

So after J came back from her Tai Chi, we went to get a few more plants (we got back too late from Chiang Mai to start seeds this year) and to recycle.

A term meant to convey a person's inability to make sense of the numbers that run their lives.
...Innumeracy hurts in other ways as well. For example, public policy issues may increasingly move beyond the intellectual grasp of citizens who lack appropriate skills in quantitative reasoning...
Eleven people filed affidavits with the lawsuit saying that they’ve had cancellations and the total for that just eleven people were half a million dollars.My ears perked up immediately. Eleven people. Half a million dollars.
Eleven people filed affidavits with the lawsuit saying that they’ve had cancellations and the total for that just eleven people were half a million dollars.My ears perked up immediately. Eleven people. Half a million dollars.
So, if "26 cancellations alone represent a loss of $98,970.00 in gross revenues" that's more like $3,800 per person, a number that sounds a lot more reasonable than $45,000.
The evidence of serious and ongoing harm to Area 2C charter operators is irrefutable. Larry McQuarie, an Area 2C lodge operator, states in his affidavit that 26 regular clients have already canceled existing reservations for the 2008 season because of the one-fish limit, and that 10 additional clients chose not to book with his establishment for the same reason. The 26 cancellations alone represent a loss of $98,970.00 in gross revenues. See Exhibit 1. Scot Van Valin, also an Area 2C lodge operator, has already lost even more. Mr. Van Valin has had 40 regular clients cancel their 2008 reservations because of the one-fish rule. He had refunded $147,800.00 to those clients. Thirty-two additional regular clients have also decline to book respectively.
The experiences of these Area 2C charter operators are corroborated by the affidavits of their colleagues and competitors in Area 3A, who have received booksings from clients lost by Area 2C operators. Rex Murphy states that he has booked three clients for this year who have told him that they moved from Mr. McQuarrie’s Area 2C Sportsman’s Cove Lodge because of the one-fish rule. See Exhibit 8. Finally, Donna Bondioli has had three groups of fishermen book with her in Area 3A buisness for the first time. These new clients stated that they had moved from Area 2C to Area 3A because of the one halibut limit.So, where are Areas 2C and 3A? Another Google search finds an old UAA Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER) report with a map of the Halibut Management Areas.
Metcalfe points out that Palin exposed the Republican Party chair, Randy Ruedrich, for ethical violations, and says that he’s exposed a hundred times as much corruption as that. “Look what the public did for her. It’s not the good ol’ boys that are going to put you in office, and it’s not the guys with the thousand dollar campaign checks. It’s the guys with the five dollar campaign checks and the yard signs and the elbow grease.”Here, Brendan has interviewed Metcalfe and is reporting what Metcalfe says. This is an important part of journalism, as reporters on behalf of the rest of us, talk to the candidates. We need to know two things about candidates:
... was thought to require a testimonial privilege, one that would both reflect and foster the loyalty that married people should feel toward each other.For Palin, calling out Ruedrich and Murkowski was an important act, but it was one of many things she did and stood for. For Metcalfe, in most people's minds (those who even think about these things at all), it is his purpose to go after corrupt politicians. In the public's view, this isn't balanced out by other aspects of his life. It's not balanced. Brendan writes:
It’s worth asking what Ray Metcalfe is running for, as opposed to whom he’s running against.(The article does also then give a list of things he's for.)
. . .if he wouldn’t be better suited for a job other than Senator from Alaska. Like working for the Department of Justice. Or becoming a private investigator.Another identity issue for Metcalfe is whether he is becoming the Hillary Clinton of the Alaskan US Senate race.
His allegations against Begich are complex and involve real estate deals with local developer Jon Rubini, of JL Properties, who’s also connected to Ted Stevens through property deals. Metcalfe’s compiled his paper trails and accusations in documents that are on his website, www.metcalfe4senate.comWhile he says he is serious about this campaign, the money and polls suggest that Begich is the likely Democratic candidate, with a far more significant lead over Metcalfe than Obama ever had over Clinton. If he has no chance of winning, does he have a good chance of causing the Democrats to lose?
For its part, the Begich campaign has a thick stack of papers rebutting one of Metcalfe’s claims—that Begich assisted Rubini by pushing to rezone of a parcel of land, boosting its value significantly. The federal government subsequently purchased it from Rubini’s company, at what Metcalfe says was an inflated price, for the National Archives building. Begich disputes all of Metcalfe’s accusations, calling the situation a shame.
This is the same sort of 'he said, she said" journalism we get every day, which clouds the issues in voters' minds, but doesn't dig deeper into the validity of the claims. We need some people to read through all of Metcalfe's allegations and take his tour and then go to the Begich people and sort through their responses. And then map them out. Are the allegations merely correlation without evidence of cause and effect? Are the responses credible and do they effectiely refute Metcalfe's claims? I know Metcalfe believes he's right, so do Pete Kott and Vic Kohring. I don't mean to lump Metcalfe with those folks, but merely to point out that believing you are right is not the same as being right.
“He throws these allegations around because they make good political hay and he never has to back it up,” Begich says. “Honestly, I run my campaign focused on the issues that I want to talk about; Ray would rather throw grenades and he doesn’t really care where they land."
There’s a tour of Anchorage that Ray Metcalfe likes to give to journalists, politicians, FBI agents, and other interested parties. He calls it his “three-hour tour,” although it could probably go on longer. The tour hits everywhere from base housing at Elmendorf to parking lots in downtown Anchorage to a lot in Midtown near Loussac Library to a road in a sprawling development in South Anchorage.This second quote (below) indirectly hints that he did, and I suspect he did, and he just didn't realize anyone would even question it, but it would be helpful if he just came out and told us directly that he took the tour.
One wonders, when you take the three-hour tour and listen to Metcalfe pontificate on his passion for independently investigating political corruption, if he wouldn’t be better suited for a job other than Senator from Alaska. Like working for the Department of Justice. Or becoming a private investigator. Or charging money to tourists for the three-hour tours.
I arrived in Hong Kong in 1989 about a month after June 4 and during the year I taught at Chinese University I heard a lot about what happened, including a first hand account by one of my colleagues who had been doing research in Beijing during the events. Of course, any individual's accounts are limited by where he was and what he saw.OF ALL the taboos in modern China, the violent quelling of the Tiananmen Square democracy protests on June 4, 1989, remains the most sensitive.
Nineteen years later, China is now the world's fourth-largest economy, and proud host of this year's Olympic Games. But unlike other touchy subjects - Tibet, Taiwan and the Falun Gong group banned as a cult - there is no public discourse on the Tiananmen Square "incident". The real death toll is a state secret; more than a dozen protesters from that time, plus hundreds more dissidents, are in jail. (From today's Sydney Morning Herald)
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I suspect that most people wanting to give this bike commuting thing a try will more or less load up the old bike in the garage and head out instead of researching things a little. They probably don't read blogs like this until they get hooked. So I say to you, the knowledgeable, don't let your neighbor go forth to wreak havoc in the public arena alone with his inexperience. Engage him. Offer him your experience and wisdom. Avoid telling how much he needs to buy because his stuff is junk. Avoid pressuring him to ride every day, and under no circumstances make light of his fear of riding in traffic. Make sure he has the tools and knowledge to repair a flat tire. Failing that, make sure he knows where the buses go and how to use the front bicycle rack.