Friday, April 03, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count April 3, 2020 - Up To 159 Cases




My Calendar Chart

CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th=12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
9 hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead






4/3 - State #s (11/157)don’t match yesterdays /149)











Hospital and dead figures are total to date, not new on that date




Yesterday there were 149 cases and today there are 157 for an increase of 8 cases.  But the State's page says there was an increase of 11.  I suspect they are still catching up from changing the time each day when they report.  But I'm going to report it as 8.  I put a note in the chart.  

Here's a screenshot of their chart. I just checked yesterday's post and the part I cut and pasted - with all the interactive parts - automatically updated to today's page.  So I need to keep the screenshots for the historical record.  For instance, yesterday's page says 149 cases and today's says 157.  That's NOT an increase of 11 cases.

This is a pretty high res image so if you click on the image above it will enlarge and focus.
But it won't be interactive.

 Like yesterday, it's going to overwhelm this page, but you can scroll right to see it all, just don't forget to scroll back left to see the rest of the post.  Also the interactive parts should work here again like they did yesterday.  You can also just go to the State page.   I'm putting these up here to be sure the record of each day's State posting is preserved for the public to see.  

The State has done a great job getting some these much more helpful  data visualizations up.  Be sure to check out the tabs which change the charts to offer different ways to see the data.  




*Cases depicted in the map above represent residency of the infected person, and may not reflect where the person was located when tested positive. For example, the case shown in Petersburg Borough represents an individual who had residency status in Petersburg but was not currently residing there at the time of infection.
My long term chart.




I'm going to post this now, but will review it again after the Gov's press conference is over.

Delayed Spring And, Uh, Tiger King


























Two or three more inches of snow overnight.

I'd love to get out the cross country skis, but I'm unsure of social distancing on the trails.  With everyone isolating, I suspect a fair number of folks will be out today.

But I did go for a walk in the neighborhood.  No people out - except two way off in the distance.  And there's lots of room to get out of the way - just walk into the street.



Meanwhile, I've had these two mystery seeds lying around.  I know we got them out of a seed pod in California with my granddaughter, but I don't remember what plant it was.

I planted them yesterday and maybe I'll find out what the plant was.











And our tuberous begonias popped out the other day.  I'd cut them back last spring and put the flower pot in the garage.  Didn't even ask the house sitter to water them.  Though when we were home, I watered them.  Wasn't sure they'd come back.

A good sign, especially since sprouting outside will be more like 25 years ago than in recent years.

Not sure how the time goes by so quickly - and my todo list gets checked off so slowly.  Partly, I think because of the unexpected things I end up doing and forgetting to look at the list.  J likes to go to the market generally, but since we're using the app to get home delivery, it falls to me.  Ugh.

And I have to admit it - we finally finished Tiger King last night on Netflix.  Sure, the producers spiced it up, but the overriding question for me is:  What does this tell us about people in the United States?  The animal collectors, the breeders, the PETA folks, the people who go to the private zoos?  The people who send in donations to 'save the tigers'?  I couldn't help thinking that Joe Exotic behaved exactly like our president in many ways, just in a different environment.  Apparently a lot of other folks watched it too.  If any of you readers have seen it, please tell me what you thought.  

I'd recommend The English Game for those with Netflix.  About the working class football teams that challenged the upper class football players in Great Britain in the late 1800s.

Thursday, April 02, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count - State Offers Greatly Improved Way To See Numbers - 8 New Cases, 4 New Hospitalizations, No New Deaths [UPDATED]

[UPDATES, April 2, 2020, 8:30pm:  I've added some things in - most of which should be obvious because there in [brackets].  I've added a couple of links that aren't so obvious.]

The state has totally revamped how they report on COVID-19.  At the press conference today, Dr. Anne Zink was a superstar as she explained the new charts, why there are some discrepancies (they changed the daily reporting time, so today there is some overlap), gave info on COVID-19 and Alaska, and answered reporters' questions.  She's just incredible in her knowledge of what's all going on and her ability to unflappably and clearly explain things.  We are SO lucky to have her in charge of this.  And we're lucky our governor hands it all over to her and lets her talk without interrupting her.

I suspect I want to edit parts of this post.  Particularly the part I cut and pasted from the State site.  I just don't know how it's going to fit and work on here.  [It worked, actually.  You have to scroll to the right, but it's there and interactive.  Yeah.]

But for now I'm going to put this up and then have dinner.  Then I'll check back.

My calendar chart:

CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th=12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
9 hos 3 dead
2nd=8(4)/147
13 hos 3 dead



















Hospital and dead figures are total to date, not new on that date




Here's the new way the State is presenting the data.  I haven't had time to think hard about this new format.  It's easier to see the basics, and it shows parts of the state affected better.

But it has 8 new cases for a total of 147.  But yesterday it said we had 143 cases, so some of those eight may have been in yesterday's total of ten.  [Dr. Zink clarified that this discrepancy comes from changing the time they make daily reports, so there is some overlap in the numbers today and yesterday.  But it will clear up from now on.  I've adjusted my chart below.  I suspect that also explains the discrepancy in numbers of tests yesterday and today.]

The number of hospitalizations is clarified today as cumulative, not how many are hospitalized right now.

Dr. Zink is giving an overview on the Corona Virus in Alaska explaining this in details.  She's mentioned as serology test approved by the FDA today to see if people have had the virus and have anti-bodies. [That will be good for folks who couldn't get tested earlier and think they might have had the test.  And also for people who were asymptomatic.]

Alaska is in the top ten states for testing most per capita.  We're the state with the fewest number of identified cases.  [If you use the 147 number here that seems to be true, but if you use the 151 that was mentioned in the press conference we're behind Wyoming, which doesn't have any deaths.  See this chart - which keeps updating.]




If you click on this image, it will enlarge it and focus so you can read it better.
This page is INTERACTIVE, so you should go there and play with it.  I've copied it and pasted it below, to see if I could capture the interactivity.  But it looks like it will go way off the page.  I'll try and later I'll see if I can make adjustments.  But you can link to the original state page here.

[Warning - if the cursor is on the map below when you scroll down the page, the map enlarges.  Also, part of the State report below goes way over to the right.  If you scroll down and everything is blank, it means you have to move back over to the left.]











Alaska Coronavirus Response Hub

Last updated April 2, 2020, 12:00 PM AKDT
Updates will occur at approximately 12:00 PM AKDT daily


COVID-19 is the infectious disease caused by the novel coronavirus. This new virus and disease were unknown to the population before the outbreak began in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. 
This page provides information, maps and resources about the coronavirus response in our local area.

To view the full screen dashboard seen above please visit this link.






Now here's my updated version of the chart I started March 12 and adjusted.







[If you want to see why I'm so enthusiastic about Dr. Zink, you can watch today's press conference here.]





Wednesday, April 01, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count - April 1, 2020 - New Cases = 0; New Deaths=0; New Hospitalizations =0

The number of new cases is NOT going up at an ever increasing rate.  At least for now.  That's good.  No new deaths in four days.  No new hospitalizations since yesterday.



My calendar chart, we're in April now.


CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th=12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
9 hos 3 dead




















Hospital and dead figures are total to date, not new on that date






State's Charts from their website.

 The chart above gives a visual sense of where the positive cases are, but as more days are added it seems to get less and less useful, since the days get further and further from the Y axis and it's harder to calculate how many.  And each color is one lump, so you can't count that way.

Of course those details are in the chart below.  What the chart above adds is time, but the time is ambiguous - "date of onset, diagnosis, or report - whichever is earlier."  So, the announcements of 14 new positive cases, 1 new hospitalization, and one new death on March 29, that date has nothing in the chart above.









There were 419 new tests.  Remember, the last date for all these charts was yesterday.

Finally, my other chart.



Dr. Zink said that tomorrow the State would put up some different ways of presenting this information.  Sounds good.





Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count Tuesday, March 31, 2020 - New Cases = 14, New Deaths =0, New Hospitalizations = 2

Increase of 14 to 133 total positive cases.
No increase in dead - still 3.
Two more hospitalized to a total of 9

Based on the press conference - the positive case reported by BP on the North Slope was someone from out of state.  So that person's case is NOT counted in Alaska, but in the state they comes from.


My Calendar Chart (I have to figure out how I'm going to do April)

CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th=12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead
Hospital and dead figures are total to date, not new on that date





State's Charts today:







The Municipality has just under half the positive cases - 65 out of 133.

And there were the most tests reported today than any other day up to today - 890 - most (645) of which were done by commercial labs.


My overall chart:




















Late Spring, Short Bike Ride, Experience With Instacart, And Seeds

This was our front lawn on March 5, 2015.








This was our front lawn on March 19, 2020 in comparison.









And below was our front lawn on March 30, 2020.  (The base of the tree is in the upper left.) Just the beginning of the earth being revealed by the sublimating snow and ice.  We're way behind this year.  At least from the last ten years or so.  We've gotten used to global warming.  But this has been a winter where the temperatures were mostly below 'normal'.




The ice between the sidewalk (that I try to keep clear) and the street is still thick, but the sunny days (even when it hasn't been above freezing), and my ice-chipping are starting to make a difference.



We've been pretty good about self-isolating.  I try and get out in the back or front yard every day and tinker around. J goes for a much longer walk.  There aren't many people out and staying six feet away isn't hard to do.





Yesterday I even got the bike out and it felt wonderful.
I didn't go very far - I saw three people walking abreast ahead of me and knew I couldn't pass them with six feet, so I turned off into a parking lot and looped back home via the alley where there was still some ice and snow on the ground - I was using the bike with the studded tires.




We also tried out Fred Meyer's home delivery.  I think it would have been faster to walk to the grocery, get our stuff, and walk home, than it was just ordering on the app.  We had to look through so many items to find what we wanted.  When I tried searching it didn't find it.  But later it did.  I think you have to be in the right department when you search.    And I'm sure it will be easier next time.  Then when I was going to check out, it had something next to most items about being out of stock and were substitutes acceptable.  For some I said no.  For others I put in conditions.  I really had no idea how it would work.  But I was uncomfortable with someone making substitutes.  As it turned out, it was fine.  The shopper texted when she started and asked about substitutions before making them.  I think there was just one - one brand of yogurt for another.  And she texted about items that weren't there - like alcohol swabs.

The point was to not be out amongst people exposing either of us to the virus since we're in the high risk age group.  And since I couldn't get tested, I have no clear sense of whether what I had (the cough still lingers, but I cough less frequently) was COVID-19.   But when I saw our shopper get out of the car at the bottom of the driveway and then slowly, almost painfully, lug up the two bags to the doorstep, I felt terrible.  If she wasn't also in the high risk age group, she certainly walked like she was.

So that was my introduction to Instacart, which really hadn't been on my radar.  It was just under $10 extra for someone to shop and deliver for us.  A company called Instacart does it.  This is the gig economy and like with Lyft there are upsides and downsides.  In our case, we connected with the market, not Instacart.  And our shopper may have gotten several other people's orders at the same time.  We only live about 1.5 miles from the market.

Gigworker.com did an analysis of Instacart the other day that you can look at.  In any case, there's no the extra hazard pay for potentially getting the virus.  I left more tip than they suggested, but what they suggested was pretty low.  But you also had to add the tip when you ordered, not after the delivery.   And then there's the question of how we deal with the groceries without knowing whether anyone who touched them has the virus.  I brought the bag in wearing gloves and put the veggies that needed refrigerating into an empty drawer to let them sit a couple of days.  When I got everything squared away, I washed my hands thoroughly.

One of the things I was happy to get from the market was seeds.  




I haven't planted too many vegies in recent years because our yard is so shaded by trees.  But it seems like a good idea to have some fresh veggies one can grow oneself this year.  And I do look forward to the early dandelion leaves - an abundant freebie in our yard that can be cooked in stir-fries and omelets.   They're very high in Vitamin A and K, and we don't use any pesticides in our yard.  

With the added part of the deck, we have a little more sunshine and we can use pots.  But I think the broccoli is the only thing I can plant early inside.  The others seem like they should go directly in the ground.  But maybe I can put some seeds in pots inside and then take them out when it's warm enough.  


And here's a last picture while I was sitting downstairs in what we call our greenhouse reading a book with the sun streaming in.  It's getting crowded down there and I've been trying to make room so I can plant some seeds.