Monday, September 17, 2012

Shaggy Manes Pop Up And Campbell Creek Rises

The big storm didn't quite materialize, at least in our part of town. There was enough wind to move the leaves around, but not enough that we heard it like last week.

And it's raining sometimes harder, sometimes barely a drizzle. I took advantage of a lull to bike over to someone's house where I found a bunch of shaggy mane mushrooms.  These are very distinctive mushroom that I know is safe and tasty. 

They weren't as excited about the mushrooms as I was and gave me a plastic bag.  I picked a few. 




While I was out I checked on Campbell Creek.  It was up above its banks a bit, but nothing serious.  At the two spots I checked.  Though later I learned that a friend whose house is next to the creek had nine cottonwoods down in his yard.

The winds did stir last night.  The trees are dancing gently to the beat this morning.  Predictions are for rain until Thursday.  






 The mushrooms, by the way, were delicious. 

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Zuill Bailey Plays His 300 Year Old Cello At APU

Friends invited us to last night's great Sitka Summer Music Festival* Anchorage Autumn concert and I want to alert folks there's another concert this afternoon and another next Friday.

I don't keep current with what's going on in music nationally that much, so I didn't really know the name Zuill Bailey before last night, but I do now.  In the picture below, he's in the upper left giving an introduction to the concert - and telling us we can use our cell phones at this concert, if the electricity goes out, to light the room.  He's also holding the cello in the upper right.  But you can see (and hear) him better in the NPR video below.  The YouTube intro points out that his cello is very special,
built by the renowned Venetian maker Matteo Goffriller in 1693. That means Johann Sebastian Bach was all of 8 years old when Goffriller slapped on the final layer of shellac. 


In the main part of this photo you can see violist Sandra Robbins (l-r), the pianist Eduard Zilberkant, the page turner, and the oboist Catherine Weinfield, before they played Charles Loeffler's Two Rhapsodies for Oboe, Viola and Piano. (I can read the program.)   As a failed junior high school oboist, I could appreciate how she didn't break her reed just before this piece with many solos, and I noticed how many reeds she had in her case when she took it out.  I also appreciated how beautiful the oboe is when someone can really play it.

I'm afraid that violinist Elmar Oliveira is just a speck holding a violin in the upper right hand picture, but he and violist were wonderful in the opening piece, Handel's Passacaglia for Violin and Viola.

I don't have a lot to say. It was a wonderful trip to another reality for two hours.  It's great to hear world class musicians in the tiny Grant Hall at Alaska Pacific University with its great acoustics and where you can see the musicians as well as hear them from whatever seat you're in.

So if you can, go this afternoon at 4pm.  There should be a couple of tickets available and maybe the rain will mean more than a few people will be giving up their seats if you just show up.  The chance to see and hear Zuill Bailey in this space may not happen again soon.  (Or maybe it will since he's the Artistic Director of the Sitka Music Festival.) 

There's another concert Friday at the Discovery theater featuring pianist Piers Lane -
"No praise could be high enough for Piers Lane whose playing throughout is of a superb musical intelligence, sensitivity, and scintillating brilliance."  Bryce Morrison, Gramophone
- AND Zuill Bailey. It's still a small, but not quite as intimate a venue, and it should be incredible. 

Here's the NPR video with Zuill Bailey:




*The official name for this concert series is Alaska Airlines Autumn Classics, but I have this difficulty with commercializing everything. Yes, it's great that Alaska Airlines supports this festival, but they can do that because they often charge Alaskans more to fly to Seattle or rural Alaska than to LA or other locations. I'd even be ok if this were called the Sitka Autumn Classics, sponsored by Alaska Airlines. So, yes, thank you Alaska Airlines for making this possible, but please be a little more modest and respectful, since it's really all Alaskans who support this through your often exorbitant airfares. (I just looked up flying to Seattle next Saturday and the cheapest flight available is $471 one way!)

Saturday, September 15, 2012

Ready For The Next Storm

We got a robocall from Municipal Light and Power about how to prepare for the storm due this evening at 8pm.  At the concert tonight they asked people to be ready to use the flashlight app on their iPhones if the power went out.

There was a little wind this afternoon and it's been raining on and off all day.  (Western Prince William Sound - Whittier and I guess Girdwood maybe - are predicted to have 3-7 inches of rain in 24 hours.)  

Issued by The National Weather Service
Anchorage, AK

Updated Sep 15, 2012, 10:40pm AKDT
... HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM AKDT SUNDAY...
* LOCATION... THE ANCHORAGE BOWL... HILLSIDE AND ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM.
* WIND... IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND LOWER HILLSIDE... SOUTHEAST WIND 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 65 MPH. ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE UPPER HILLSIDE... SOUTHEAST WIND 70 TO 85 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 110 MPH. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 40 TO 60 MPH SUNDAY EVENING.
* TIMING... THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP INITIALLY OVER THE UPPER HILLSIDE AND TURNAGAIN ARM THIS EVENING... AND SPREAD TO THE LOWER HILLSIDE... EAST ANCHORAGE... AND EAGLE RIVER VALLEY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THEN WILL SPREAD TO THE REST OF THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AS A WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING. WARNING LEVEL WINDS WILL DIMINISH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING... THOUGH WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS... TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE BLOWN OVER. STRONG WINDS CAN PRODUCE WIND DRIVEN PROJECTILES AND MAY DAMAGE PROPERTY. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

Last Sunday, by 10:30 pm our power was out.  While we got power the next morning, it took some people until Friday to get theirs.  And our internet was out until Tuesday.   So far tonight it's raining, but the high winds haven't made it into the Anchorage Bowl yet.   But everyone is paying attention to the warnings this week and I should put up a post now, just in case we lose power again before tomorrow morning.

Friday, September 14, 2012

Playing With Photos on Blogger - Clouds, Crabapples, and Photoshop


Life is basically about balancing tensions between competing options.  Making tradeoffs.  And I face that every day here on the blog.

It's my space to experiment, but it's also public.  In my own private journal I could experiment and not worry about people looking at my drafts.  Or I could write personal thoughts about my family.  But I want my family to talk to me, so they are pretty much off limits.

For writing, I've come to terms with getting something as good as I can in the time that I have.  Yes, it would be better if I labored over it for another week or two, but the trade off is that I get more stuff up and I can consider these notes jotted down.  On touchy issues I'll usually spend more time trying to avoid ambiguity and unnecessarily ticking someone off.  But there's always someone who will get offended.  Fortunately, not too many of those folks are reading here.

But photos are different.  There's the conflict between putting up a good photo versus putting up something that isn't so good but illustrates the story.  Yes, I know, I should do both, but sometimes a mediocre photo is all I have and it still tells a lot more than I could write.



Like that big cloud hanging over me as I came out of the John Cage talk at UAA Thursday.  I just couldn't get the cloud right.  It was way too big and too close.  But the picture tells you a lot more than I could write.  We don't have that many dramatic cloudscapes in Anchorage.  More often it's a pretty flat gray sky.  Or puffy whites floating near the mountains.

  By the time I got to Lake Otis and 36th, it was even better.  I was waiting for the light to change and shot this on the run as the walk sign turned on. I know, a real photographer would have waited for the next light.  A real photographer would have a real camera too.


 And then Blogger doesn't do me any favors when it interprets the photos.  You could read the Seawolf Shuttle on the bus clearly before I posted this.  If you click on the picture it shows you the slightly better version.


But sometimes I get bored with just uploading up a photo, or I think I can make it look more interesting if I fiddle with it in photoshop.  I'll show you what I mean.   The two cloud pictures I just posted up here from my photo files using blogger's upload photo function.  I don't have a lot of control.  I can play with the size and location -  on the left, right, or middle.

Sometimes I'll take two related pictures and I want to position them together better than blogger lets me. I'll just put them together in photoshop without otherwise doctoring them.   Like these two pictures - one of the crabapples on the ground and the other looking up at the crab apple tree.


But this was just too flat - the up and down perspectives don't work when the two are together like this.  So I tried playing with them more in photoshop.

OK, I have the apples looking like they are on the ground, but the tree and the sizes and relationships just don't work.  You can't see really see the apples in the tree which I wanted to catch when I took the picture.  Usually I won't burden you with my failures, but this is a behind the scenes post,  So I tried again.


I like this better.  It's got more life than the other two, but it's still too flat.  I should have lain down on the ground to take the picture.  But I wasn't thinking about putting the two together at the time.  Planning!  I probably should get back to Mariano's digital art class.  

Meanwhile, they are predicting more 'strong wind events' in the Anchorage area for tomorrow.  Other places have hurricanes and typhoons, but  we only have wind events,  even though the hillside and Turnagain Arm are supposed to get 100 mile per hour gusts.  We're getting the candles out and batteries for the old radio.  I have to say, it was nice having candles for light and not being able to use the computer.  I may be adding to the downed tree pictures I've posted this week.  Last week most of us weren't paying much attention to the wind warnings.  The storm got our attention. This week we're listening.  Probably nothing big will happen.

Is Terrorism a Hate Crime?

People get upset over anti-American attacks, like the consulate attack and deaths in Libya.  There's something about terrorist attacks against Americans that adds, literally, insult to injury for most Americans.  Terrorist attacks take, collectively, a minor toll on American lives compared to many other causes of death we pay little attention to.  But they get media attention far out of proportion to their actual impact.  From the Cato Institute, for example:
Any violent crime is terrible, but terrorism is extremely rare in the United States. The risk that any given American will be killed by a terrorist is about the same as the chance that a randomly selected high school football player will one day be a starting quarterback in the Super Bowl. One's chance of being killed in a terrorist attack is many times less than one's chance of drowning in a bathtub or being killed by a fall from scaffolding or a ladder. We would not adopt the "if it saves one life'' theory to justify a ban on bathtubs, even though hundreds of lives would be saved each year. Accordingly, America should reject terrorism legislation that will probably not save any lives and that demands that Americans give up things far more important than bathtubs.
But emotionally, we are far more affected by terrorism than other causes of death.  We've been willing to compromise basic freedoms to prevent terrorism and punish terrorists  (ie, assassinations, habeas corpus violations, 'extraordinary rendition').   We've been intimidated by terrorists (or manipulated by politicians using terrorist attacks as an excuse) to spend huge amounts to invade the privacy of every airline passenger.  We've committed violence to our justice system to punish those we call terrorists.  The Obama administration's attempt to try Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in a New York federal court instead of a military court, for example, caused sharp protests.  From the Carnegie Council:
The response of prominent members of the Bush administration and other leading Republicans to the announcement was swift, as they accused the Obama administration of failing to understand the danger of trying a terrorist on US soil. A secondary concern, expressed at Attorney General Holder's testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee on November 18, was that the trial would give the accused the chance to avoid conviction. The protections of a legal team and the vagaries of juries, it was argued, could result in a suspected terrorist escaping justice. 
There is no presumed innocence until proven guilty for terrorists here.  Somehow these crimes are different, are more heinous, are less deserving of the American justice system.
 
The Patriot Act was passed, in part to increase the penalties for terrorists.
From the Department of Justice website:
4. The Patriot Act increased the penalties for those who commit terrorist crimes. Americans are threatened as much by the terrorist who pays for a bomb as by the one who pushes the button. That's why the Patriot Act imposed tough new penalties on those who commit and support terrorist operations, both at home and abroad. In particular, the Act:
  • Prohibits the harboring of terrorists. The Act created a new offense that prohibits knowingly harboring persons who have committed or are about to commit a variety of terrorist offenses, such as: destruction of aircraft; use of nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons; use of weapons of mass destruction; bombing of government property; sabotage of nuclear facilities; and aircraft piracy. 
  • Enhanced the inadequate maximum penalties for various crimes likely to be committed by terrorists: including arson, destruction of energy facilities, material support to terrorists and terrorist organizations, and destruction of national-defense materials. 
  • Enhanced a number of conspiracy penalties, including for arson, killings in federal facilities, attacking communications systems, material support to terrorists, sabotage of nuclear facilities, and interference with flight crew members. Under previous law, many terrorism statutes did not specifically prohibit engaging in conspiracies to commit the underlying offenses. In such cases, the government could only bring prosecutions under the general federal conspiracy provision, which carries a maximum penalty of only five years in prison.
  • Punishes terrorist attacks on mass transit systems. 
  • Punishes bioterrorists.
  • Eliminates the statutes of limitations for certain terrorism crimes and lengthens them for other terrorist crimes.
There is something different about a lone angry man shooting up a theater and a terrorist who does the same thing.  The latter apparently commits a crime that is even worse than the former.  It's murder plus. One difference seems to be intent.

Here's how the US Congress has defined terrorism 18 USC §2331 from Cornell Law:
As used in this chapter—
(1) the term “international terrorism” means activities that—
(A) involve violent acts or acts dangerous to human life that are a violation of the criminal laws of the United States or of any State, or that would be a criminal violation if committed within the jurisdiction of the United States or of any State;
(B) appear to be intended
(i) to intimidate or coerce a civilian population;
(ii) to influence the policy of a government by intimidation or coercion; or
(iii) to affect the conduct of a government by mass destruction, assassination, or kidnapping; and
(C) occur primarily outside the territorial jurisdiction of the United States, or transcend national boundaries in terms of the means by which they are accomplished, the persons they appear intended to intimidate or coerce, or the locale in which their perpetrators operate or seek asylum;
These are acts as 1(A) tells us, that are already illegal and now are getting the extra label of terrorism added to them.  

The Justice Department defines Hate Crimes on its website :
Hate crime is the violence of intolerance and bigotry, intended to hurt and intimidate someone because of their race, ethnicity, national origin, religious, sexual orientation, or disability. The purveyors of hate use explosives, arson, weapons, vandalism, physical violence, and verbal threats of violence to instill fear in their victims, leaving them vulnerable to more attacks and feeling alienated, helpless, suspicious and fearful. Others may become frustrated and angry if they believe the local government and other groups in the community will not protect them. When perpetrators of hate are not prosecuted as criminals and their acts not publicly condemned, their crimes can weaken even those communities with the healthiest race relations. 
What the two acts - hate crimes and terrorism - seem to have in common are:
  • Violence
  • Intent to intimidate (and I think coerce plays a role in hate crimes too, though the word isn't used in the definition above.)
If you read white supremacist or white nationalist websites, there is also a clear  goal to change government policies related to race (usually separate the races to save whiteness)  and there is talk of inevitable civil war in the US.  I won't link to those sites, you'll have to find them on your own.

Given the similarity between terrorism and hate crimes, why is there opposition to hate crimes laws by people who support anti-terrorism laws?  

For instance a statement by House Majority leader Boehner (from CBS News):
All violent crimes should be prosecuted vigorously, no matter what the circumstance," he said. "The Democrats' 'thought crimes' legislation, however, places a higher value on some lives than others. Republicans believe that all lives are created equal, and should be defended with equal vigilance."
To be fair to Boehner, CBS contacted his office to see if he objected to all hate crime legislation or just adding gender and sexual orientation:

In an email, Boehner spokesman Kevin Smith said Boehner "supports existing federal protections (based on race, religion, gender, etc) based on immutable characteristics."
It should be noted that the current law does not include gender, though the expanded legislation would cover gender as well as sexual orientation, gender identity and disability.

"He does not support adding sexual orientation to the list of protected classes," Smith continued.
Of course, religion is NOT an immutable  characteristic.  People choose to change religions all the time and while individual sexual acts may be choices, sexual orientation surely isn't.  But that's besides the point here.

Another legislator also saw the idea of hate crimes as creating "thought" crimes:
Rep. Tom Price, who heads the GOP conservative caucus, also complained last week that the expansion of hate crimes legislation amounted to "thought crimes," and he labeled the bill's passage – tied to a defense bill – an "absolute disgrace."

But contacted about his position on hate crimes legislation overall, Price took a different position than Boehner. According to Price communications director Brendan Buck, the congressman opposes all hate crimes protections, including existing ones.

"We believe all hate crimes legislation is unconstitutional and places one class of people above others," said Buck.
Intent, of course, is the basis for finding someone guilty of murder.  No one cries "thought police" there.  And despite the law, despite Boehner's assertion that "all lives are created equal, and should be defended with equal vigilance,"  the ACLU points out that some murder victims get less vigorous legal attention than others. 
While white victims account for approximately one-half of all murder victims, 80% of all Capital cases involve white victims. Furthermore, as of October 2002, 12 people have been executed where the defendant was white and the murder victim black, compared with 178 black defendants executed for murders with white victims.
The emotional attachment of the public and of officials affects how they react to events.

The hatred of a specific group of people makes a normal crime into a hate crime.  It's not  just about the criminal and victim, but about all people who share the targeted characteristic of the victim, whether it's race or religion or gender.

In terrorism, we have the same reaction - it isn't about what the victim did, but who the victim was - an American.  I'm an American, so I too could be randomly victimized if I'm traveling abroad.    The impact is wider and stronger because of the intent of the terrorist to use violence to intimidate anyone who is a member of the group American, just as in hate crimes.

Where's this all going?

I would hope that at least some of the readers can see where this is leading.  For some people - especially those who live in a society in which they are among the dominant population (ie a white male Christian in the US) and are never victimized because of their personal characteristics - it is hard to understand the effect of hate crimes on individuals within that group and on the group collectively.  (Though some people who call themselves Christians claim they are discriminated against.)

It seems to me that when the idea of America is attacked - as when the world trade center was destroyed - Americans react the same as members of traditionally victimized groups (racial and religious minorities, women, gays, etc.).

Even if they can't feel  what an African-American feels when seeing a Confederate flag, perhaps they can understand it's the same way they feel when they see video of planes crashing into the World Trade Center.  It doesn't diminish their feelings to know that the Confederate flag can cause the same feeling to many African-Americans.  It's like translating an emotional context from one culture to another. 

That, of course, assumes logic and consistency, and a real desire for the ideals of democracy and freedom.  There are many who are too fearful to be concerned about anyone else.  There are many whose goals are simply personal benefit and for whom American ideals are merely tools to use to get their own way. (Using American slogans to convince people to vote for them.)

And, there are some who, while emotionally impacted by crimes against the US, would advocate that terrorists deserve no more and no less punishment than those who commit similar crimes without an ideological or political motive.

But deep down, we're all humans who should be able to understand all this.   Even Clarence Thomas spoke up when the Supreme Court considered a cross-burning case and convinced his black robed colleagues that cross burnings were more than free speech, they were acts of intimidation.

Symbolic acts can intimidate and cause other real harm, beyond any direct physical harm to the victim. 

Thursday, September 13, 2012

1 800 695 6950

I keep getting calls from this number.  When I pick up the phone, there is no response.  So when I see the number I don't pick it up.  But it's annoying.  Like when they called this morning at 8am.

I googled 1 800 695 6950.  

EveryCall identifies the number as coming from HBSC.  So does Mr.Number.

Here are a few comments on 800 Notes

  • FYI replies to bg
    HSBC CREDIT DEPT

  • dave replies to bg
    It's HSBC credit... "Best Buy"
    There real good at harassing people!

DH
Called my cell phone before 8:00 AM. Didn't answer since there was no caller ID other than the number and it was too early in the morning to deal with another telemarketer. Bad enough you get called by some of these clowns at all, much less at 7:30 AM!

martha replies to DH
it is against the law for any creditors to call before 8 am and after 8 pm... you can tell them that you will report them . and to stop harrassing you.

  • Not Gonna Answer replies to martha
    Debt collector can call between the hours of 8am and 9pm. they get 13 hours to try to get ppl to answer their phones.

I don't have an HBSC credit card.  I don't owe Best Buy any money.

Callcenter has this comment:
These guys call me 12 to 13 times a day. If you answer there is a machine telling you to wait for someone to answer, if it goes to voice mail you get 2 minutes of the computer telling you to wait. Please tell me where these guys are at so I can go visit them. I called HSBC and they say this is a phishing site. When I call the number back directly and fight through the system I get somebody in the Phillipines who wants all my personal information.......Yeah right
From what I can tell, these websites don't tell you the owner of the number, but they take complaints about phone numbers and people commenting tend to identify the offender. 


So I looked up Do Not Call List.  We registered there a long time ago.  I wasn't sure about the website.  To check if I was registered they wanted my phone number and an email address to send back a confirmation.  But it was a .gov address which is good.  Nevertheless, I checked further and found an FCC website that talked about the Do Not Call List and confirmed the website address.

When I filled in the information (phone number and email)  to check if I was registered, I got an email thanking me for registering and I could complain after 31 days.  Whoa.  I didn't intend to register, I wanted to make sure I was still registered from before.

I looked back on the FCC website and it had a phone number to call.  You had to call from the phone you were checking about.  That said I'd registered sometime in 2007 or 2008.  It happened fast and I wasn't thinking and didn't write it down.

I went back to the Do Not Call List website and filed a complaint.  I meant to mention that their website link for checking if you are already registered didn't work right, but I forgot.  When I clicked the file a complaint link, it said it was already received, so I couldn't add anything.  

I can't verify that any of the information I found on any of the websites is accurate, I can just tell you what I did and what I found.  I'm not sure what I want to do next time the number calls.  Probably just let it ring.  They never leave a message. 

[UPDATE 10:30pm - they called again this afternoon after I posted this as I was about to walk out the door.  I answered and this time there was a person on the other end.  It turns out these people now do Costco credit.  Last month I didn't get my Costco bill on line and when I emailed them, they wrote back and apologized that none of the online bills had gone out.  (Because HBSC took over?) I called back yesterday to find out what the story was and settled the bill.  There was no way I should have had these jackals calling me at this point.  Now I have to figure out to whom I should complain about this at Costco.]

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Crowded Bike Racks, More Downed Trees, and Flying Debris, Cason and Cage




Wasn't quite sure what to make of this sign.
 The bike rack in front of the UAA administration building was full, and even had a notice on where the nearest backup rack was.  Five years ago this never would have happened.



Drew Cason spoke tonight at the UAA bookstore on a project he did this semester - landscape value mapping in the University district.  Using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) he mapped survey data to specific spots in the university area.  Cool project.


Tomorrow there will be a presentation in the same spot - upstairs in the campus bookstore, where they sell computer equipment - celebrating composer John Cage's 100th birthday.  Sean Licka from Art,  composer (and blogger) Phil Munger from Music, and Chris Sweeney, also Music, will be there to comment on Cage's music and life.

Cage is considered one of the great, if non-traditional, American musicians of the 20th Century.

3-5pm at the UAA bookstore - free admission and free parking
Thursday September 13, 2012
"I was disturbed both in my private life and in my public life as a composer. I could not accept the academic idea that the purpose of music was communication, because I noticed that when I conscientiously wrote something sad, people and critics were often apt to laugh. I determined to give up composition unless I could find a better reason for doing it than communication. I found this answer from Gira Sarabhai, an Indian singer and tabla player: The purpose of music is to sober and quiet the mind, thus making it susceptible to divine influences. I also found in the writings of Ananda K. Coomaraswammy that the responsibility of the artist is to imitate nature in her manner of operation. I became less disturbed and went back to work." John Cage





Evening walk to Goose Lake Tuesday night.













And more downed trees. 




This one even took out the bottom of the chain link fence when it toppled over pulling up its roots and a good chunk of earth.  Saw a number like this one - the earth pulled up, not the fence.

Become An Arctic Oil Expert in Just Ten Minutes a Day

The Anchorage Daily News Tuesday reported that Shell has halted drilling on the Chukchi Sea.
Shell Alaska spokesman Curtis Smith said drilling was stopped as a precautionary measure in accordance with its ice management plan. (emphasis added)
This isn't hard, but it is complicated.  Just give me ten minutes a day scattered over the next months and you can dazzle your friends and enemies with your knowledge of Arctic oil drilling. (I'm hoping I will figure some of this out too by the end of this exercise.)  I'm going to give you info in small chunks.  If by the next big oil spill, your friends aren't amazed at your brilliance, you'll get double your money back.  No questions asked. 

Today we're going to look at some charts from the Ice Management Plan (IMP).  I know, who wants to read charts?  Trust me, it's easier this way.  I'm just asking for ten minutes.  Surely you spent (or will spend) more than ten minutes today doing something something frivolous.  Now's your chance to balance your karma.  And enhance your self-worth. 


So, what's "in accordance with its Ice Management Plan" (mentioned in the quote above) mean? 



Here's the chart explaining the alert levels for ice warnings:

[The "T' (TIME) acronyms are explained in the right column of the second chart.]


Screen Shot from Ice Management Plan p. 9




IMP ACRONYMS FOR CHARTS TIME
VMT Vessel Management Team. This team is headed by the Drilling Vessel Master and includes the Shell Drilling Foreman, Rig Superintendent, Drilling Vessel IA and the Chief Engineer. MT Move-off Time. The time required to clear decks on the anchor handler recover all anchors conventionally and move off the drill site in an orderly fashion.
IMV Ice management vessel. Any ice class vessel tasked with ice management duties in support of the drilling vessel. This includes the primary ice management vessel (IMV) and the ice class Anchor Handling Tug Supply (AHTS) ST Secure Time. The time required to secure the well, disconnect the Lower Marine Riser Package (LMRP) from the blowout preventer (BOP), recover and secure the riser.
SIWAC Shell Ice and Weather Advisory Center located in Anchorage. The center develops forecasts from various sources, and disseminates same. T-Time Total Time. The sum of ST + MT.
IMV Master Ice Management Vessel Master HT Hazard Time. The estimated time it will take for hazardous ice to reach the drill site.
PIC Person In Charge

IA Ice Advisor COCP Critical Operations Curtailment Plan
AHTS Anchor handling tug supply LMRP Lower Marine Riser Package



The next charts can be seen clearly if you click on them.  You can see the the originals at pages 11 and 12 of the Ice Management Plan (pdf). If you read closely, you'll see this is mainly about who has what responsibilities.  It doesn't tell us much about what they actually do to shut down the well head and secure



Click to see clearly

Click to see clearly


I had a lot of trouble figuring out what exactly they did.  I kept reading vague language  and  phrases like "Commences securing well in accordance with agreed upon plan, informs VMT of progress."  But where's the agreed upon plan?

Finally in Attachment 4, we get some detail.  Presumably these are the things that needed to be done to shut down the well.
Attachment 4 – Well suspension Options and Contingencies
In all the following well suspension scenarios, the assumption is that a determination has been made by the Shell Drilling Superintendent, the Shell Drilling Foreman, the Drilling Superintendent, the Drilling Vessel Master and the VMT that a hazard exists and the well should be suspended. The Shell Drilling Foreman and the Drilling Superintendent in conjunction with the Shell Drilling Engineer and the Shell Drilling Superintendent will have analyzed the trip time, borehole stability, well control issues, operational parameters, depth of hole, and time available to decide upon the contingency steps most appropriate for well securement, and a detailed procedure will have been worked up. The Shell Drilling Foreman then presents the procedure to the BOEMRE Field Representative aboard the drilling vessel for comment and concurrence.
Well Suspension Scenario 1 – Mechanical Plugging
1.    After determining that the well should be suspended under the assumptions described above, the Shell Drilling Foreman orders the Drilling Superintendent to stop all normal drilling operations and to commence circulating the hole.
2.    The driller completes circulating at minimum a full “bottoms up.”
3.    The drilling assembly is pulled out of the hole and a mechanical packer suitable to the last casing or liner size is made up on the bottom of the drill string.
4.    The packer is tripped in the hole, set approximately 200 ft above the last casing or liner shoe depth and pressure tested.
5.    Depending on actual water depth, sufficient pipe is pulled to enable having the end of the string 200 ft above the top of the packer when hung off in the wellhead via the hang-off sub (HOS).
6.    A full-opening safety valve and an inside blowout preventer (BOP) are made up in the top of the drill pipe, and one additional joint is added above these valves. The HOS is installed in the top of this joint. (The full opening safety valve is left in the open position.)
7.    The HOS assembly is run in the hole on drill pipe to land the HOS in the wellhead bowl.
8.    The proper hydraulic fluid volume to actuate the BOP stack is confirmed by the Subsea Engineer and the system operating pressure is checked. Pipe rams in the BOP are closed on the HOS profile. The drill pipe is backed out from the HOS and the landing string is pulled from the riser. The blind/shear rams are closed and locked above the HOS. BOP failsafe valves are all left in the closed position.
9.    The master bushings are removed and the riser spider is installed.
10.    The diverter handling tool is made up and the diverter assembly is laid down.
11.    The riser landing joint is made up into the slip joint inner barrel. The slip joint inner barrel is collapsed and the inner barrel is locked.
12.    BOP stack functions are blocked, and the LMRP connector is unlocked.
Shell Offshore Inc.    41    May 2011
Ice Management Plan    Beaufort Sea, Alaska
13.    The LMRP is pulled off the top of the BOP with the block motion compensator and riser tensioners.
14.    Once the Shell Drilling Foreman has ascertained that the LMRP is released from the BOP, he advises the Drilling Vessel Master that he is free to initiate (or continue) mooring recovery and departure procedures.
15.    The drill crew and Subsea Engineer pull the landing joint to surface. The landing joint, slip joint and riser are then layed down and the LMRP is secured on deck.
16.    The Drilling Vessel Master confirms with the IA that the Ice Alert Level has reached “red” status (ice hazard is due to arrive within 6 hours of completing anticipated mooring recovery time). The Drilling Vessel Master advises the Drilling Superintendent to have the Subsea Engineer shear guidelines loose from the top of the BOP guideposts and to retrieve the lines to surface.
17.    The drill floor and moonpool area are cleared and inspected in preparation for mobilizing the drilling vessel.
18.    All decisions and supporting facts are recorded on the Daily Report and issued to the BOEMRE, SIWAC, and the normal distribution list.

This is just scenario 1. There are four more scenarios with different possible events. Actually Scenario 1 isn't what happened because they only started drilling on Sunday.  According to this video on the Shell website, the first drill is a small (8.5" drill bit) that is a test to see that there are no obstructions or no unexpected pockets of gas. This drill is supposed to go 1300 feet down.  You can watch the video yourself.

And Sunday's ADN confirms this is a pilot drill.
By 6:30 a.m. Sunday, crews had drilled more than 300 feet into the ground for a narrow pilot hole that will eventually be about 1,400 feet deep, Shell spokesman Curtis Smith said. It's used to check for unexpected natural gas pockets, oil or obstructions before a wider hole is drilled.

With the Alert Levels chart in mind, I would note that Shell began drilling, according to the ADN,  at 4:30am Sunday and stopped on Monday.  Let's assume they stopped after 4:30am Monday.  That would be more than 24 hours.  If an ice hazard is more than 24 hours away, according to the Alert Levels, they should continue as normal.  But less than 24 hours away, they need to assess risk.   It's reasonable then to assume that they knew about the ice before they started drilling.  Shell spokesperson Curtis Smith is quoted as saying the wind shifted.
"The winds suddenly shifted and as far as we could determine, the ice could potentially impact our operations at that point," he said. The ice came within roughly 15 miles of the prospect, he said. It is moving at about .5 knots, or one-half a nautical mile per hour, he said. Shell is tracking the ice through satellite and radar imagery, and on-site reconnaissance.
They knew there was an ice pack not far away when they started drilling.  And sometime soon after they began drilling, the ice pack shifted its direction towards the drilling site.  Within 12-24 hours of the ice hazard's expected arrival time, they should be initiating risk assessments and making contingency plans.

They are under the gun here because they started late and, unless their September 24 shut down time is extended by the Interior Department, they've got less than two weeks to drill this year.  So, presumably they took a calculated risk and started drilling on the assumption the ice wasn't going to come their way.  The ADN article quoted above says they got 300 feet in the first two hours, but none of the articles said how deep they got when they stopped drilling.


Read more here: http://www.adn.com/2012/09/10/2619205/shell-halts-chukchi-sea-drilling.html#storylink=cpy
OK, I admit, that was probably more than ten minutes if you did this seriously. But I won't put anything up on this tomorrow. If you go through this three times, I think things will start to make sense. Writing this all down helps me figure it out, so maybe to you'll need to take notes.

Monday, September 10, 2012

Finnish Education - Focused on High Quality Education For All

 KRISTI WETPHALEN, Council General of Finland in Los Angeles, was at UAA today.  She had a lunch meeting at the Institute for Social and Economic Education (ISER) titled FINLAND AND ALASKA: A CONVERSATION ABOUT ARCTIC POLICY.

Since I posted on Sea Ice a last Thursday, I've started poking around on the topic of Arctic oil drilling and thought maybe I could get some information at the lunch.  There were about 30 folks there, including the Lt. Governor who has had a long interest in the Arctic.

Basically it was an exploration meeting to find areas where Finland and Alaska could work together from oil exploration to tourism and northern architecture and design.

Then this evening Consul General Wetphalen showed a US made film by a Harvard professor Tony Wagner on Finnish education.  After publishing a book entitled The Global Achievement Gap, Wagner was invited by the Finland Board of Education to discuss with them the skills all students need today.  He says he accepted the invitation because Finland's schools are ranked number 1 in the world by many.  Film maker Bob Compton went along and the result is the film we saw tonight.  Here's a trailer which is the opening of the film and identifies the issues the film will discuss about Finnish education.

 The rest of the film follows Tony Wagner during his visit to Finnish schools and talks to Finnish students and educators about their education system.  You can watch the whole film here at videosift.com.  [I couldn't get the embed code to work. But I'll leave it in and maybe it will show up on some people's browsers.]
[It does work. Click the little image below. It has a Chinese language ad, but then the movie starts, in English, without the intro.]
You can watch the whole movie here.  I think every American who has an opinion on education should watch this to either get support for their ideas or to expand what they think is possible.
[On this website it didn't have the ad and kept the opening that's in the trailer above.]

Some key factors about the Finnish system that are touted in the film include:

  1. Emphasis on teaching how to think rather than to memorize and repeat
    1. Ratio of student talking/doing time v. teacher talking/doing target is 60% student to 40% teacher
    2. National curriculum is not detailed, local schools and teachers have lots of leeway
    3. No national exams (in the movie the emphasis on no exams was misleading and afterward I asked one of the Finns there and she said they have tests in individual classes, but no national standardized exams)
    4. Students do lots of projects which where they must gather knowledge and make sense of it on their own  (with teacher oversight)
  2. Emphasis on teacher education and the status of teachers
    1. Entrance into university education programs is highly competitive - only 10% are accepted
    2. Teacher education is highly collaborative and students get lots of teaching experience, are critiqued by their classmates and mentors
  3. Trust in teachers and students 
    1. This was mentioned as an important part.  By giving students responsibility for their own learning in many projects, they let students pursue projects that interest them within the topic area and without an authoritarian setup, students live up to the trust
    2. Teachers are also trusted to do their work well (and since they pick the best to become teachers this seems to work well)
    3. It took a long time to put this trust principle into practice
Finnish Consul (LA) Kristi Wetphalen and UAA Chancellor Case

Someone in the film said that they went to this radical change in their school system about 25 years ago, because they realized that with their small population and few other natural resources, they couldn't afford to waste any of their human resources.  

 They also have a very serious vocational education track, but it's structured to not be a dead end.  Those who graduate in this track, can come back and take the academic track or go to university later if they choose. 


I watched this as a retired professor who has found much of this on my own.  Where I practiced these principles, they tended to work.  I could also see that my vision of what could be done here was limited because of the restrictions I worked under -  a university system that didn't embrace these concepts and required things such as grades and limited resources particularly time.  But at least at the University level, I was trusted to teach the way I thought best and many if not most other faculty lived up to those expectations.

Often it was hard to get students who had been in a much more top down system for most of their educations to adjust to more freedom in class.  Often they wanted the teacher to tell them what to do and how to do it.  But good students responded well to this.  I think about my students in Beijing who went through a very high pressure, teacher oriented, rote learning system.  They very quickly embraced the greater freedom and participation options in my class.

I also saw this work at my daughter's optional school - Steller Secondary - in the Anchorage School District, where students and parents where very much involved in the education and the students simply stepped up and took much more responsibility for their education.  


There are a number of issues I can raise about how this might not work in the US.  But I have no doubt it would work in the classroom.  The problems will be political, from current teachers who don't want to change (but there would also be teachers who would embrace this), to parents who want more structure and discipline and narrowly defined curriculum, to politicians who want accountability through standardized testing, or who simply want public school money spent at private schools, to religious groups who do not want students whose new found thinking skills might be used to challenge their orthodoxy. 

But most Americans seem to think there are problems with our school system, they just disagree on what the problems are and how to fix them.  This video shows how one country fixed them.  What is significant is that this country is recognized through international testing happens to come out on top worldwide for overall educational quality. 

Sunday, September 09, 2012

Mudflats, Rocks, Downed Trees, And More On Sunny Sunday on Seward Highway


It was too nice a day to stay home.

We drove down the Seward Highway.

Here are the railroad tracks looking south down Turnagain Arm.












Looking back toward Anchorage you could see the Alaska Range bright and clear in the distance. 









Our goal was a patch of rocky beach we like.  But it was pretty windy (I'd guess 20 to 30 mph) and J found a nice rock that blocked the wind and let her enjoy the sunshine while I walked down the beach.










The rocks go to the edge of the mudflats.  Here you can see a layer of mudflats, then the water, then the base of the mountains on the other side. 














 J didn't want to walk in the strong wind so we backtracked to McHugh Creek and took the path toward Potter.  Up there - on the other side of the Seward Highway and up a bit into the trees - there was no wind and it began to feel warm in the sun.


 But all those cottonwoods proved to be vulnerable to the winds we had last week.  (I'm assuming these were recent falls we came upon, though some - as you'll see - had been sawed to clear the trail.)








 It was a little messy, but we could negotiate the trail pretty easily here. 

















 The insides of the downed cottonwoods were pretty soft.  You could squeeze the pulp like a sponge almost. 

I liked the sun-like design where the chainsaw had cut the mature trees, with their ridged trunks.






While you could see the water through the trees for a lot of the trail, this was one of just a couple of spots where you got a view of Turnagain Arm and the Seward Highway below.


 This spider - well I assumed it was a spider, but I only see five of its eight legs - seemed to be enjoying the sun on the newly exposed cottonwood insides.  [Now that was a good case of transferring human feelings to animals.  Who knows what it was feeling out there?]

The body would have fit on a quarter easily.


In addition to cottonwoods, devil's club was everywhere and also some red baneberries. 

At first glance they look pretty similar, but the devil's club has much larger thorned leaves and their berries aren't translucent like the baneberries are.  Don't eat the baneberries!!


The US Forest Service has lots of information on baneberries:

NUTRITIONAL VALUE: Red baneberry's energy and protein value are rated as poor [21].  Red baneberry's name comes from a poisonous essential oil or glycoside (protoanemonin) found in all parts of the plant but most concentrated in the berries and root [43,72].  Symptoms of poisoning include gastroenteritis, stomach cramps, headache, dizziness, vomiting, diarrhea and circulatory failure [72].
 But some bird species eat the berries and elk and other deer eat the foliage.




We hiked about 3 miles in (almost to the Potter Marsh end) but decided these two big cottonwoods across the trail was a good place to turn back. 




There were lots of people on the trail and lots of dogs.  We heard reports from hikers going to and back of four black bears sighted.  We didn't see them.  J wasn't very disappointed about that. 

We also saw this young agent of the devil's club.    Actually he zipped up the hood to show me that his sweatshirt turned into this neat Halloween costume. The eyes had a mesh covering he could see through.













These trees seemed to be dancing on the side of the trail.




Here's yet another fallen cottonwood, but it was high enough over the trail not to be a problem.


As we got near the McHugh Creek parking lot we passed a man in an electronic wheel chair making his way up the trail.  I'm not sure how far he would be able to get, but I was impressed he got that far. 


Finally, on the drive back home we stopped at Potter Marsh where we saw a pair of swans in the distance.  If I had a good telephoto, I'd show you.  This picture is much better than the one I got of the swans.