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Saturday, April 04, 2020

Alaska COVID-19 Count - April 4, 2020 - 2 New Deaths, 1 New Hospitalization, 14 New Cases

The numbers on the new charts are squirrelly - yesterday there was a total of 147 confirmed cases and today it says 171.  But it says there are 13 new cases.  My math makes that 14 new cases.  The press release for today says 14 on the top and 13 on the bottom.

The total number of tests - looking at the cumulative table comes out to 6040.  But yesterday it was 6016 - and the new tests table shows 197 new tests.

We had gone five days without a new death, but we got two today, which is the most in one day.  The press release says the death was an Anchor Point man who acquired the virus and died Outside of Alaska.  Because he's an Alaska resident, he's counted in our statistics.  That may account for the two different counts of new cases.  That means there have only been 3 deaths from COVID-19 in the State of Alaska (another Alaskan death was also Outside).  The second death today was a woman in Fairbanks.

Also one new hospitalization.  (The State's hospitalization number is total, cumulative.  Not how many are in the hospital today.)

So the format is great, with lots of useful interactivity.  But the numbers don't add up right.  There was an understandable discrepancy when they changed the reporting time.  But that was a couple of days ago.

I've also found the State Data Hub which has a lot of explanation of the statistics.  For instance this explanation of how changing the data to match national standards means people are counted in their state of residency.  So Alaskans who contract the illness and die Outside are counted in Alaska.  Here's the explanation for another oddity in the count:
"Today you will see on the dashboard that 11 new cases are reported, but the cumulative count only increased by 10 cases since the non-resident case was removed."

So I'm tracking based on the number of total confirmed cases and figuring out the new cases based on the number of total cases the day before.
And I'm using the chart that shows the cumulative number of tests and not paying much attention to the chart that shows the tests by day.  That way I can stay consistent.

My calendar chart.



CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ALASKA MARCH/APRIL 2020
MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturdaySunday
new/totalhos=hospital

12th  = 0/013th = 1/114th = 0/115th = 0/1
16th = 0/117th = 2/318th = 3/619th = 3/920th = 3/1221st= 2/1422nd= 8/22
23rd=14/3624th =6/42
1 hos 1 dead
25th = 17/59
3 hos 1 dead
26th = 10/69
3 hos 1 dead
27th =16/89
5 hos 2 dead
28th = 13/102
6 hos 2 dead
29th=12/114
7 hos  3 dead
30th=5/119
7 hos 3 dead
31st= 14/133
9 hos 3 dead





April 2020

1st=  10/143
9 hos 3 dead
2nd=8(6)/149
13 hos 3 dead
3rd=8(11)157
15 hos 3 dead
4th=14/171
16 hos 5 dead





4/3 - State #s (11/157)don’t match yesterdays’       /149)











Hospital and dead figures are total to date, not new on that date




Here's a screenshot of the state's numbers for today (for the record) and below I'll paste in the actual chart (which changes daily so you can't track what it said yesterday.)

If you click on the image it will enlarge and focus better.  The interactive version of this is below.  However, the one below changes everyday, so the one above is our 'archive' version for April 4.













*Cases depicted in the map above represent residency of the infected person, and may not reflect where the person was located when tested positive. For example, the case shown in Petersburg Borough represents an individual who had residency status in Petersburg but was not currently residing there at the time of infection.



My Running Chart by date and data






After another overnight snow, today warmed up to what might be the warmest day of the year.  We went for a nice walk.  Most of the walk we didn't see others.  But around our neighborhood there were dog walkers and joggers, but all well away from us.

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