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Saturday, April 10, 2021

Bronson Pads His Lead A Bit With Saturday's Election Numbers

 There are still some mail-in ballots that ought to be trailing in, but probably not enough to change much in the election.  Dave Bronson added about 120 votes to his lead over Forrest Dunbar in this latest tally.  The rankings of the candidates did not change with the new votes.   

Bronson, who claims to be a "center-right kinda guy", was a leader among those opposing COVID restrictions on businesses and mandatory mask wearing.  You can see the ADN profile here.  And this Anchorage Press profile seems to put him among far-right extremists on issues like COVID and LGBTQ rights.

Dunbar, who at 36 represents a generational change, has been a strong advocate of following science to fight COVID and get the economy back on line.  His ADN profile is here.

It's clear that neither is going to get the magic 45% needed to win the mayoral race outright.  We'll be off to a runoff.  Though if Anchorage had the state's new ranked-choice voting, it would all be resolved in this one election.  Among the candidates who received 2000 votes or more - I would guess about most of Falsey's and Martinez's votes (about 9000) would go to Dunbar.  Most of Robbins votes (4,457) would go to Bronson and Evans' votes (5,686) would split but lean towards Dunbar.  

But runoffs tend to have much lower turnouts, so it will depend who gets his voters to the polls.  Another reason to switch to ranked-choice voting.   Though the extreme differences between the top two candidates may increase the likely voter turnout.  

Numbers After less than 2,000 more votes tallied Saturday, April 10, 2021.

Mayor RaceTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday--------------
EVANS, Bill 

999    (4)         

3,871  (4)  4,782 (4)5,505 (4)5,686   (4)
SWANK, Albert L., Jr

36  (9)

139 (10)157 (10)173  (10)183  (10)
MARTINEZ, George

321 (6)

1,272  (6)1,658 (6)1,928  (6)2,006  (6)
MOMIN, Reza

12  (11)

35  (13)39 (13)40  (13)44 (13)
FALSEY, Bill

1,281 (3)

5,312  (3)6,703  (3)7,614  (3)7,826  (3)
HERNDON, Heather

91   (7)

303    (7)337  (7)366  (7)374  (7)
ANTHONY, Anna

63  (8)

190   (8)233  (8)237  (8)242   (8)
BRONSON, David

3,116  (2)

12,986  (2)15,953 (2)18,716  (1)19,334  (1)
BROWN, Jeffrey

33  (10)

147   (9)196  (9)229  (9)236  (9)
VERSTEEG, Jacob

11  (12)

31  (14)35  (14)36  (14)36 (14)
ROBBINS, Mike

745   (5)

3,097   (5)3,766 (5)4,324  (5)4,457  (5)
DUNBAR, Forrest

3,701 (1)

13,711 (1)16,458 (1)18,300 (2)18,812  (2)
COLBRY, Darin

8  (14)

18  (15)21 (15)25 (15)25  (15)
WESTFALL, Joe

12 (11)

48  (11)61  (11)67  (11)68 (11)
KERN, Jacob Seth

 (13)

38   (12)41 (12)43  (12)45 (12)







Total10,43841,19850,43057,60359,374


District 4 is a relatively liberal district that overlaps with the House and Senate Seats of Democrats Andy Josephson and Elvi Gray-Jackson.  Voters are soundly rejecting the recall of Assembly Chair Felix Rivera 57% NO to 42.5% yes.  

ASSEMBLY DISTRICT 4 – SEAT G – RECALL (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 23 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

9,663 / 42,059

22.97%

Candidate

Party

Total

YES

3,926

42.51%

NO

5,309

57.49%

Total Votes

9,235

Total

Unresolved Write-In

0


The 'progressive' candidates for School Board are all leading their races, though the numbers have tightened in the last two tallies.  The closest race is Seat B where Kelly Lessens leads by 471 votes as of today's tally.

SCHOOL BOARD SEAT B (1-YEAR TERM) (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

60,253 / 236,619

25.46%

Candidate

Party

Total

ELEDGE, Judy Norton

20,128

38.29%

STEWART, Marilyn

5,981

11.38%

COX, Mark Anthony

5,863

11.15%

LESSENS, Kelly

20,599

39.18%

Total Votes

52,571

Total

Unresolved Write-In

427


SCHOOL BOARD SEAT E (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

60,253 / 236,619

25.46%

Candidate

Party

Total

HIGGINS, Pat

17,504

33.46%

HILDE, Alisha

6,732

12.87%

BLATCHFORD, Edgar

4,148

7.93%

BLAKESLEE, Rachel

5,132

9.81%

GRAHAM, Sami

16,774

32.07%

WILLIAMS, Nial Sherwood

2,017

3.86%

Total Votes

52,307

Total

Unresolved Write-In

444



SCHOOL BOARD SEAT F (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

60,253 / 236,619

25.46%

Candidate

Party

Total

SANDERS, Marcus

8,214

15.96%

PAULSON, Kim

17,243

33.50%

LORING, Dan

2,662

5.17%

WILSON, Dora

23,355

45.37%

Total Votes

51,474

Total

Unresolved Write-In

486

SCHOOL BOARD SEAT G (Vote for 1)

Precincts Reported: 0 of 123 (0.00%)

Total

Times Cast

60,253 / 236,619

25.46%

Candidate

Party

Total

VAKALIS, Elisa

24,432

48.68%

JACOBS, Carl

25,762

51.32%

Total Votes

50,194

Total

Unresolved Write-In

871

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