also have calendars based on other events.  

Let's look at some other New Years from different cultures.

Indian New Year Diwali

"One of the most celebrated Indian New Year is 'Diwali' ', which means 'the celebration of lights'. Deepavali symbolize the starting of the Hindu New Year which is generally the main holiday of India. This festival is celebrated in the month of Kartika, which generally falls in the October. Diwali is an holiday in India, Nepal, Guyana, Malaysia and Singapore. Even though, it is a Hindu festival and has deep Hindu mythology connected with its origin, people from different religions also celebrate Diwali. As the name implies, Diwali is celebrated with lights, lamps and fireworks. The main reason behind Diwali celebration is to get away of the evil, which is symbolized as darkness, and to follow the paths of virtue."

From The Heart of Hinduism:

"Various eras are used for numbering the years; the most common are the Vikrami Era, beginning with the coronation of King Vikram-aditya in 57 BCE and the Shaka Era, counting from 78 CE. In rituals the priest often announces the dates according to KaliYuga, (see Kala: Time). For these three systems, the year 2000 corresponds to 2057, 1922, and 5102 respectively, though the last figure is subject to some debate."

Telugu New Year

"is known as Ugadi, which is derived from "Yuga Aadi" means New Age. According to the Hindu mythology Lord Brahma has created universe on Chaitra Shuddha Prathpade thus Telugu New Year is celebrated on Chaitra Shuddha Prathipade which is also first day of the lunar calendar. Telugu New Year is bright full moon day of the first month of spring."


Enkutatash – Ethiopian New Year!

"Every year on September 11, Ethiopians celebrate their New Year. The holiday is called “Enkutatash,” which literary means the “gift of jewels.” This naming came from the legendary visit of the Ethiopian Queen Sheba to that of King Solomon of Jerusalem back in 98 BC. During her visit, this famous queen of Ethiopia brought the king a collection of “jewels.” Upon her return home, the queen was restocked with a new supply of “enku” (jewels) for her treasury.

Ethiopians called the New Year “Enkutatash” because the period the queen arrived back to Ethiopia coincided with the New Year’s celebration in September. Celebrating the New Year in September, however, is originally connected to the Bible as it is the period that God created the Heavens and the Earth and so this period should be the beginning of a New Year."


Songkran - Thailand  From a post I did in 2008 when we were living in Chiangmai.

Chiang Mai.com gives an overview of the holiday of Songkran (the link is no longer any good)

"The family sprinkling scented water from silver bowls on a Buddha image is a ritual practiced by all Thais in on the third day of Songkran, known as Wan Payawan. This is the first official day of the New Year and on this day people cleanse the Buddha images in their homes as well as in the temples with scented water. The family is dressed in traditional Thai costume and wearing leis of jasmine flower buds. The water is scented with the petals of this flower."

I'd recommend visiting the post this comes from to see how it goes from a reverend washing of Buddhas to a free for all water fight in the streets.  






She knows I have a camera, so she's offering to douse me just a little bit.  It ended up down my back.  There are over three posts on our Songkran in Chiangmai.


And there's a Part 2 and Part 3 as well that go into different aspects of Songkran.

This year in Thailand the new year will be 2565


The Burmese New Year is related to the Thai New Year.

"Burma’s most important festival

Taking place from April 13 to 16 each year, the Buddhist festival of Thingyan is celebrated over four to five days, culminating on the Lunar New Year Day.

Water throwing is the distinguishing feature of this festival, and you’ll find people splashing water at each other almost everywhere in the country.

Thingyan traces its roots back to a Hindu myth. The King of Brahmas called Arsi, lost a wager to the King of Devas, Thagya Min, who decapitated Arsi. Miraculously, the head of an elephant was placed onto Arsi’s body, and he then became Ganesha.

The Hindu god was so powerful that if his head was thrown into the sea it would dry up immediately. If it were thrown onto land it would be scorched. If it were thrown up into the air the sky would burst into flames.

Thagya Min therefore ordained that Ganesha’s head be carried by one princess after another who took turns for a year each. The new year thus has come to signify the this annual change of hands."

Chinese New Year:  (This is a great site, with almost everything you could want to know about Chinese New Year)

"Chinese New Year is celebrated by more than 20% of the world. It’s the most important holiday in China and to Chinese people all over. Here are 21 interesting facts that you probably didn’t know about Chinese New Year.

1. Chinese New Year is also known as the Spring Festival

In China, you’ll hear it being called chunjie (春节), or the Spring Festival. It’s still very wintry, but the holiday marks the end of the coldest days. People welcome spring and what it brings along: planting and harvests, new beginnings and fresh starts."

This year it begins on February 1, 2022 and it will be the Year of the Tiger.  It will be the year 4720.

Jewish New Year - The ten days between Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur are very holy days - time to reflect on one's failings and to ask for forgiveness from God and from those you have wronged.  It's also a time to forgive those who have wronged you.  It's currently the year 5782.

You can see more here.


So let's not get so hung up on 2022.  Today is just another day, following yesterday.  Let's be sensible in dealing with COVID. 

1.   Let's work hard to preserve the US democracy - with time and with money. Write your members of Congress.  Help those organizations fighting voter suppression.  And figure out who is doing Stacy Abrams work in your state.  And if nobody is, find some partners and do it yourself.   

2.  And let's also do everything we can to take national and world action to minimize the impacts of climate change.  For that, I'd suggest connecting with Citizens Climate Lobby, the most focused and efficient organization I know of.  

3.  Be kind, but not a sucker.  Know your power - don't underestimate it or overestimate it - and stand up to bullies when that's feasible and protect others who are targeted.  Take a self defense class if you feel threatened.  Our former president has given his followers to act on their worst impulses.  But don't give up.  The super power I wish on everyone is the power to make everyone around you feel loved.