Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Video Economics Primer Offers Four Ways To Reduce Long Term Deficit

Someone sent me a link to this video that explains the economy. I'm always skeptical about people explaining the economy. Why? Because economists tell us the economy is doing well, all signs are positive. But we hear

  • about the people struggling to get by, (and probably know some of them too.)   
  • that US income inequality hasn't been so high for a century. 
  • (and see) a lot of homeless folks all over.  
  • that to keep the economy growing we have to destroy the environment. (Well they don't word it quite like that.)  

My reaction is that if these things are happening in a 'good' economy,  then the economists aren't measuring the economy right.

But this video is a great start to learn how economist think about the economy,  some of  the jargon, and our options for debt reduction beyond the Republican mantras of no new taxes and spending cuts.

In fact, near the end of the video, Dalio explains why spending cuts alone exacerbate the debt problems.

And who is Ray Dialo?  Wikipedia tells us:
"Raymond Dalio (born August 1, 1949) is an American investor, hedge fund manager, and philanthropist.[3] Dalio is the founder of investment firm Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds.[4] He is one of the world’s 100 wealthiest people, according to Bloomberg.[5]"
So, when he says at the end, that this 'template' has helped him, I'm assuming it means it has helped him to time and direct his investments.



Crib Sheet

This video is content rich.  He has reduced his presentation to the essentials.  Every word is important.  I couldn't listen to this while doing something else.  In fact, I had to stop it repeatedly so I could take notes.  But by doing that, I understood his conclusion.

Basically, he's saying:

The economy works in a simple, mechanical way.
  • A few simple parts
  • A lot of simple transactions, that are repeated over and over again.
    • These transactions are driven by human nature and create 3 main forces that drive the economy
      • productivity growth
      • the short term debt cycle
      • the long term debt cycle
He explains these three forces and uses the three visually superimposed on each other - productivity growth, short term debt cycle, and the long term debt cycle - to explain what people have to do to keep the cycles going in our favor.  

He starts by talking about transactions (people exchanging goods and services for money and credit) and shows how these can lead to cycles of increasing and decreasing productivity and debt.  
He puts CREDIT in the center of this model - as a critical means to increasing productivity and living standards  (He points out there is $50 trillion in credit in the US, but only about $3 trillion in cash.)

You can agree or disagree with his presentation (I have a few questions and quibbles) but it does a great job of spelling out the basics of mainstream economics.  

He tells us at the end that the short term debt cycles can be fixed by the central bank (The Fed in the US) decreasing interest rates.  But each time it does this and restimulates the economy and productivity growth, it increases the long term debt until the long term debt cycle gets us to a depression.

He offers four solutions at that point. (Lowering interest doesn't work because it is already at 0% at this point):
  1. Cut spending
  2. Restructure the debt
  3. Income redistribution
  4. Print more money

He argues that cutting spending increases the problem, and the ultimate solution is a combination of all four, which, if done well (balancing inflationary and deflationary ways to deleverage) it is 'beautiful' and gets us balanced again with the least disruption.  

I promise if you watch this carefully and take some notes, all this will make perfect sense.  

This is useful to gather jargon and understanding for when you talk to your Republican congress members who only want to cut spending and taxes.  


And, of course, economists don't agree amongst themselves, so take this all with a grain of salt.  Consider it a starting point for finding out more.

[UPDATE 5:45pm:  I've added the word 'video' into the title after seeing how relatively few people have looked at this post so far today.  LA Rain got more hits faster.  People apparently don't want to deal with the hard topics.  The video is really well done, and maybe by adding video to the title more people will stake a look.  Just musing here on blogging and people's interests.  I do recognize that I too get overloaded and skip things I should read.]

Monday, January 08, 2018

A Little Rain Makes Me Think About Life After Humans

It rained overnight in LA.


Looking at the drops left on the leaf reminds me that nature follows set patterns.  We talk about human caused global warming harming the earth.  But 'harm' is in the eye of the beholder.

The earth will change, but it will survive.  How humans and other living things will survive is another story.  Some argue that without humans,  the non-human living things will thrive.  The Voluntary Human Extinction Movement calls for people to stop procreating.  There's even two seasons of Life After People on History.com.  (A quick look suggests that all the pollutants we've already created and have sitting around will cause massive harm.)


UPDATE 8:45pm:  The rain got more serious later in the day:



Sunday, January 07, 2018

How We Remember Our Presidents

Given recent tweets, I can't help but think about presidential legacies and monikers.  Here are a few:

  • Washington - Father of His Country
  • Jackson - Old Hickory
  • Lincoln - The Great Emancipator, Honest Abe
  • Roosevelt - The Trust Buster
  • Coolidge - Silent Cal
  • Roosevelt - FDR
  • Truman - Give ‘em Hell Harry
  • Eisenhower - Ike
  • Kennedy - JFK
  • Johnson - LBJ
  • Reagan - The Great Communicator
  • Nixon - Tricky Dick and “I am not a crook.”
  • Carter - The Peanut Farmer
  • Bush (Jr) -  Dubya

And I can't imagine anything other than:

  • Trump - A Very Stable Genius


As you might be able to detect, I'm frustrated that the American media's spotlight is focused on Trump's twitter account.  It's like the slowing of traffic as people view a car wreck.  We're caught in ajam-up  of cars and can't get on with what we need to do.  Hopefully, we're absorbing the reminder to drive more safely individually and planning how to get public officials to collectively fund safer infrastructure, even alternatives to driving.

So keep calling your congress members.  Keep working with groups gearing up for the next election. Read funny books and watch funny movies to clear off the numbing effect of our president.

Meanwhile I'm thinking far ahead when it's possible the irony that Trump's nickname will carry could actually wear off and people take it at face value.  So Orwellian.  Push that thought away and pick your battles well.

Saturday, January 06, 2018

Is Trump A Genius?

First there was the IQ test and Mensa, the club for people who scored over 130-32 (top 2%) on the IQ test.

Yet Priceonomics in a piece called "The Psychology of Self Appointed Genius"  tells us that 49% of men who filled out OKCupid applications marked yes when asked if they were a genius.

So, in thinking he's a genius, Trump is pretty much an average man.

Except, the Priceonomics article goes on to say:
"when you’re bad at something, it’s likely that the deficits that prevent you from improving also prevent you from realizing how bad you are."
Citing a paper by Dunning, Heath, and Suls, the article continues:
"70% of one million high school seniors surveyed said they had “above average” leadership skills (only 2% said their skills were “below average.”) 60% rated themselves as in the top 10% in “their ability to get along with others”, 25% rated themselves in the top 1%. This is not quite, but almost as extraordinary as the 39% of OKCupid users who thought they were at least in the top 2%.
In a 1970s study, 94% of college professors rated themselves as doing “above average” work (and 2/3rds rated their performance in the top quarter).
Other examples include motorcyclists, who think they’re less accident-prone than the typical biker, and business leaders, who think their firm is more likely to succeed than the industry average."
So Trump, again, is not in the exceptional 2% range in overestimating his abilities.

Another observation from this article:
"People with low IQ tend to overestimate their intelligence, (people with high IQ tend to underestimate their intelligence)."
So, this would predict a genius would not say she was a genius.


Let's think about this a different way.  We began with Mensa requiring being in the top 2% of the IQ test.  But IQ tests don't exactly measure IQ.

 From a Gizmodo article on Mensa and Trump:
"psychology currently recognizes IQ tests as not measuring actual intelligence, a concept which is incredibly hard to define, and which is inevitably linked to both social and individual conceptions. IQ tests primarily measure a range of skills, academic achievements and acquired knowledge—things that tend to have to do with social standing, not innate intelligence."
So people born to an economically higher class, with access to cultural and educational advantages, will naturally score higher on an IQ test than those from a lower economic class.  A good example for me is thinking about and IQ test where all the examples would come from the skills needed to survive in Alaska Native village culture - knowledge of the stories of the particular language group, knowledge about subsistence hunting and fishing, about Arctic astronomy and weather.  Not only do you need to know the logic, but you'd have to understand all the examples.  Say, "A chum salmon is to a silver salmon as a caribou is to a __________."  Your logic might be fine, but if you don't know these particular fish or the caribou, you can't even apply the logic.  But IQ tests and SAT's are written by and for people with a certain cultural background and knowledge.  And it isn't from a Yup'ik or African-American culture and knowledge.

But beyond that IQ tests measure fluency in a particular cultural kind of knowledge.  Harvard psychologist Howard Gardner came up with list of multiple kinds of intelligence.  The Northern Illinois University faculty development site lists them as:
 Gardner’s Multiple Intelligences  

1. Verbal-linguistic intelligence (well-developed verbal skills and sensitivity to the sounds, meanings and rhythms of words)
2. Logical-mathematical intelligence (ability to think conceptually and abstractly, and capacity to discern logical and numerical patterns)
3. Spatial-visual intelligence (capacity to think in images and pictures, to visualize accurately and abstractly)
4. Bodily-kinesthetic intelligence (ability to control one’s body movements and to handle objects skillfully)
5. Musical intelligences (ability to produce and appreciate rhythm, pitch and timber)
6. Interpersonal intelligence (capacity to detect and respond appropriately to the moods, motivations and desires of others)
7. Intrapersonal (capacity to be self-aware and in tune with inner feelings, values, beliefs and thinking processes)
8. Naturalist intelligence (ability to recognize and categorize plants, animals and other objects in nature)
9. Existential intelligence (sensitivity and capacity to tackle deep questions about human existence such as, What is the meaning of life? Why do we die? How did we get here?)
(Source: Thirteen ed online, 2004)
The traditional IQ tests focused on the first three of Gardner's intelligences.

Let's look at these one by one:

1.  "well-developed verbal skills and sensitivity to the sounds, meanings and rhythms of words - his speeches to his base showed a certain sensitivity to sounds and rhythms"  - "Lock her up, Lock her up," "Build that wall, build that wall."  But these are first or second grade level vocabulary and rhythms.

2.  "ability to think conceptually and abstractly, and capacity to discern logical and numerical patterns" - Haven't seen much of this.  Logic and numerical patterns do not seem to be part of his way of thinking.  Tends to be much more of a concrete than abstract thinker.

3.  "capacity to think in images and pictures, to visualize accurately and abstractly" - could well be that he thinks in images and pictures, but I don't see much abstraction.

4.  "ability to control one’s body movements and to handle objects skillfully" - I haven't seen him play golf, but I've heard he's reasonably good.  On his famous grabbing tape, he claimed to be able to handle some objects skillfully.

5.  "ability to produce and appreciate rhythm, pitch and timber" - he's pretty good, again with a supportive audience, at saying things that arouse their emotion and loyalty.

6.  "capacity to detect and respond appropriately to the moods, motivations and desires of others" - again, he's figured out what moves his base, and if he has genius in anything, it would be in pushing people's buttons.

7.  "capacity to be self-aware and in tune with inner feelings, values, beliefs and thinking processes" -  the part of his brain that processes self-awareness seems not to be functioning much at all.

8.  "ability to recognize and categorize plants, animals and other objects in nature" - one of my daughter's college roommates was from Manhattan, like Trump, and she needed to get back to the city on weekends because she couldn't handle all the green of the campus.  She needed her fix of concrete.  Trump's climate change denial, shrinking of national monuments, off-shore drilling all suggest that nature is near the bottom of his list of important things.

9.  "sensitivity and capacity to tackle deep questions about human existence such as, What is the meaning of life? Why do we die? How did we get here?" - No evidence shown of this.

So the only glimmer of genius I see from this list is, as I mentioned in #6 - ability to push other people's buttons.  He pushed his supporters' buttons to positive effect and he skillfully enrages everyone else on a regular basis.

But let's look a little deeper.

Daniel Goleman came up with different kinds of emotional intelligence.  From a Concordia University site:
Emotional self-awareness — knowing what one is feeling at any given time and understanding the impact those moods have on others
Self-regulation — controlling or redirecting one’s emotions; anticipating consequences before acting on impulse
Motivation — utilizing emotional factors to achieve goals, enjoy the learning process and persevere in the face of obstacles
Empathy — sensing the emotions of others
Social skills — managing relationships, inspiring others and inducing desired responses from them
Of these five, I'd say Trump does well on Motivation and, to a certain extent, Social Skills.  He clearly is motivated, though I suspect a lot of this comes from his father who was driven and whose disappointment in his oldest son seems to have motivated Trump not to disappoint his father.
I'd give him high marks for social skills for inspiring others (his base) and inducing desired responses (from the media and from liberals.)  One could debate this.  He'd prefer the media to praise him, but he certainly knows how to get them riled up.  But perhaps that isn't really his intention.  Managing relationships?  He's on this third marriage.  His staff seems to be busy with internal warfare, his most trusted now becoming his avowed enemies.

This is really a quick and dirty assessment.  I haven't given detailed examples to back up my assessments.  I think what I'm mainly offering here is a measuring stick that others can use to measure his self-reported genius against.  And I'm waiting to see readers think I've missed.

I'll end with one other characteristic of geniuses, that  James Fallows, among others, has pointed out: most geniuses don't call attention to their gifts.




Friday, January 05, 2018

Famous People Born 1918 Part 2: ""Pretend that every single person you meet has a sign around his or her neck that says 'Make Me Feel Important.' Not only will you succeed in business, you will succeed in life."

Science

It was a good year for Nobel Prize winners.  (There were two Peace Prize winners in yesterday's post.)

HeaderDiedComments
Richard Feynman   1988    Nobel Prize Physics
Julian Schwinger1994    "Indeed, relativistic quantum mechanics - the union of the complementarity 
principle of Bohr with the relativity principle of Einstein - is quantum field theory. " *
Gertrude Elion1999Nobel Prize Medicine - Leukemia, Herpes Drug Pioneer
Franco Modigliani 2003Nobel Prize Economics
Frederick Sanger 2013Nobel Prize Chemistry 1958 and 1980
Katherine G. Johnson**NASA Mathematician portrayed in "Hidden Figures"
Jens C. Skou **Nobel Prize Chemistry

*From Schwinger's Nobel lecture in 1965

**As I write this, Katherine G. Johnson and Jens C. Skou appear to be still alive.  Johnson's 100th birthday will be next August 26,  Skou's will be next October 8

Here's some video that shows why Feynman was such a popular physicist.

xxx

[UPDATE Jan 6, 2017:  Barbara Carlson points out in the comments that this video doesn't download.  I've checked and I have the right embed code, so don't know why it's not working.  Here's the link:

https://www.ted.com/talks/richard_feynman?utm_campaign=tedspread--b&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=tedcomshare  ]


Business


DiedComments
Sam Walton    1992  Founder of Walmart and Sam's Club
Mary Kay Ash   2001Founder of Mary Kay Cosmetics

The headline quote comes from Mary Kay Ash.  I think it's a great way to view the world.  I've recommended that we all treat everyone we meet or see on the street as if they were actual or future Nobel Prize winners or US presidents.  (The presidency will regain its luster post eventually.)  Here suggestion is more direct.  But it's only good advice if it's genuine and not a sales strategy.

Read the link above that tells the rosy story of Mary Kay Ash.  But then also read this story that argues Mary Kay's company doesn't do its women salesforce nearly as much good as officially claimed.


Film


DiedComments
William Holden    1981  Academy & Emmy Award Winning Actor
Rita Hayworth1987Dancer, Pinup, Actor
Art Carney2003Academy Award Winning Actor - Honeymooners Actor
Ingmar Bergman2007Academy Award Winning Swedish Director

Below is a short homage of sorts to Ingmar Bergman, De Düve.  I can't resist.  I remember first seeing this in a theater and slowly figuring out what was going on.






Sports


DiedComments
Bob Feller2010Cleveland Pitcher, Hall of Famer
Leroy Walker2012First Black To Lead US Olympic Committee, Coach US Olympic Team



Religion


DiedComments
Maharishi Mahesh Yogi  2008Transcendental Meditation Guru To Beatles and world 
Oral Roberts2009Pentacostal Televangelist, Founder Oral Roberts University
Billy Graham*[2018]"The Pope Of Protestant America" Religious Advisor to Presidents

*As I write this, Billy Graham is still alive. [UPDATED Feb 23, 2018:  Billy Graham passed away February 21, 2018.]



A Few Others

These don't fit into neat categories.

DiedComments
Frank M. Johnson  1999  White Alabama Judge Who Ruled Against Segregation
Ann Landers2002Esther Pauline Friedman Lederer - Advice Columnist
Jack Paar2004Investor and Host Of The Late Night Show
Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn  2008Nobel Prize in Literature, Expelled from Soviet Union
Abigail Van Buren2013Pauline Ester Friedman Phillips, and Twin Sister of Ann Landers

Here's Jack Paar interviewen Judy Garland:



As I mentioned in Famous People Born In 2018 Part I, all these folks, had they grown up in the same neighborhood, would have been in the same class at school.

In case you haven't figured it out, in each category, people are listed in the order that they died.

Thursday, January 04, 2018

Trump Nominates Returned Peace Corps Volunteer Jody Olsen To Be New Peace Corps Director

Here's from an email I got from The National Peace Corps Association:

"President Trump has nominated Josephine "Jody" Olsen to become the next Peace Corps Director. 
If confirmed by the Senate, Olsen would become the 20th person to lead the agency.Olsen served as a Peace Corps Volunteer in Tunisia from 1966 - 1968 and was Togo Country Director from 1979 - 1981. She was nominated by President George W. Bush to serve as Deputy Director of the agency and later served as Acting Director. 
“We applaud President Trump for nominating Dr. Jody Olsen to lead the Peace Corps,” said National Peace Corps Association President and CEO Glenn Blumhorst. “As a returned volunteer, country director, acting director for the agency—and highly engaged member in the Peace Corps community—Jody knows the Peace Corps experience and the people who have served as well as anyone. Jody's commitment to education and social work and her decades of leadership are a perfect match for a 21st-century Peace Corps poised to grow and improve. We encourage Chairman Corker and his Senate colleagues to move swiftly to confirm Jody as next director. America and the world need the Peace Corps now more than ever. We're excited Jody has the opportunity to lead it."
Click here to read the White House announcement on this nomination. 
A co-founder of the NPCA affiliate Women of Peace Corps Legacy, Olsen was a featured contributor in the Winter 2017 issue of WorldView magazine, writing about the rise of women in leadership roles in the agency and in international development. 
"Today 62 percent of Peace Corps’ 7,300 volunteers are women," Olsen wrote. "Over the years, each group of female volunteers has motivated the next group, and each generation to the next. This extraordinary group of approximately 125,000 females spanning 56 years of service are giving back to families, communities, states, and nations in ways not possible without the Peace Corps experience, one contribution at a time.  
"Today, women’s roles are stronger than ever, particularly here in the United States. Is there a need for further attention of Peace Corps women on behalf of women and girls? Yes. The issues faced by women and girls still need our support…Some of the issues might look overwhelming, but the Peace Corps experience has taught us to work with whatever situation we find, a person, a family, or community." 
Click here to see the list of all previous Peace Corps Directors."

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

President Ends His Advisory Commission on Election Integrity

From the White House:

Executive Order on the Termination of Presidential Advisory Commission on Election Integrity

Issued on: 




This was called from the start by some, "the Advisory Commission on Election Fraud" and "on Voter Suppression" by others.

It was suspect from the beginning with Vice President Pence as chair and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach serving as vice-chair. The ACLU has four suits against Kobach claiming in one 
"“Secretary Kobach continues to seek ways to confuse and obstruct voters in Kansas. His flagrant disregard of the court’s findings means that Kansans still face unnecessary barriers to voting. We’re asking the court to immediately block the temporary regulation and to ultimately end this dual system once and for all,” said Sophia Lakin, staff attorney with the ACLU’s Voting Rights Project."
The Democratic Secretary of State of Maine, a member of the commission, was suing the commission.  Governing reports:
The suit alleges that the commission's chairman, Vice President Mike Pence, and vice chairman, Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, are in violation of the Federal Advisory Committee Act, which prohibits the body from excluding commissioners from deliberations and information. The Executive Office of the President is also a named defendant, as the office is staffing the commission and maintaining its records. 
"Since the Sept. 12 meeting, I have received no correspondence from the commission other than to acknowledge receipt of my information request" of October 17, Dunlap said in a prepared statement. "Clearly, there is information about this commission being created and discussed, but I have no access to that information and it has not been provided upon request."
One of the commission's staffers was arrested for having child porn on his phone.

There were lots of reasons to not even create this commission in the first place.  Objective studies of voter fraud said this Republican talking point was a non-issue at best, an attempt at voter suppression at worst.

Jennifer Ruben wrote at the Washington Post back in September  that the Commission should be shut down.

But it's not like Trump administration to back down and quit because its critics tell it to.  Was it the likelihood of losing the suits?  Maybe.

I'm guessing that the Republicans wanted to have a federal commission that could make their recommendations for voter suppression under the guise of preventing voter fraud.  But it was getting too difficult.  Locking out the Democrats resulted in the lawsuit which they were likely to lose.

And since they couldn't conduct their business privately as a federal commission, they've decided to go back to secret meetings and scheming to do their dirty business of finding ways to keep Democrats from voting.

And how much did all this cost the taxpayer?  I can't find anything on that.

How Long Is A Generation? Let's Be Careful About Words We Use

Communication between two human beings is hard enough, even when they use the same words to mean the same thing.  But when people use words 'creatively' with meanings that don't match the commonly understood meanings, it gets even harder to understand each other.

From today's Anchorage Daily News story on the death of the Alaska zoo's polar bear Ahpun,
"'She’s been a favorite here for generations of people,' Lampi said Tuesday." 
Generations of people?

But the bear was only 20 years old.  

How long is a generation?  Greg Laden's Blog tells us:
Short Answer: 25 years, but a generation ago it was 20 years.
Long answer: It depends on what you mean by generation.

He goes on to explain biological, generational, and cultural, social generations.  

Now, Lampi may have meant that children, their parents, and grandparents all visited the zoo together, and technically that would be three generations together seeing Ahpun.

But normally 'for generations' means something has gone on across many generations.  Two generations by Laden's count (and I checked others who give the same response) would be 40-50 years.  Which would have made Ahpun a pretty old bear.  Seaworld's website says the oldest polar bear in captivity lived 45 years.

Does it matter?  Words are tools for communication.   And poor communications contribute to most problems humans face in the world.  From the University of Colorado Conflict Research Consortium:
"Almost all conflicts involve communication problems, as both a cause and an effect. Misunderstandings, resulting from poor communication, can easily cause a conflict or make it worse. Further, once a conflict has started, communication problems often develop because people in conflict do not communicate with each other as frequently, as openly, and as accurately as they do when relationships are not strained. Thus communication is central to most conflict situations. . .

Speakers often are not clear themselves about what they mean, which almost assures that what they say will be unclear as well. Even when people know what they mean, they often do not say it as clearly as they should. . . "
Lots of little things combine to create big problems.  

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

How To Get More Variety From Netflix And Follow Up On Scam Film Festivals

"Netflix is always using algorithms to help you find the best movies based on your taste, but what if you want something completely different?"
So starts an article at Data Hand, which then goes on to list lots of codes that get you to very specific genres.

Hidden Netflix codes to help you find movies Netflix doesn't know you might like.

Here's are a few examples:

Anime Features: 3063
Anime Horror: 10695
Anime Sci-Fi: 2729
Anime Series: 6721
Art House Movies: 29764
Asian Action Movies: 77232
Australian Movies: 5230
B-Horror Movies: 8195
Baseball Movies: 12339
Basketball Movies: 12762
Belgian Movies: 262
Biographical Documentaries: 3652
Biographical Dramas: 3179
Boxing Movies: 12443
British Movies: 10757
British TV Shows: 52117
Campy Movies: 1252
Children & Family Movies: 783
Chinese Movies: 3960
Dramas based on Books: 4961
Dramas based on real life: 3653
Dutch Movies: 10606
Eastern European Movies: 5254
Education for Kids: 10659
Epics: 52858
Experimental Movies: 11079
Faith & Spirituality: 26835
Faith & Spirituality Movies: 52804
Family Features: 51056
Fantasy Movies: 9744
Film Noir: 7687
Food & Travel TV: 72436  
Martial Arts Movies: 8985
Martial Arts, Boxing & Wrestling: 6695
Middle Eastern Movies: 5875
Military Action & Adventure: 2125
Military Documentaries: 4006
Military Dramas: 11
Military TV Shows: 25804
Miniseries: 4814
Mockumentaries: 26
Monster Movies: 947
Movies based on children's books: 10056
Sports & Fitness: 9327
Sports Comedies: 5286
Sports Documentaries: 180
Sports Dramas: 7243
Sports Movies: 4370
Spy Action & Adventure: 10702
Spy Thrillers: 9147
Stage Musicals: 55774
Stand-up Comedy: 11559
Steamy Romantic Movies: 35800
Steamy Thrillers: 972
The numbers are the code you put in, not the number of films in that category.


On another track, though still related to films, back in 2009 I wrote about a copycat film festival that mimicked the Anchorage International Film Festival's name, but showed no films and had no Alaska connection at all except for a post office box that forwarded submissions somewhere.  That post, and a threat from the festival's lawyer for using the word scam in my post, led me to several other posts about legitimate film festivals and more questionable ones festivals.

A recent piece in a German film site - Shortfilm.de - cited one of my posts and went on to talk about the proliferation of festivals that take advantage of film makers.  It looks in depth at the  the “International Filmmaker Festival of World Cinema” in Berlin.  Here's the English version.  Or, if you prefer, the original German version.

Monday, January 01, 2018

Famous People Born in 1918 Part I - Politics and Music

Getting perspective is always good.  Looking back 100 years helps do that.  So as 2018 begins, let's look at who was born 100 years ago.  And remember the babies you see this year may be on a list like this in 2118.  Treat them well.

Also, consider that if they lived in the same neighborhood, these folks would have been classmates at school.  We don't always recognize famous folks who were cohorts.  I'm grouping them by areas they gained fame and in order of their deaths.  These are just a few of the 1918 birth group who did noteworthy (a non-judgmental term) things.  I'll do one or two more posts with other categories.

Politics/Government

Two African leaders and Nobel Peace Prize winners, but overall a sketchy group.  One assassinated and two others executed.



DiedComment
Julius Rosenberg1953    Death Penalty Convicted Spy
Anwar el-Sadat1981President of Egypt, Nobel Peace Prize, Assassinated 
Nicolae Ceausecu1989Romanian Communist leader, Executed after fall of Soviet Union
Spiro Agnew 1996Disgraced Vice President under Nixon, forced to resign
Kurt Waldheim2007President of Austria, UN Gen Sec.  Nazi past exposed late in his life.
Howard Hunt2007Nixon WH plumber, organized dirty tricks for Nixon
Betty Ford 201l First Lady, Gerald Ford, Betty Ford Foundation Addiction Help
Nelson Mandela 2013 Political prisoner then President of South Africa, Nobel Peace Prize,

[UPDATE Jan 2, 2018:  AKBright reminded me in a comment below that Anchorage's Ruth Sheridan was born in 1918.  She's still visible around town and still fighting for justice.  Somewhere I must have a picture of her, but not sure where.]

Music

Some great ones in this group.


DiedComments
Professor Longhair    1980     "rattled the keys with a mélange of boogie-woogie,
New Orleans parade beats and Caribbean rhythm."
Leonard Bernstein1990West Side Story and so much more
Pearl Bailey1990Singer extraordinaire 
Brigit Nilsson 2005 Swedish soprano opera great
Marian McPartland2013Jazz pianist, NPR piano jazz host
Alan Jay Learner2014Lyricist for My Fair Lady and other musicals


















Part 2 is coming.

For a longer list, see this page at Biography.

When I first did a post like this back in 2007, I had to work hard to pull names together.  Now there are lots of sites that do this, so I don't think my efforts here need to be as extensive as the original ones.