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Saturday, May 16, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count Saturday May 16, 2020 - 4 New Case, 2 New Hospitalizations, 1 New Recovery

The curve is starting to move back up.  After about ten days with increases between zero and three, we've now had 4 new cases three days in a row.  The chart just identifies the locations of three - Anchorage, Bethel, and Kenai.
We've had two days in a row with 2 new  hospitalizations - after a weeks of just a couple of increases.
It's about two weeks now since the governor started loosening the restrictions on businesses.  At that time - May 4 to be exact - we had 370 cases.  I said then that at the pace we were going we'd get to 400 in a week.  But the pace dropped off dramatically and we're only at 392 now.  But if we keep up our 4 a day pace, we'll hit 400 by Monday.

Staying home, masking when going out, and considering how your actions affect others takes a different kind of courage and thinking than we're used to celebrating in the US.


Boot camp is often considered a place where people are tested on their endurance, their ability to withstand hardship over a long period of time.  While there is clearly a mental aspect to it - to break people down so they obey orders immediately without question - the most obvious part is physical. But boot camp - whether entered into voluntarily or through the draft - has an end date.  People know how much longer they have to endure.  There's a strong, authoritarian hierarchy and a peer group that punish you for slacking off.

The Coronavirus is a cagier test of people's endurance and courage.  First, there's no clear end date.  Second, there's no visible danger. (In Alaska this is probably more true than in places like New York City where the effects of the virus are more visible.)  Third, the message from 'leaders' is mixed and confused.  Fourth, enforcement is lax.  The challenge of the virus is mental for most people, who aren't likely to get severely sick or die.  But the isolation rules also are physical, and for the poor, much more taxing than for others.  Of course, for those who require hospitalization, it's very physical.

As I watch those protesting lockdowns with guns on their backs and faces uncovered, I muse about them shooting at the virus.  But it's not the virus they threaten to shoot, but people who ask them to make some sacrifices to save lives.

The same things we say about our military all the time, and about police and fighter fighters.  I hope that when this is over, people start paying much more attention to ways to raise children so that they are both strong as individuals and understanding of how their personal strength has been helped by the community around them and how they owe that community.

The North Vietnamese used to say that they took the long view and could wait out the US which isn't as comfortable with long struggles.  The Taliban are probably saying the same thing.  The virus is a test of self strength and we're seeing people without masks* or carrying guns and protesting their lost freedoms, who are failing that test.



CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL/May 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th= 12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=15/171
16 hos 5 dead
5th= 14/185
20 hos 6 dead
6th=6/191
23 hosp
6 dead
7th= 22/213
23 hosp 6 Dead29 recovered
8th= 13/226
27 hosp 7 dead
32 recovered
9th= 9/235
27 hosp 7 dead
49 recovered
10th=11/246
28 hosp 7 dead
55 recovered
11th=11/257
31 hosp 8 dead
63 recovered
12th= 15/272
31 hosp 8 dead
66 recovered
13th= 5/277
32 Hosp 8 dead
85 Recovered
14th = 8/285
32 Hosp 9 dead
98 Recovered
15th= 8/293
34 Hosp 9 dead
106 Recovered
16th= 7/300
35 hosp 9 dead
110 recovered
17th=  9/309
36 hosp 9 dead
128 recovered
18th =  5/315
36 hos 9 dead
147 Recovered
19th= 4/319
36 hos 9 dead
153Recovered
20th 2/321
36 hos 9 dead
161 recovered
21st 8/329
36 hos 9 dead
168 recovered
22nd  6/335
36 hos  dead
196recovered
23nd  2/337
36 hos  dead
209recovered
24th  2/339
36 hos  dead
208recovered (-1 from 4/23)
25th  0/339
36 hos  dead
217recovered
26th  2/341
36 hos  dead
217recovered
27th  4/345
37 hos  dead
218recovered
28th  6/351
37 hos  dead
228 recovered
29th  4/355
36 hos  dead
240recovered
30th  0/355
36 hos  dead
252recovered



May 2020



1st  9/364
36 hos  dead
254recovered
2nd  1/365
36 hos  dead
261recovered
3rd  3/368
36 hos  dead
262recovered
4th  2/370
37 hos  dead
263recovered
5th  1/371
38 hos  dead
277 recovered
6th  1/372
38 hos 10 dead
284recovered
7th  2/374
38 hos 10 dead
291recovered
8th  3/377
38 hos 10 dead
305recovered
9th  1/378
38 hos 10 dead
318recovered
10th  1/379
38 hos 10 dead
324recovered
11th  1/381
38 hos 10 dead
328recovered
12th  2/383
38 hos 10 dead
334 recovered
13th  0/383
38 hos 10 dead
335recovered
14th  4/387
39 hos 10 dead
339recovered
15th  4/388
41 hos 10 dead
343recovered
16th  4/392
43 hos 10 dead
344recovered



State Charts




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My Day-By-Day Chart

Today is the first entry on page 3.


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