Alaska COVID-19 Count Sunday May 3 , 2020 - 3 New Cases

Just three new cases.  Two in Anchorage and one in Fairbanks.   That's not bad.  It's not going up exponentially and in fact it's mostly staying low this week.  For the first time since I've been looking, Alaska has the lowest R_t score in the nation.  It's related to the likelihood of having more or fewer cases.  I don't totally understand how it works (the numbers changed in ways that made no sense to me last week), but you can check it out for yourself here.

There was one more person listed as recovered.  The first four days this week 34 people were listed as recovered.  In the last three days this week only 8 people recovered.

Still some thin ice on Taku Lake

I'll offer my own anecdotal account this morning on the bike trail between 9:55 and 10: 45.


45 people
11 dogs
6  masks (not counting me)

This was about an 8 mile bike ride along Campbell Creek to Taku Lake.  I thought going in the morning would mean I'd have to pass by fewer people.  I didn't count the other night, but there must have been a lot more people than I thought given it seemed much emptier - especially going - than the other night.  I know people can say, well, just 3 new cases more today.  The odds are good.  But at the end of the ride I passed to men, no masks - 30s probably - walking abreast, so there wasn't much room to distance at all.  One guy waved, so there wasn't any hostility, but also no effort to get some distance between us.  I was tempted to stop to get a picture of one mask that covered the whole face in bright blue almost face painting patterns.  But there's a pandemic going on and I'm trying to minimize contact.


My Calendar Chart

CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
new/total	hos=hospital		12th  = 0/0	13th = 1/1	14th = 0/1	15th = 0/1
16th = 0/1	17th = 2/3	18th = 3/6	19th = 3/9	20th = 3/12	21st= 2/14	22nd= 8/22
23rd=14/36	24th =6/42 1 hos 1 dead	25th = 17/59 3 hos 1 dead	26th = 10/69 3 hos 1 dead	27th =16/89 5 hos 2 dead	28th = 13/102 6 hos 2 dead	29th= 12/114 7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119 7 hos 3 dead	31st= 14/133 9 hos 3 dead
April 2020		1st=  10/143 9 hos 3 dead	2nd=8(6)/149 13 hos 3 dead	3rd=8(11)157 15 hos 3 dead	4th=15/171 16 hos 5 dead	5th= 14/185 20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191 23 hosp 6 dead	7th= 22/213 23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered	8th= 13/226 27 hosp 7 dead 32 recovered	9th= 9/235 27 hosp 7 dead 49 recovered	10th=11/246 28 hosp 7 dead 55 recovered	11th=11/257 31 hosp 8 dead 63 recovered	12th= 15/272 31 hosp 8 dead 66 recovered
13th= 5/277 32 Hosp 8 dead 85 Recovered	14th = 8/285 32 Hosp 9 dead 98 Recovered	15th= 8/293 34 Hosp 9 dead 106 Recovered	16th= 7/300 35 hosp 9 dead 110 recovered	17th=  9/309 36 hosp 9 dead 128 recovered	18th =  5/315 36 hos 9 dead 147 Recovered	19th= 4/319 36 hos 9 dead 153Recovered
20th 2/321 36 hos 9 dead 161 recovered	21st 8/329 36 hos 9 dead 168 recovered	22nd  6/335 36 hos  9 dead 196recovered	23nd  2/337 36 hos  9 dead 209recovered	24th  2/339 36 hos  9 dead 208recovered (-1 from 4/23)	25th  0/339 36 hos  9 dead 217recovered	26th  2/341 36 hos  9 dead 217recovered
27th  4/345 37 hos  9 dead 218recovered	28th  6/351 37 hos  9 dead 228 recovered	29th  4/355 36 hos  9 dead 240recovered	30th  0/355 36 hos  9 dead 252recovered
May 2020				1st  9/364 36 hos  9 dead 254recovered	2nd  1/365 36 hos  9 dead 261recovered	3rd  3/368 36 hos  9 dead 262recovered

State Chart

This will get much bigger and clearer if you click on it.  For the original interactive charts, go to the State's website.


There were 177 new tests listed for yesterday for a total of 21,578.  When we get to 73,000 it will mean 10% of the population has been tested.


My Day-By-Day Chart

Alaska Covid-19 Data NewFor... by Steve on Scribd

Below is an interesting chart from the State website.  It shows day-by-day new cases (blue is travel related, orange is local transmission, and grey is under investigation) and it also connects everything to the dates that different mandates were issued or loosened.  You can see it larger by clicking on it or going to the State site (and scrolling down. Then I had to click on another link because it was shaded.)  The state site does change daily so I don't know how long it will be there.