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Friday, April 17, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count Friday April 17, 2020 - 9 More Cases

As I look at today's numbers, what stands out is that the state reports over 700 more tests yesterday.
So nine new cases is just over 1% positive of those tested.  This Atlantic article says the US has, overall, a 20% "test positivity rate."  Here's an short excerpt:
According to the Tracking Project’s figures, nearly one in five people who get tested for the coronavirus in the United States is found to have it. In other words, the country has what is called a “test-positivity rate” of nearly 20 percent.
That is “very high,” Jason Andrews, an infectious-disease professor at Stanford, told us. Such a high test-positivity rate almost certainly means that the U.S. is not testing everyone who has been infected with the pathogen, because it implies that doctors are testing only people with a very high probability of having the infection. People with milder symptoms, to say nothing of those with none at all, are going undercounted. Countries that test broadly should encounter far more people who are not infected than people who are, so their test-positivity rate should be lower.  
Now, that 1% was just based on the number of tests and number of new cases reported yesterday.  Those numbers don't necessarily get reported on the days the actually happened, so that doesn't really mean much.  If we take our total number of positives - 309 - and divide by the number of tests - 9450 - we get 3.2%, which is still comfortably low.  The article says South Korea has a 2% test positivity rate, because they have tested so many people.  Australia and New Zealand are also at 2% according to the article.

So far then, we're doing pretty well.


CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th=12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
9 hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=15/171
16 hos 5 dead
5th=14/185
20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191
23 hosp
6 dead
7th= 22/213
23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered
8th= 13/226
27 hosp 7 dead
32 recovered
9th= 9/235
27 hosp 7 dead
49 recovered
10th=11/246
28 hosp 7 dead
55 recovered
11th=11/257
31 hosp 8 dead
63 recovered
12th= 15/272
31 hosp 8 dead
66 recovered
13th= 5/277
32 Hosp 8 dead
85 Recovered
14th = 8/285
32 Hosp 9 dead
98 Recovered
15th= 8/293
34 Hosp 9 dead
106 Recovered
16th= 7/300
35 hosp 9 dead
110 recovered
17th=  9/309
36 hosp 9 dead
128 recovered




Hospital and dead figures are total to date, not new on that date






State Charts




Above is a screenshot.  You can enlarge and focus it by clicking on it, but you have to go to the actual interactive chart below if you want to play with it.  You need to scroll right to see it all, but don't forget to scroll back to see the rest of the post.

Yesterday, with my technical difficulties, I forgot to mention that they've added a new category of tests.  They've had State Labs, Private Labs, and now they've added Hospitals.  It's in red on that chart on testing. Like all the boxes in these charts, there are tabs that allow you to see the info differently, so play with them a bit.





Cases depicted above represent permanent residency of the infected person, and may not reflect where the person is located currently, or was located when exposed or diagnosed.



My day-by-day chart







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