Showing posts with label Corona Virus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Corona Virus. Show all posts

Friday, May 29, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count Friday May 29, 2020 - 5 New Cases, 1 New Hospitalizations






Today's five new cases seems good, only in comparison to yesterday's 13 new cases.  Before yesterday, the last time we had over four cases was May 1.  After I posted yesterday, I thought that maybe the jump in the numbers resulted from a week of Kenai test results getting processed in on day (there were seven from Kenai yesterday.)  But today's numbers include two more from Kenai, as well as two from Anchorage, and one from Juneau.





CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th= 12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=15/171
16 hos 5 dead
5th= 14/185
20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191
23 hosp
6 dead
7th= 22/213
23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered
8th= 13/226
27 hosp 7 dead
32 recovered
9th= 9/235
27 hosp 7 dead
49 recovered
10th=11/246
28 hosp 7 dead
55 recovered
11th=11/257
31 hosp 8 dead
63 recovered
12th= 15/272
31 hosp 8 dead
66 recovered
13th= 5/277
32 Hosp 8 dead
85 Recovered
14th = 8/285
32 Hosp 9 dead
98 Recovered
15th= 8/293
34 Hosp 9 dead
106 Recovered
16th= 7/300
35 hosp 9 dead
110 recovered
17th=  9/309
36 hosp 9 dead
128 recovered
18th =  5/315
36 hos 9 dead
147 Recovered
19th= 4/319
36 hos 9 dead
153Recovered
20th 2/321
36 hos 9 dead
161 recovered
21st 8/329
36 hos 9 dead
168 recovered
22nd  6/335
36 hos  dead
196recovered
23nd  2/337
36 hos  dead
209recovered
24th  2/339
36 hos  dead
208recovered (-1 from 4/23)
25th  0/339
36 hos  dead
217recovered
26th  2/341
36 hos  dead
217recovered
27th  4/345
37 hos  dead
218recovered
28th  6/351
37 hos  dead
228 recovered
29th  4/355
36 hos  dead
240recovered
30th  0/355
36 hos  dead
252recovered



May 2020



1st  9/364
36 hos  dead
254recovered
2nd  1/365
36 hos  dead
261recovered
3rd  3/368
36 hos  dead
262recovered
4th  2/370
37 hos  dead
263recovered
5th  1/371
38 hos  dead
277 recovered
6th  1/372
38 hos 10 dead
284recovered
7th  2/374
38 hos 10 dead
291recovered
8th  3/377
38 hos 10 dead
305recovered
9th  1/378
38 hos 10 dead
318recovered
10th  1/379
38 hos 10 dead
324recovered
11th  1/381
38 hos 10 dead
328recovered
12th  2/383
38 hos 10 dead
334 recovered
13th  0/383
38 hos 10 dead
335recovered
14th  4/387
39 hos 10 dead
339recovered
15th  1/388
41 hos 10 dead
343recovered
16th  4/392
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
17th  4/396
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
18th  3/399
43 hos 10 dead
345recovered
19th  0/399
43 hos 10 dead
348 recovered
20th  3/402
44 hos 10 dead
352recovered
21st  0/402
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
22st  2/404
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
23rd4/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
24th 0/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
25th1/409
45 hos 10 dead
361recovered
26th 2/411
45 hos 10 dead
362 recovered
27th 2/411
46 hos 10 dead
362recovered
28th13/425
46 hos 10 dead
366recovered
29th5/430
47 hos 10 dead
367recovered





State Charts




The screen shot above is high resolution so you can click on it to enlarge and focus. Click here if you want to use the chart interactively,




I'd also suggest a commentary in the ADN this morning by Dr. Stephen Tower and a lot of other folks, including State Senator Cathy Giessel, explaining why social distancing has kept our numbers low in Alaska, the state's right to impose restrictions during a health emergency, and that getting herd immunity through allowing the infection to just spread naturally would kill 15,000 Alaskans.

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Why The Dunleavy Recall Is Still Critical

You can pick your from a number of examples, even while he's done a reasonable job of letting Dr. Anne Zink set the tone and policies on COVID until recently.  But he's also cone the kinds of things that got so many signatures so quickly onto the initial recall petition:

  • Half million dollar no bid contract to Florida company to provide online education in Alaska, without any prior announcements or consultation with educators
  • Letter of support from his AG to Judge Sullivan to drop the charges against Gen. Flynn
  • Allowing tens of thousands of people to come to Alaska to commercial fish this summer with minimal preparation for local health facilities, the people in the small communities where they will work or where their boats dock, and trusting the fishing companies to monitor their quarantines and their COVID testing

Those are just a few examples.  Today we have another.  He's given an interview on Youtube with Dana Loesch, while not granting such one-on-one interviews to Alaskan reporters, who might ask him more than softball questions.
So who is Dana Loesch?  Here's the start of Wikipedia's description:
"Dana Lynn Loesch (/læʃ/ LASH; née Eaton; born September 28, 1978) is an American former spokesperson for the National Rifle Association. She is a former writer and editor for Breitbart News and the host of the program Dana on TheBlaze TV from 2014 to 2017. Loesch has appeared as a guest on television networks such as Fox News, CNN, CBS, ABC, and HBO."
There's a long, long piece about her in the St. Louis Magazine (where she once worked) about her transformation in life.  Here's one quote about her thoughts on journalists:

"After the mass shooting in the Capital Gazette newsroom, writer Shaun King tweets an old article in which the accused shooter said he wanted to smash the face of a reporter into concrete. King also tweets an old clip of Dana talking about mass media on NRATV: “I’m happy, just frankly, to see them curb-stomped… They are the rat bastards of the Earth.” He asks if she now sees why “it is disturbing that you said you want to smash the faces of journalists into concrete.” Dana says she was referring to reports being curb-stomped, not people. Then she says, 'I condemn the recklessness and violence you encourage.'”

If you need to watch the video it's here.  In this case, she fawns over his being the first governor to open up his state for stage three and he allows that we Alaskans trust our people to do the right thing, so we never had any threats to people if they didn't follow social distancing.  I guess if Nat Herz or Kyle Hopkins (who also tweeted he was never given an interview with the governor last year) might have followed up about whether that trust of Alaskans included letting women and their doctors decide about abortions.

This all seems like Dunleavy is working on national exposure with right wing viewers.  Is this a way to raise money to fight the recall vote?  Is he planning on running against Murkowski in the next Republican Senate primary?  Loesch is all sweetness and light in this interview.

He's also lucky because this seems to have been done yesterday, before today's stats showed the state had the highest jump in new cases - 13 - in over a month.  That may sound like a low number, and it is relative to other states - but for weeks the numbers have been under five.









Alaska COVID-19 Count Thursday May 28, 2020 - 13 New Cases!!

THIRTEEN NEW CASES!  That's the highest number, by far, since April 12 when we had 15 new cases.  The highest we had before that was 9 new cases.  But mostly under 5. Since May 1 they've all been under 5.  So this is significant.

This could be a one day anomaly, or it could be the result of opening back up, or it could be the influx of people coming to Alaska for the commercial fishing season.  It's not good.  The State chart shows four were from Anchorage, seven from Kenai, one each from Juneau and the North Slope Borough.


ProPublica has a page with what might be called a report card for each state.  They say only 11 states get a green light on all five categories.  I thought Alaska would be one, but it's not.  The first two categories show a weakness in these metrics.  Alaska numbers haven't had a steady decline in the last week, but that's because the numbers are so low.  We've had been 0 and 4 new cases a day - mostly ones and twos.  If you have one's for five days, even zeros, and then go up to two, you'd have an increase and not get a green check mark (if I understand this right.)  Also, the percentage of positive tests is way below their 30% benchmark, but it's not going down.  Again because the numbers are so low.  The last category is one that I haven't seen before.  I'll have to look at the State's charts again to see if it's there.  Despite not getting all green checks, Alaska is doing well, though I'd like to know more about the last category.  You can see all the states at the Propublica link.  (I'd note that this chart was before today's numbers.)


Thanks KS for the tip.


CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th= 12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=15/171
16 hos 5 dead
5th= 14/185
20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191
23 hosp
6 dead
7th= 22/213
23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered
8th= 13/226
27 hosp 7 dead
32 recovered
9th= 9/235
27 hosp 7 dead
49 recovered
10th=11/246
28 hosp 7 dead
55 recovered
11th=11/257
31 hosp 8 dead
63 recovered
12th= 15/272
31 hosp 8 dead
66 recovered
13th= 5/277
32 Hosp 8 dead
85 Recovered
14th = 8/285
32 Hosp 9 dead
98 Recovered
15th= 8/293
34 Hosp 9 dead
106 Recovered
16th= 7/300
35 hosp 9 dead
110 recovered
17th=  9/309
36 hosp 9 dead
128 recovered
18th =  5/315
36 hos 9 dead
147 Recovered
19th= 4/319
36 hos 9 dead
153Recovered
20th 2/321
36 hos 9 dead
161 recovered
21st 8/329
36 hos 9 dead
168 recovered
22nd  6/335
36 hos  dead
196recovered
23nd  2/337
36 hos  dead
209recovered
24th  2/339
36 hos  dead
208recovered (-1 from 4/23)
25th  0/339
36 hos  dead
217recovered
26th  2/341
36 hos  dead
217recovered
27th  4/345
37 hos  dead
218recovered
28th  6/351
37 hos  dead
228 recovered
29th  4/355
36 hos  dead
240recovered
30th  0/355
36 hos  dead
252recovered



May 2020



1st  9/364
36 hos  dead
254recovered
2nd  1/365
36 hos  dead
261recovered
3rd  3/368
36 hos  dead
262recovered
4th  2/370
37 hos  dead
263recovered
5th  1/371
38 hos  dead
277 recovered
6th  1/372
38 hos 10 dead
284recovered
7th  2/374
38 hos 10 dead
291recovered
8th  3/377
38 hos 10 dead
305recovered
9th  1/378
38 hos 10 dead
318recovered
10th  1/379
38 hos 10 dead
324recovered
11th  1/381
38 hos 10 dead
328recovered
12th  2/383
38 hos 10 dead
334 recovered
13th  0/383
38 hos 10 dead
335recovered
14th  4/387
39 hos 10 dead
339recovered
15th  1/388
41 hos 10 dead
343recovered
16th  4/392
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
17th  4/396
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered
18th  3/399
43 hos 10 dead
345recovered
19th  0/399
43 hos 10 dead
348 recovered
20th  3/402
44 hos 10 dead
352recovered
21st  0/402
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
22st  2/404
44 hos 10 dead
356recovered
23rd4/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
24th 0/408
45 hos 10 dead
358recovered
25th1/409
45 hos 10 dead
361recovered
26th 2/411
45 hos 10 dead
362 recovered
27th 2/411
46 hos 10 dead
362recovered
28th13/425
46 hos 10 dead
366recovered








The State Charts





The screen shot is high resolution so you can click on it to enlarge and focus. Click here if you want to use the chart interactively,


My Day-By-Day Chart